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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Liverpool vs Brighton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

1'
H. Ekitike⚽
Normal Goal → J. Gomez
26'
J. Gomez🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Salah
45+3'
Diego Gómez🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Lewis Dunk🟨
Yellow Card
60'
H. Ekitike⚽
Normal Goal → M. Salah
64'
Ibrahima Konaté🟨
Yellow Card
64'
B. Gruda🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Mitoma
64'
C. Baleba🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Ayari
78'
H. Ekitike🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Isak
78'
F. Wirtz🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Robertson
82'
J. Hinshelwood🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Welbeck
82'
G. Rutter🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Kostoulas
83'
D. Szoboszlai🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Chiesa
87'
D. Gomez🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Milner

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal7
18Total Shots14
6Blocked Shots6
9Shots insidebox11
9Shots outsidebox3
8Fouls15
2Corner Kicks2
2Offsides0
50Ball Possession50
1Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
515Total passes499
448Passes accurate445
87Passes %89
1.82expected_goals1.96
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Goals Galore Expected at Anfield

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

Listen up, braai masters and football fanatics! We've got a proper Premier League showdown this weekend as Liverpool host Brighton, with both sides locked on 23 points. This isn't just a mid-table scrap; it's a potential goal-fest waiting to happen. Let's crack open a cold one…

Mr SimpleLost

Can Liverpool Find Their Spark Against Seagulls?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Saturday afternoon clash at Anfield. On paper, it's a cracker. In reality, it's a bit of a head-scratcher. Liverpool and Brighton are level on 23 points in the table, but the Seagulls are sitting pretty in 8th thanks to a better goal…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Liverpool

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Brighton

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Liverpool at home vs Brighton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+39Liverpool
Venue edge
+227Liverpool
Rating period
Match snapshot
Liverpool versus Brighton: long term Elo, before the match
LiverpoolHomeRatingBrightonAway
Strength
1,691Overall1,652
1,791Match venue1,564
1,791At home1,625
1,661Away1,564
Attack & defence
1,635Attack1,615
1,555Defence1,574
1,647Home attack1,580
1,640Away attack1,568
1,637Home defence1,563
1,539Away defence1,551
Match profile
2,483Goal environment1,698
1,955Home goals1,583
2,028Away goals1,615
1,529Possession1,506
Specialist ratings
1,491Set-piece attack1,517
1,492Set-piece defence1,516
1,597Close games1,595
1,705Winning margin1,670

Match venue compares Liverpool at home with Brighton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LiverpoolLiverpool1:1

Starting XI

1AlissonG
6M. KerkezD
17C. JonesM
7F. WirtzM
22H. EkitikeF
4V. van DijkD
38R. GravenberchM
10A. Mac AllisterM
5I. KonateD
8D. SzoboszlaiM
2J. GomezD

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1B. VerbruggenG
24F. KadiogluD
13J. HinshelwoodM
25D. GomezM
10G. RutterF
5L. DunkD
17C. BalebaM
8B. GrudaM
6J. P. van HeckeD
11Y. MintehM
27M. WiefferD