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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Brighton vs West Ham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

10'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Lewis Dunk🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Guido Rodríguez🟨
Yellow Card
60'
C. Baleba🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Hinshelwood
64'
G. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Potts
72'
Y. Minteh🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Gruda
72'
M. De Cuyper🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Kostoulas
72'
C. Summerville🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Wilson
73'
J. Bowen⚽
Normal Goal → C. Wilson
77'
Freddie Potts🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Lucas Paqueta🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Soucek
83'
F. Kadioglu🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Boscagli
83'
M. Fernandes🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Magassa
83'
M. Diouf🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Mayers
90'
G. Rutter⚽
Normal Goal → J. P. van Hecke

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal6
22Total Shots14
10Blocked Shots3
14Shots insidebox12
8Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls8
10Corner Kicks6
1Offsides1
68Ball Possession32
2Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
575Total passes277
505Passes accurate204
88Passes %74
1.7expected_goals1.14
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

Mr CertaintyLost

Brighton vs West Ham: Home Advantage Looks Decisive

The pickBrighton win

Chance
72%
Odds
1.57
Model EV
+13.0%

This Premier League clash presents a clear mismatch in form and momentum. Brighton, sitting comfortably in 7th place with 22 points, host a struggling West Ham side languishing in 18th position with just 11 points. The data paints a compelling picture of why the home side should…

Mr SimpleWon

Seagulls Flying High vs Hammers in Trouble

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+10.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Brighton are sitting pretty in 7th place with 22 points, while West Ham are down in the relegation mire in 18th with just 11 points. That's a massive gap between these two sides, and it shows in their recent form too. Brighton…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Brighton

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

West Ham

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Brighton at home vs West Ham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+156Brighton
Venue edge
+126Brighton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Brighton versus West Ham: long term Elo, before the match
BrightonHomeRatingWest HamAway
Strength
1,659Overall1,503
1,629Match venue1,504
1,629At home1,501
1,564Away1,504
Attack & defence
1,625Attack1,499
1,572Defence1,510
1,588Home attack1,487
1,568Away attack1,512
1,560Home defence1,500
1,551Away defence1,513
Match profile
1,700Goal environment2,060
1,585Home goals1,827
1,615Away goals1,733
1,502Possession1,482
Specialist ratings
1,514Set-piece attack1,495
1,513Set-piece defence1,495
1,600Close games1,488
1,677Winning margin1,504

Match venue compares Brighton at home with West Ham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1B. VerbruggenG
29M. De CuyperD
25D. GomezM
24F. KadiogluM
18D. WelbeckF
5L. DunkD
17C. BalebaM
10G. RutterM
6J. P. van HeckeD
11Y. MintehM
27M. WiefferD

West HamWest Ham1:1

Starting XI

23A. AreolaG
25J. TodiboD
12M. DioufM
10Lucas PaquetaF
7C. SummervilleF
3M. KilmanD
24G. RodriguezM
20J. BowenF
15K. MavropanosD
18M. FernandesM
29A. Wan-BissakaM