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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Burnley vs Manchester United

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

13'
A. Heaven⚽
Own Goal
41'
Hannibal Mejbri🟨
Yellow Card
50'
B. Sesko⚽
Normal Goal → B. Fernandes
58'
H. Mejbri🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Anthony
60'
B. Sesko⚽
Normal Goal → P. Dorgu
61'
B. Fernandes🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Mount
61'
A. Heaven🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Yoro
66'
J. Anthony⚽
Normal Goal → M. Edwards
74'
M. Cunha🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Zirkzee
74'
Casemiro🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Mainoo
76'
A. Broja🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Foster
84'
M. Ugarte🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Lacey
90+2'
M. Edwards🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Sonne
90+5'
Lyle Foster🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal10
1Shots off Goal13
7Total Shots30
5Blocked Shots7
6Shots insidebox21
1Shots outsidebox9
9Fouls8
2Corner Kicks6
3Offsides0
35Ball Possession65
2Yellow Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves0
315Total passes593
240Passes accurate519
76Passes %88
0.24expected_goals2.55
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

At Turf Moor, a Great Chasm, There Is

The pickManchester United win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

A meeting of two worlds, this is. In the deep of winter, the 19th hosts the 5th. A tale of struggle against a tale of stuttering ambition. Ten games without victory, Burnley has. Zero wins, two draws, eight defeats. At home, even more bleak, their record: zero wins in the last…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Burnley

0W 2D 8L0.20 pts/game

Manchester United

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Burnley at home vs Manchester United away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+206Manchester United
Venue edge
+158Manchester United
Rating period
Match snapshot
Burnley versus Manchester United: long term Elo, before the match
BurnleyHomeRatingManchester UnitedAway
Strength
1,390Overall1,596
1,399Match venue1,557
1,399At home1,606
1,423Away1,557
Attack & defence
1,443Attack1,544
1,467Defence1,559
1,394Home attack1,528
1,467Away attack1,524
1,495Home defence1,567
1,457Away defence1,554
Match profile
1,493Goal environment1,918
1,427Home goals1,710
1,567Away goals1,708
1,475Possession1,511
Specialist ratings
1,460Set-piece attack1,495
1,461Set-piece defence1,495
1,420Close games1,561
1,388Winning margin1,609

Match venue compares Burnley at home with Manchester United away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BurnleyBurnley1:1

Starting XI

1Martin DúbravkaG
12Bashir HumphreysD
23Lucas PiresM
28Hannibal MejbriF
27Armando BrojaF
5Maxime EstèveD
16Florentino LuísM
10Marcus EdwardsF
29Josh LaurentD
8Lesley UgochukwuM
2Kyle WalkerM

Manchester UnitedManchester United1:1

Starting XI

31Senne LammensG
23Luke ShawD
18CasemiroM
13Patrick DorguM
30Benjamin ŠeškoF
6Lisandro MartínezD
25Manuel UgarteM
8Bruno FernandesM
26Ayden HeavenD
10Matheus CunhaM
2Diogo DalotD