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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Burnley vs Newcastle

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:3HT 1–2

Match Timeline

2'
Joelinton⚽
Normal Goal
7'
Y. Wissa⚽
Normal Goal
15'
M. Esteve🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Humphreys
23'
J. Laurent⚽
Normal Goal → A. Broja
28'
Kyle Walker🟨
Yellow Card
28'
Joelinton🟨
Yellow Card
32'
Florentino Luís🟨
Yellow Card
72'
H. Barnes🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Murphy
74'
L. Tchaouna🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Bruun Larsen
80'
Y. Wissa🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Woltemade
80'
A. Gordon🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Ramsey
88'
Florentino🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
88'
L. Ugochukwu🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Barnes
90'
Bruno Guimaraes⚽
Normal Goal
90+4'
Joelinton🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Willock

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal9
8Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots20
3Blocked Shots6
8Shots insidebox13
7Shots outsidebox7
9Fouls3
3Corner Kicks4
1Offsides2
48Ball Possession52
2Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
439Total passes467
349Passes accurate389
79Passes %83
1.09expected_goals2.31
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

The Big "O"Won

Turf Moor Tussle: Goals Galore on the Cards?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+4.4%

Alright, let's talk about a fixture that has 'entertainment' written all over it. Burnley hosting Newcastle might not be a title decider, but for those of us who crave action, it's a potential goldmine. The data doesn't lie, and it's screaming for goals. First, let's address the…

PajimonWon

Burnley's Turf War: Can Anyone Score at Turf Moor?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+5.0%

Alright, braai masters and beer lovers, let's talk some proper football! We've got a proper Premier League clash here with Burnley hosting Newcastle, and if you're looking for fireworks, you might be staring at a damp squib... or maybe not. Let's break it down with the cold…

Value VinnyWon

Newcastle to Continue Turf Moor Dominance

The pickNewcastle win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.65
Model EV
+12.2%

The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming one thing about this Premier League fixture: Newcastle United have Burnley's number. As we crunch the data for this late December clash, the statistical reality points squarely toward the Magpies extending their remarkable dominance…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Burnley

1W 2D 7L0.50 pts/game

Newcastle

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Burnley at home vs Newcastle away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+209Newcastle
Venue edge
+116Newcastle
Rating period
Match snapshot
Burnley versus Newcastle: long term Elo, before the match
BurnleyHomeRatingNewcastleAway
Strength
1,405Overall1,614
1,407Match venue1,523
1,407At home1,691
1,429Away1,523
Attack & defence
1,453Attack1,558
1,478Defence1,598
1,392Home attack1,635
1,478Away attack1,484
1,510Home defence1,617
1,458Away defence1,560
Match profile
1,490Goal environment1,925
1,422Home goals1,705
1,568Away goals1,720
1,476Possession1,507
Specialist ratings
1,458Set-piece attack1,519
1,459Set-piece defence1,518
1,420Close games1,563
1,405Winning margin1,633

Match venue compares Burnley at home with Newcastle away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BurnleyBurnley1:1

Starting XI

1Martin DúbravkaG
5Maxime EstèveD
23Lucas PiresM
17Loum TchaounaF
18Hjalmar EkdalD
16Florentino LuísM
27Armando BrojaF
29Josh LaurentD
8Lesley UgochukwuM
10Marcus EdwardsF
2Kyle WalkerM

NewcastleNewcastle1:1

Starting XI

1Nick PopeG
3Lewis HallD
7JoelintonM
10Anthony GordonF
5Fabian SchärD
8Sandro TonaliM
9Yoane WissaF
12Malick ThiawD
39Bruno GuimarãesM
11Harvey BarnesF
67Lewis MileyD