Skip to main content

Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Everton vs Nottingham Forest

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

1'
Nicolò Savona🟨
Yellow Card
2'
N. Milenkovic⚽
Own Goal
45'
T. Barry⚽
Normal Goal → I. Ndiaye
45+3'
Morato🟨
Yellow Card
46'
D. Ndoye🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Hudson-Odoi
46'
I. Sangare🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Yates
46'
N. Savona🔄
Substitution 3 → Z. Abbott
54'
Nikola Milenković🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Thierno Barry🟨
Yellow Card
62'
T. Barry🔄
Substitution 1 → Beto
62'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Dominguez
73'
James Tarkowski🟨
Yellow Card
73'
C. Alcaraz🔄
Substitution 2 → D. McNeil
80'
K. Dewsbury-Hall⚽
Normal Goal → J. O'Brien
84'
Vitaliy Mykolenko🟨
Yellow Card
86'
J. Grealish🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Dibling
90+3'
Jake O'Brien🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal1
11Total Shots6
4Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox0
17Fouls15
6Corner Kicks3
4Offsides1
42Ball Possession58
4Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
301Total passes429
237Passes accurate345
79Passes %80
1.08expected_goals0.46
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (3)

Mr SimpleLost

Forest Ready To Tame The Toffees

The pickNottingham Forest win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.60
Model EV
+26.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Everton sitting 9th in the table looking all comfy, but don't let that fool you - their recent form's been up and down like a yo-yo. They've had some brilliant results, mind you - that 1-0 win at Man United's place was proper…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Everton

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Nottingham Forest

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Everton at home vs Nottingham Forest away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+54Everton
Venue edge
+11Everton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Everton versus Nottingham Forest: long term Elo, before the match
EvertonHomeRatingNottingham ForestAway
Strength
1,624Overall1,570
1,558Match venue1,547
1,558At home1,523
1,559Away1,547
Attack & defence
1,465Attack1,495
1,646Defence1,562
1,473Home attack1,473
1,429Away attack1,519
1,602Home defence1,551
1,627Away defence1,534
Match profile
1,605Goal environment1,630
1,590Home goals1,530
1,515Away goals1,600
1,485Possession1,499
Specialist ratings
1,481Set-piece attack1,519
1,481Set-piece defence1,518
1,587Close games1,551
1,626Winning margin1,578

Match venue compares Everton at home with Nottingham Forest away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

EvertonEverton1:1

Starting XI

1J. PickfordG
16V. MykolenkoD
22K. Dewsbury-HallM
18J. GrealishM
11T. BarryF
5M. KeaneD
37J. GarnerM
24C. AlcarazM
6J. TarkowskiD
10I. NdiayeM
15J. O'BrienD

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26M. SelsG
3N. WilliamsD
8E. AndersonM
14D. NdoyeM
19Igor JesusF
4MoratoD
6I. SangareM
10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
31N. MilenkovicD
21O. HutchinsonM
37N. SavonaD