Wed, 3 Dec 2025, 19:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

19'
Nikola Milenković🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Igor Jesus
Goal cancelled
52'
João Gomes🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Elliot Anderson🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Yerson Mosquera🟨
Yellow Card
67'
J. Bellegarde🔄
Substitution 1 → Hwang Hee-Chan
67'
D. Ndoye🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Hudson-Odoi
67'
I. Sangare🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Yates
72'
Igor Jesus
Normal Goal → O. Hutchinson
81'
J. Arias🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Arokodare
81'
J. Tchatchoua🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Hoever
81'
Y. Mosquera🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Mane
85'
Joao Gomes🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Munetsi
90+3'
M. Gibbs-White🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Dominguez

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal3
5Total Shots10
2Blocked Shots4
4Shots insidebox7
1Shots outsidebox3
19Fouls11
3Corner Kicks9
2Offsides2
50Ball Possession50
2Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
415Total passes416
329Passes accurate334
79Passes %80
0.91expected_goals0.74
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

WolvesWolves1:1

Starting XI

31Sam JohnstoneG
24Toti GomesD
6David Möller WolfeM
27Jean-Ricner BellegardeF
12Emmanuel AgbadouD
8João GomesM
9Jørgen Strand LarsenF
15Yerson MosqueraD
7AndréM
10Jhon AriasF
38Jackson TchatchouaM

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26Matz SelsG
3Neco WilliamsD
8Elliot AndersonM
14Dan NdoyeM
19Igor JesusF
4MoratoD
6Ibrahim SangaréM
10Morgan Gibbs-WhiteM
31Nikola MilenkovićD
21Omari HutchinsonM
37Nicolò SavonaD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Wolves
Wolves
Form: L-L-L-L-L
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Form: L-W-W-W-D
Record
1 W
2 D
7 L
4 W
2 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
2.0
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
20%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.2
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1461
Average
1523
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1426
↓ Momentum (-35)
1509
↓ Momentum (-14)
Expected Outcome
28%
Home Win
32%
Draw
40%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1483
Attack
1473
1481
Defence
1552
Recent Form
1492
Attack
1458
1455
Defence
1542
Post-Match Changes
-10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Forest to Sink Winless Wolves at Molineux
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.25
Expected Value:+46.3%

Ag man, this looks like a proper mismatch! Wolves are absolutely shocking this season - dead last in the league with only 2 points from 13 games and ZERO wins! That's worse than trying to braai in the rain, boet! They've lost their last 5 Premier League games and haven't scored in their last 3 matches. Nottingham Forest, while not setting the world alight, are miles better. They've got 12 points and showed some real quality with that massive 3-0 win at Liverpool recently. They've also put 3 past Leeds and Malmo in their last few games. Forest are actually scoring goals (1.3 per game) and keeping things tighter at the back (1.2 conceded per game). Looking at the stats, Forest are taking more shots (12.8 vs 9.9) and have much better accuracy (37.6% vs 30.3%). They're also winning more corners which shows they're on the front foot more. Wolves are conceding 2 goals per game at home - that's like leaving your castle gates wide open! The head-to-head has been pretty tight over the years, but Forest smashed them 3-0 in the last meeting. With Wolves looking completely shot and Forest showing some proper fight, I'm backing the visitors to get the job done. Key Points: • Wolves are winless in 13 league games (0 wins, 2 draws, 11 losses) • Forest have 4 wins in their last 10 games compared to Wolves' 1 win • Forest recently beat Liverpool 3-0 away - shows they can travel • Wolves are scoring only 0.9 goals per game, Forest 1.3 per game • Wolves concede 2.0 goals per game at home • Last meeting ended 3-0 to Forest This feels like Forest's chance to pile more misery on the league's worst team. Wolves look completely devoid of confidence and can't buy a win right now. Forest have shown they can perform away from home and should have too much quality for a Wolves side that's leaking goals for fun.

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📝 Match Preview

Can Wolves' Home Attack Spark an Underdog Surprise?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+4.4%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! My little puppies at the bottom of the table are hosting Nottingham Forest, and while the statistics might look grim for Wolves, I see potential for value in the most unexpected places. Let's dive into the numbers with our optimistic underdog glasses on! Wolves have had a challenging season, sitting rock bottom with just 2 points from 13 games. Their recent form shows 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 10 matches, but here's the interesting part - at home, they've been scoring! They average 1.60 goals per game at home, including that spirited 2-2 draw with Chelsea in the League Cup. They've found the net against quality opponents like Brighton and Tottenham too. Nottingham Forest, while sitting 16th, have shown some spark recently with 4 wins in their last 10 games. They've had some impressive results, including a 3-0 victory over Liverpool and a 3-1 win against Leeds. However, they've also shown vulnerability, conceding 2 goals against Manchester United in a 2-2 draw. The head-to-head history between these two is fascinatingly balanced - 5 draws in 9 meetings suggests these teams often cancel each other out. Both teams have scored in 5 of those 9 encounters, which catches my eye as an underdog enthusiast. Looking at the defensive stats, Wolves have been generous at the back, conceding 2.00 goals per game with only 1 clean sheet in 10 matches. Forest, meanwhile, have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10, showing they can be solid defensively. However, their away form shows they concede 1.00 goals per game on the road. What excites me as an underdog tipster is the goal environment. Wolves are desperate for points at home, and they've shown they can score. Forest have been scoring freely too. The combination of Wolves' defensive vulnerabilities and Forest's attacking capabilities, plus Wolves' home scoring rate, creates an interesting scenario. The market has Forest as favorites at 2.25, which makes sense given the league positions. But as Umery Underdog, I'm always looking where the little guy can have their moment. Rather than backing the unlikely Wolves win, I see value in both teams getting on the scoresheet.

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📝 Match Preview

Desperate Times at Molineux: Forest's Path to Victory
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.25
Expected Value:+23.8%

In the depths of the Premier League table, a battle unfolds. Wolves, rooted to the bottom with but 2 points from 13 games, seek their first victory of the season. Nottingham Forest, floating above the danger zone in 16th, arrive with hope in their hearts. The recent form of Wolves tells a tale of struggle. Eight losses in their last nine matches across all competitions, their defensive resolve has crumbled - 2.0 goals conceded per game speaks volumes. Their attacking threat has diminished to 0.9 goals per game, with only one clean sheet in their last ten outings. The 0-3 defeats to Chelsea and Fulham, the 0-2 loss to Crystal Palace - these are the scars of a team searching for answers. Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, have found moments of brilliance. A stunning 3-0 victory over Liverpool, a 3-1 triumph against Leeds, and a resilient 2-2 draw with Manchester United show their capability. Though they fell 0-2 to Brighton in their last match, their overall form of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses from ten games demonstrates greater balance. Their defensive record of 1.2 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets provide the foundation away from home. The historical encounters between these sides have been closely contested - 2 wins each and 5 draws from 9 meetings. Yet the last encounter ended 0-3 to Forest, and at Molineux, Wolves have managed only 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses against their visitors. The statistical landscape reveals Forest's advantage in shot accuracy (49.7% away vs Wolves' 33.3% at home) and their superior defensive record on the road (1.0 goals conceded per away game). While Wolves average 1.6 goals at home, their defensive frailties of 2.0 goals conceded per home match undermine their attacking efforts. In the grand scheme of the Premier League, desperation alone cannot turn the tide. Forest, despite their inconsistencies, possess the form and defensive structure to navigate this challenge. The path to victory often favors those who have recently walked it successfully. Key Points: - Wolves remain winless in the Premier League this season with only 2 points from 13 games - Nottingham Forest have won 4 of their last 10 matches compared to Wolves' solitary victory - Forest have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 games, Wolves just 1 - Wolves have lost 8 of their last 9 matches across all competitions - Forest secured a 3-0 victory over Liverpool in their recent travels - Head-to-head record is balanced but Forest won the last meeting 3-0 - Wolves concede 2.0 goals per game at home, Forest only 1.0 away from home The Force guides us toward Nottingham Forest, whose recent form and defensive stability provide the foundation for victory against the league's struggling side.

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📝 Match Preview

Bottom-of-the-table clash: Can Forest sink Wolves?
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.25
Expected Value:+8.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this relegation six-pointer, shall we? Wolves are in absolute crisis mode - rock bottom of the table with just 2 points from 13 games. That's 0 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses. Absolutely shocking stuff, mate. They haven't won a single league game all season! Forest aren't exactly world-beaters either, sitting 16th with 12 points, but they look like Brazil compared to Wolves at the moment. Recent form tells the story - Wolves have managed just 1 win in their last 10 (and that was in the League Cup against Everton). They're shipping goals for fun too - 20 conceded in their last 10 matches, including getting battered 3-0 by Chelsea, 3-0 by Fulham, and even losing 2-3 at home to Burnley. Ouch! Forest have been slightly more respectable - 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in their last 10. They've had some decent results too, like that brilliant 0-3 win at Liverpool and a 3-1 home victory against Leeds. Sure, they lost 0-2 to Brighton recently, but at least they know what a win feels like. The stats don't make pretty reading for Wolves fans. They're scoring just 0.9 goals per game while conceding 2.0. Only 1 clean sheet in 10 matches! Forest are much more balanced - 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded, with 4 clean sheets in their last 10. Head-to-head it's pretty tight over the years (2 wins each, 5 draws), but Forest won the last meeting 0-3, which might give them a psychological edge. Let's be honest here - Wolves look completely lost. They can't score, they can't defend, and they've got zero confidence. Forest, while not brilliant, at least look like they've got a bit about them. They're creating more chances, keeping more clean sheets, and actually winning games. The goal expectancy suggests this could be tight (around 1.3-1.4 goals each), but given Wolves' defensive shambles and Forest's ability to score against good teams, I fancy the away side to get the job done. Key Points: - Wolves are rock bottom with 0 league wins all season - Forest have won 4 of their last 10 games - Wolves are shipping 2 goals per game on average - Forest kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 matches - Forest won the last meeting 0-3 - Wolves have only 1 clean sheet in 10 games This looks like Forest's chance to put some daylight between themselves and the drop zone, while Wolves are running out of time to save their season.

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📝 Match Preview

Forest Value vs Struggling Wolves
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+3.8%
Confidence:65

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Wolves are having a historically dreadful season, sitting rock bottom with just 2 points from 13 games. Their recent form reads like a horror story: 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 10 matches. They're conceding at a rate of 2.0 goals per game while scoring only 0.9. Even at home, where they should have some advantage, they've managed just one win in five attempts. Nottingham Forest, while not setting the world alight, are operating on a completely different level. They've collected 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 games - a respectable 40% win rate compared to Wolves' miserable 10%. More importantly, they're scoring 1.3 goals per game while keeping things tighter at the back with only 1.2 conceded. Their recent results include a stunning 3-0 victory at Liverpool and a 3-1 win over Leeds. The head-to-head record suggests this could be tighter than the league positions indicate, with 5 draws from 9 meetings. However, Forest won the last encounter 3-0 and have generally looked the more cohesive side. Looking at the goal markets, both teams have been involved in low-scoring affairs recently. Wolves' games have seen both teams score only 40% of the time, while Forest's have seen BTTS just 20% of the time. The goal expectancy data projects 1.30 goals for Wolves and 1.38 for Forest - hardly a goal fest. The odds compilers have Forest as favorites at 2.25, which seems fair given the massive gulf in form and league position. However, the value might lie elsewhere in this market.

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