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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

20'
E. Nketiah⚽
Normal Goal → A. Wharton
38'
H. Wilson⚽
Normal Goal → R. Jimenez
55'
Emile Smith Rowe⚽
Goal cancelled
65'
E. Nketiah🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Lerma
66'
J. Mateta🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Uche
68'
E. Smith Rowe🔄
Substitution 1 → Kevin
76'
S. Berge🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Lukic
76'
S. Chukwueze🔄
Substitution 3 → J. King
77'
N. Clyne🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Canvot
87'
M. Guehi⚽
Normal Goal → Y. Pino
88'
H. Wilson🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Cairney
89'
A. Iwobi🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Traore
90+2'
Y. Pino🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Devenny

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal1
11Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots5
8Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox2
5Fouls8
6Corner Kicks4
4Offsides2
63Ball Possession37
3Goalkeeper Saves3
623Total passes364
539Passes accurate300
87Passes %82
0.67expected_goals1.65
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

Palace to Dominate London Derby

The pickCrystal Palace win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.70
Model EV
+75.5%

Ag man, this one looks pretty straightforward if you look at the numbers! Crystal Palace are flying high in 5th place with 23 points, while Fulham are struggling down in 15th with just 17 points. That's a proper gap in quality right there. Palace's recent form tells the story …

Value VinnyWon

Palace Offer Value Against Inconsistent Fulham

The pickCrystal Palace win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.70
Model EV
+29.6%

The numbers paint a clear picture here, and they're pointing towards value on the away side. Crystal Palace sit 5th in the table with 23 points, while Fulham languish in 15th with just 17 - that's a six-point gap that tells a story about relative quality this season. Palace's…

Mr SimpleWon

Palace Look Too Strong For Leaky Fulham

The pickCrystal Palace win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.70
Model EV
+62.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this London derby down at the Cottage. On paper, you'd think this might be close, but when you dig into the numbers, there's a clear story emerging. Crystal Palace are flying high in 5th place with 23 points, while Fulham are scrapping…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Fulham

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Crystal Palace

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Fulham at home vs Crystal Palace away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+91Crystal Palace
Venue edge
+49Crystal Palace
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fulham versus Crystal Palace: long term Elo, before the match
FulhamHomeRatingCrystal PalaceAway
Strength
1,570Overall1,661
1,548Match venue1,597
1,548At home1,574
1,514Away1,597
Attack & defence
1,548Attack1,531
1,551Defence1,659
1,543Home attack1,498
1,507Away attack1,515
1,554Home defence1,606
1,523Away defence1,642
Match profile
1,838Goal environment1,567
1,703Home goals1,465
1,635Away goals1,602
1,501Possession1,481
Specialist ratings
1,506Set-piece attack1,486
1,505Set-piece defence1,486
1,545Close games1,542
1,581Winning margin1,694

Match venue compares Fulham at home with Crystal Palace away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FulhamFulham1:1

Starting XI

1B. LenoG
21T. CastagneD
17A. IwobiM
19S. ChukwuezeM
7R. JimenezF
3C. BasseyD
16S. BergeM
32E. Smith RoweM
5J. AndersenD
8H. WilsonM
2K. TeteD

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1:1

Starting XI

1D. HendersonG
6M. GuehiD
3T. MitchellM
10Y. PinoF
14J. MatetaF
5M. LacroixD
18D. KamadaM
9E. NketiahF
26C. RichardsD
20A. WhartonM
17N. ClyneM