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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Bournemouth vs Chelsea

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

6'
Antoine Semenyo⚽
Goal cancelled
32'
L. Delap🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Guiu
58'
C. Palmer🔄
Substitution 2 → Joao Pedro
62'
M. Senesi🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Hill
74'
J. Kluivert🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Brooks
74'
A. Jimenez🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Adli
77'
A. Garnacho🔄
Substitution 3 → Estêvão
85'
Marc Guiu🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Evanilson🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Unal
90+1'
Pedro Neto🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal6
13Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox5
15Fouls13
5Corner Kicks0
4Offsides0
39Ball Possession61
0Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
321Total passes515
223Passes accurate427
69Passes %83
1.37expected_goals0.88
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Chelsea to Continue Dominance vs Struggling Bournemouth

The pickChelsea win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+21.8%

Alright folks, let's get straight to the meat of this one! Bournemouth are having a proper tough time of it lately - just 2 wins in their last 10 games and they've lost 3 of their last 4 matches. They got beaten 0-1 at home by Everton and then lost 2-3 away to Sunderland. Not…

The Big "O"Lost

Goal Fest Incoming at the Vitality!

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+3.5%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is here to deliver the goods, and this Saturday's clash between Bournemouth and Chelsea has all the ingredients for a spectacular scoring bonanza. Let me tell you why I'm getting excited about this one! Bournemouth might be sitting mid-table, but…

Value VinnyLost

Chelsea Value On The South Coast

The pickChelsea win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+15.5%

The numbers don't lie here - Chelsea represent clear betting value at 2.10 for the away win. Let's break down why the odds compilers have got this wrong. Chelsea's recent form is in a different stratosphere to Bournemouth's. Over the last 10 games, Chelsea are averaging 2.10…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Bournemouth

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Chelsea

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Bournemouth at home vs Chelsea away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+90Chelsea
Venue edge
+36Chelsea
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bournemouth versus Chelsea: long term Elo, before the match
BournemouthHomeRatingChelseaAway
Strength
1,584Overall1,673
1,567Match venue1,602
1,567At home1,677
1,525Away1,602
Attack & defence
1,553Attack1,567
1,550Defence1,626
1,480Home attack1,584
1,577Away attack1,538
1,629Home defence1,637
1,457Away defence1,571
Match profile
1,963Goal environment2,028
1,635Home goals1,765
1,828Away goals1,763
1,508Possession1,522
Specialist ratings
1,507Set-piece attack1,530
1,507Set-piece defence1,529
1,527Close games1,628
1,599Winning margin1,688

Match venue compares Bournemouth at home with Chelsea away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BournemouthBournemouth1:1

Starting XI

1D. PetrovicG
3A. TruffertD
16M. TavernierM
24A. SemenyoM
9EvanilsonF
5M. SenesiD
8A. ScottM
19J. KluivertM
18B. DiakiteD
20A. JimenezM
15A. SmithD

ChelseaChelsea1:1

Starting XI

1R. SanchezG
3M. CucurellaD
8E. FernandezM
49A. GarnachoM
9L. DelapF
23T. ChalobahD
24R. JamesM
10C. PalmerM
29W. FofanaD
7P. NetoM
27M. GustoD