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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Liverpool vs Burnley

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

-5'
Ashley Barnes🟨
Yellow Card
40'
Miloš Kerkez🟨
Yellow Card
42'
F. Wirtz⚽
Normal Goal → C. Jones
65'
M. Edwards⚽
Normal Goal → Florentino
74'
A. Broja🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Foster
74'
M. Esteve🔄
Substitution 2 → H. Ekdal
78'
R. Gravenberch🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Mac Allister
78'
M. Kerkez🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Robertson
78'
C. Gakpo🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Ngumoha
85'
L. Ugochukwu🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Laurent
87'
C. Jones🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Chiesa
90'
Florentino🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Tchaouna
90'
M. Edwards🔄
Substitution 5 → H. Mejbri
90+2'
Bashir Humphreys🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

11Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal4
32Total Shots7
13Blocked Shots2
20Shots insidebox5
12Shots outsidebox2
8Fouls10
9Corner Kicks1
1Offsides2
73Ball Possession27
1Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves8
723Total passes270
634Passes accurate188
88Passes %70
2.95expected_goals0.4
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Liverpool to Shut Out Struggling Burnley at Anfield

The pickBTTS No

Chance
65%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+13.8%

Listen up, braai masters and football fanatics! We've got a classic Premier League fixture here that, on paper, looks like a braai versus a salad – one side brings the heat, the other usually gets burnt. Liverpool welcome Burnley to Anfield, and the stats tell a story as clear…

The Big "O"Lost

The Big O Predicts a Goal Fest at Anfield

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.50
Model EV
+5.0%

Alright, let's talk about the only thing that matters: GOALS. Liverpool welcome Burnley to Anfield, and if you're looking for a boring, tactical chess match, you've come to the wrong tipster. I'm The Big O, and I live for the net bulging, the crowd roaring, and the scoreboard…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Liverpool

5W 5D 0L2.00 pts/game

Burnley

1W 3D 6L0.60 pts/game

Per game

Liverpool at home vs Burnley away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+311Liverpool
Venue edge
+366Liverpool
Rating period
Match snapshot
Liverpool versus Burnley: long term Elo, before the match
LiverpoolHomeRatingBurnleyAway
Strength
1,710Overall1,399
1,789Match venue1,423
1,789At home1,404
1,669Away1,423
Attack & defence
1,606Attack1,453
1,598Defence1,465
1,624Home attack1,405
1,630Away attack1,467
1,653Home defence1,491
1,558Away defence1,457
Match profile
2,473Goal environment1,498
1,947Home goals1,432
2,027Away goals1,567
1,537Possession1,473
Specialist ratings
1,501Set-piece attack1,454
1,501Set-piece defence1,455
1,610Close games1,426
1,728Winning margin1,397

Match venue compares Liverpool at home with Burnley away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LiverpoolLiverpool1:1

Starting XI

1AlissonG
6M. KerkezD
8D. SzoboszlaiM
18C. GakpoM
22H. EkitikeF
4V. van DijkD
38R. GravenberchM
17C. JonesM
5I. KonateD
7F. WirtzM
30J. FrimpongD

BurnleyBurnley1:1

Starting XI

1M. DubravkaG
12B. HumphreysD
23Lucas PiresM
11J. AnthonyF
27A. BrojaF
5M. EsteveD
16FlorentinoM
10M. EdwardsF
6A. TuanzebeD
8L. UgochukwuM
2K. WalkerM