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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

West Ham vs Brighton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:2HT 2–1

Match Timeline

10'
J. Bowen⚽
Normal Goal → Lucas Paqueta
13'
Jarrod Bowen🟨
Yellow Card
32'
D. Welbeck
Penalty
37'
Mateus Fernandes🟨
Yellow Card
37'
Danny Welbeck🟨
Yellow Card
42'
James Milner🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Max Kilman🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Lucas Paqueta
Penalty
45+1'
Callum Wilson
Penalty confirmed
45+2'
Lewis Dunk🟨
Yellow Card
45+3'
J. Todibo🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Mavropanos
58'
Y. Minteh🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Gruda
58'
M. De Cuyper🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Mitoma
61'
J. Veltman⚽
Normal Goal
63'
C. Wilson🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Summerville
72'
D. Gomez🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Rutter
72'
J. Milner🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Hinshelwood
82'
S. Magassa🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Soucek
83'
Lucas Paqueta🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Kante
83'
K. Walker-Peters🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Mayers
83'
D. Welbeck🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Kostoulas
84'
Charalampos Kostoulas🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Jan Paul van Hecke🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal6
10Total Shots16
3Blocked Shots4
10Shots insidebox8
0Shots outsidebox8
11Fouls18
5Corner Kicks5
1Offsides1
39Ball Possession61
3Yellow Cards5
5Goalkeeper Saves2
335Total passes541
251Passes accurate466
75Passes %86
2.06expected_goals2.94
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Struggling Hammers Host Seagulls in Mid-Table Clash

The pickDraw

Chance
38%
Odds
3.40
Model EV
+29.2%

Alright, let's braai and talk some footie! West Ham versus Brighton on December 30th is a proper mid-season scrap. The Hammers are sitting in the relegation zone with just 13 points, while Brighton are comfortably mid-table on 24. On paper, it looks like a mismatch, but football…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

West Ham

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Brighton

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

West Ham at home vs Brighton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+139Brighton
Venue edge
+73Brighton
Rating period
Match snapshot
West Ham versus Brighton: long term Elo, before the match
West HamHomeRatingBrightonAway
Strength
1,485Overall1,624
1,480Match venue1,553
1,480At home1,618
1,505Away1,553
Attack & defence
1,487Attack1,582
1,506Defence1,577
1,481Home attack1,562
1,500Away attack1,556
1,492Home defence1,571
1,514Away defence1,549
Match profile
2,063Goal environment1,690
1,830Home goals1,575
1,733Away goals1,615
1,474Possession1,507
Specialist ratings
1,484Set-piece attack1,505
1,485Set-piece defence1,505
1,474Close games1,581
1,487Winning margin1,638

Match venue compares West Ham at home with Brighton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

West HamWest Ham1:1

Starting XI

23Alphonse AréolaG
30Oliver ScarlesD
32Freddie PottsM
10Lucas PaquetáM
9Callum WilsonF
3Max KilmanD
27Soungoutou MagassaM
18Mateus FernandesM
25Jean-Clair TodiboD
20Jarrod BowenM
2Kyle Walker-PetersD

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1Bart VerbruggenG
24Ferdi KadıoğluD
20James MilnerM
29Maxim De CuyperM
18Danny WelbeckF
5Lewis DunkD
26Yasin AyariM
25Diego GómezM
6Jan Paul van HeckeD
11Yankuba MintehM
34Joël VeltmanD