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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time4:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

45+1'
Mikel Merino🟨
Yellow Card
45+2'
Morgan Rogers🟨
Yellow Card
46'
A. Onana🔄
Substitution 1 → J. McGinn
48'
Gabriel⚽
Normal Goal
52'
M. Zubimendi⚽
Normal Goal → M. Odegaard
61'
E. Buendia🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Garcia
61'
J. Sancho🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Malen
69'
L. Trossard⚽
Normal Goal → J. Timber
72'
Leandro Trossard⚽
Goal confirmed
73'
M. Merino🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Norgaard
77'
V. Gyökeres🔄
Substitution 2 → Gabriel Jesus
77'
Gabriel🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Lewis-Skelly
78'
Gabriel Jesus⚽
Normal Goal → L. Trossard
79'
Gabriel Jesus🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Lamare Bogarde🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Y. Tielemans🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Hemmings
82'
M. Rogers🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Jimoh-Aloba
83'
J. Timber🔄
Substitution 4 → B. White
83'
B. Saka🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Madueke
90'
O. Watkins⚽
Normal Goal
90+7'
Ollie Watkins🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal4
22Total Shots11
7Blocked Shots4
17Shots insidebox9
5Shots outsidebox2
18Fouls9
3Corner Kicks3
4Offsides0
46Ball Possession54
2Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
351Total passes416
302Passes accurate362
86Passes %87
3.04expected_goals2.67
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (6)

Mr CertaintyWon

Top-Table Clash Promises Goals and Mutual Threat

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
68%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+36.0%

The Premier League's summit meeting on December 30th sees the league leaders, Arsenal, host third-placed Aston Villa in what promises to be a fiercely contested and potentially high-scoring affair. With just three points separating the sides, this is more than just a routine…

Mr SimpleWon

Top vs In-Form: Can Villa's Run Rattle the Gunners?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+30.0%

Right then, let's talk about the big one on Monday night. The league leaders, Arsenal, welcoming an Aston Villa side that's won ten on the bounce. It doesn't get much tastier than this, does it? Arsenal are sitting pretty at the top with 42 points, but don't let that fool you…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Arsenal

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Aston Villa

10W 0D 0L3.00 pts/game

Per game

Arsenal at home vs Aston Villa away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+39Arsenal
Venue edge
+174Arsenal
Rating period
Match snapshot
Arsenal versus Aston Villa: long term Elo, before the match
ArsenalHomeRatingAston VillaAway
Strength
1,805Overall1,766
1,781Match venue1,607
1,781At home1,731
1,727Away1,607
Attack & defence
1,606Attack1,592
1,724Defence1,627
1,645Home attack1,608
1,569Away attack1,527
1,691Home defence1,633
1,698Away defence1,559
Match profile
2,222Goal environment1,842
1,962Home goals1,695
1,760Away goals1,647
1,529Possession1,504
Specialist ratings
1,559Set-piece attack1,507
1,557Set-piece defence1,507
1,683Close games1,728
1,844Winning margin1,782

Match venue compares Arsenal at home with Aston Villa away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ArsenalArsenal1:1

Starting XI

1David RayaG
5Piero HincapiéD
23Mikel MerinoM
19Leandro TrossardF
6Gabriel MagalhãesD
36Martín ZubimendiM
14Viktor GyökeresF
2William SalibaD
8Martin ØdegaardM
7Bukayo SakaF
12Jurriën TimberD

Aston VillaAston Villa1:1

Starting XI

23Emiliano MartínezG
12Lucas DigneD
8Youri TielemansM
10Emiliano BuendíaM
11Ollie WatkinsF
3Victor LindelöfD
24Amadou OnanaM
27Morgan RogersM
4Ezri KonsaD
19Jadon SanchoM
26Lamare BogardeD