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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

36'
M. Cash⚽
Normal Goal
46'
E. Eze🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Trossard
46'
M. Merino🔄
Substitution 2 → V. Gyökeres
52'
L. Trossard⚽
Normal Goal
66'
O. Watkins🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Malen
72'
Riccardo Calafiori🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Bukayo Saka🟨
Yellow Card
75'
A. Onana🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Bogarde
75'
J. McGinn🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Sancho
79'
B. Saka🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Madueke
86'
P. Torres🔄
Substitution 4 → V. Lindelof
86'
R. Calafiori🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Lewis-Skelly
86'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Martinelli
87'
M. Cash🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Buendia
90'
E. Buendia⚽
Normal Goal → B. Kamara

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal9
2Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots15
7Blocked Shots1
13Shots insidebox9
2Shots outsidebox6
10Fouls8
3Corner Kicks3
0Offsides3
47Ball Possession53
0Yellow Cards2
7Goalkeeper Saves4
392Total passes441
320Passes accurate373
82Passes %85
2.27expected_goals1.92
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Arsenal to Continue Unbeaten Run at Villa Park

The pickArsenal win

Chance
58%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+7.3%

Alright boet, let's get straight to the business of winning! This is a proper top-of-the-table clash between two teams firing on all cylinders. Arsenal sitting pretty at the top with 30 points, while Villa's not far behind in 4th with 24. Now, Villa's home form has been…

The Big "O"Won

Big O's Goal Fest Forecast: Villa vs Arsenal

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+15.5%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is here to bring you the goods on what should be an absolute thriller at Villa Park. We've got the league leaders Arsenal rolling into town to face a Villa side that's been absolutely untouchable at home this season. Now, I know what you're…

Umery UnderdogWon

Villa's Home Fortress Could Shock League Leaders

The pickAston Villa win

Chance
30%
Odds
4.10
Model EV
+23.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's eyes are on the league leaders sitting pretty at the top, I'm looking at the wonderful underdog story brewing at Villa Park. The numbers tell us one thing, but my heart sees something special about this Aston Villa…

Mr CertaintyLost

Villa vs Arsenal: Defensive Battle Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+17.6%

This Premier League clash between fourth-placed Aston Villa and league leaders Arsenal presents a fascinating tactical battle between two in-form teams with contrasting styles. Villa's formidable home record meets Arsenal's unbeaten away form in what promises to be a tightly…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Aston Villa

8W 0D 2L2.40 pts/game

Arsenal

8W 2D 0L2.60 pts/game

Per game

Aston Villa at home vs Arsenal away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+87Arsenal
Venue edge
+22Arsenal
Rating period
Match snapshot
Aston Villa versus Arsenal: long term Elo, before the match
Aston VillaHomeRatingArsenalAway
Strength
1,717Overall1,804
1,711Match venue1,733
1,711At home1,772
1,582Away1,733
Attack & defence
1,557Attack1,609
1,628Defence1,736
1,596Home attack1,645
1,502Away attack1,575
1,630Home defence1,696
1,560Away defence1,700
Match profile
1,828Goal environment2,222
1,692Home goals1,958
1,637Away goals1,763
1,507Possession1,523
Specialist ratings
1,509Set-piece attack1,542
1,508Set-piece defence1,541
1,687Close games1,666
1,731Winning margin1,847

Match venue compares Aston Villa at home with Arsenal away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Aston VillaAston Villa1:1

Starting XI

23E. MartinezG
22I. MaatsenD
24A. OnanaM
27M. RogersM
11O. WatkinsF
14P. TorresD
44B. KamaraM
8Y. TielemansM
4E. KonsaD
7J. McGinnM
2M. CashD

ArsenalArsenal1:1

Starting XI

1D. RayaG
33R. CalafioriD
41D. RiceM
10E. EzeF
5P. HincapieD
36M. ZubimendiM
23M. MerinoF
12J. TimberD
8M. OdegaardM
7B. SakaF
4B. WhiteD