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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Tottenham vs Brentford

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:0HT 2–0

Match Timeline

25'
Richarlison⚽
Normal Goal → X. Simons
28'
Michael Kayode🟨
Yellow Card
31'
Cristian Romero🟨
Yellow Card
43'
X. Simons⚽
Normal Goal
45'
Kristoffer Ajer🟨
Yellow Card
46'
K. Ajer🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Henry
47'
Pedro Porro🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Kevin Schade🟨
Yellow Card
61'
M. Damsgaard🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Jensen
65'
R. Bentancur🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Palhinha
72'
Yehor Yarmolyuk🟨
Yellow Card
74'
R. Kolo Muani🔄
Substitution 2 → W. Odobert
76'
M. Kayode🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Hickey
76'
Y. Yarmolyuk🔄
Substitution 4 → V. Janelt
77'
Archie Gray🟨
Yellow Card
80'
M. Kudus🔄
Substitution 3 → P. M. Sarr
81'
C. Romero🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Danso
88'
D. Ouattara🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Lewis-Potter

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots4
3Blocked Shots1
9Shots insidebox3
6Shots outsidebox1
8Fouls9
7Corner Kicks6
2Offsides1
53Ball Possession47
3Yellow Cards4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
399Total passes355
329Passes accurate280
82Passes %79
2.15expected_goals0.29
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Form Over History: Brentford's Away Test

The pickBrentford win

Chance
65%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+95.0%

In the grand tapestry of football, form often speaks louder than history. Tottenham, though historically dominant against Brentford with 4 wins from 8 meetings and a formidable 75% home win rate in this fixture, finds themselves at a crossroads. The Force of recent results flows…

PajimonLost

Spurs vs Bees: Form Meets History

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Alright boet, let's talk proper football! This one's got me scratching my head more than trying to figure out what's in those vegetable things people keep talking about. On paper, these two are neck and neck in the table - both sitting on 19 points like two mates at a braai…

The Big "O"Lost

Goal Fest Expected When Spurs Host Bees

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
59%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+6.2%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm getting excited about this London derby! When you look at the numbers, this match has "OVER" written all over it in big, bold letters. Tottenham's recent form has been an absolute goal-fest, and not always in a good way for them. They've…

Umery UnderdogLost

Brentford Ready to Bark at Struggling Tottenham

The pickBrentford win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+5.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone might be looking at the home side, my underdog senses are tingling with excitement for Brentford. Let me tell you why these lovely underdogs have caught my eye! Looking at recent form tells quite a story, doesn't it? Our…

Mr CertaintyLost

Tottenham vs Brentford: BTTS Analysis

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
68%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+10.2%

This Premier League clash presents a fascinating contrast between two teams on identical points but with vastly different recent form. Tottenham enters this match in poor form, having won just 2 of their last 10 games (20% win rate) and averaging only 0.90 points per game. Their…

Value VinnyLost

Brentford's Form Makes Away Win Value Play

The pickBrentford win

Chance
38%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+14.0%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're screaming value on the visitors. Tottenham's recent form is nothing short of alarming - just 2 wins from their last 10 matches and a paltry 0.90 points per game. That's relegation territory, not the form of a team that should be favored at…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Tottenham

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Brentford

6W 0D 4L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Tottenham at home vs Brentford away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+80Brentford
Venue edge
+23Tottenham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Tottenham versus Brentford: long term Elo, before the match
TottenhamHomeRatingBrentfordAway
Strength
1,527Overall1,607
1,517Match venue1,494
1,517At home1,611
1,571Away1,494
Attack & defence
1,575Attack1,572
1,543Defence1,549
1,550Home attack1,603
1,602Away attack1,493
1,529Home defence1,517
1,555Away defence1,542
Match profile
2,283Goal environment1,750
1,835Home goals1,648
1,948Away goals1,602
1,508Possession1,483
Specialist ratings
1,498Set-piece attack1,517
1,498Set-piece defence1,517
1,433Close games1,538
1,561Winning margin1,627

Match venue compares Tottenham at home with Brentford away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

TottenhamTottenham1:1

Starting XI

1G. VicarioG
24D. SpenceD
14A. GrayM
39R. Kolo MuaniM
9RicharlisonF
37M. van de VenD
30R. BentancurM
7X. SimonsM
17C. RomeroD
20M. KudusM
23P. PorroD

BrentfordBrentford1:1

Starting XI

1C. KelleherG
20K. AjerD
18Y. YarmolyukM
7K. SchadeM
9I. ThiagoF
4S. van den BergD
6J. HendersonM
24M. DamsgaardM
22N. CollinsD
19D. OuattaraM
33M. KayodeD