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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

37'
Jurriën Timber🟨
Yellow Card
46'
G. Martinelli🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Trossard
57'
M. Odegaard🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Merino
57'
N. Madueke🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Saka
57'
V. Gyökeres🔄
Substitution 4 → Gabriel Jesus
76'
Igor Jesus🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Ndoye
79'
M. Zubimendi🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Eze
89'
N. Dominguez🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Hutchinson
90'
Ola Aina🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

0Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal4
6Total Shots15
3Blocked Shots8
1Shots insidebox14
5Shots outsidebox1
8Fouls14
4Corner Kicks9
1Offsides0
39Ball Possession61
1Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves0
313Total passes495
253Passes accurate417
81Passes %84
0.34expected_goals2.07
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Top Meets Bottom: Can Forest Shock the Gunners?

The pickArsenal win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+7.1%

Lekker, braai masters and beer lovers! We've got a proper Premier League clash here that looks like a mismatch on paper. The league leaders Arsenal travel to face a Nottingham Forest side fighting to stay out of the relegation zone. Let's break down the stats and see where the…

The Big "O"Lost

The Big O Expects Fireworks at the City Ground

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+5.1%

Alright, listen up! The Big O is here, and I can smell goals in the air. The Premier League leaders roll into town to face a Nottingham Forest side clinging to survival. This has all the ingredients for a classic, end-to-end thriller, and my specialty is finding the value where…

Umery UnderdogWon

Forest's Home Hope Against the Mighty Gunners

The pickDraw

Chance
26%
Odds
4.33
Model EV
+12.6%

The Premier League's bottom-half battlers Nottingham Forest host the table-topping Arsenal in a classic clash of underdog versus favourite. Forest, sitting 17th with 21 points, have shown flickers of resilience at home, while Arsenal arrive with a formidable away record of five…

Mr SimpleLost

Forest Face Title-Chasing Arsenal at the City Ground

The pickArsenal win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+7.1%

Right then, let's talk about the big one at the City Ground this weekend. Nottingham Forest, sitting 17th and looking over their shoulder, welcome the league leaders Arsenal. On paper, it's a proper mismatch, but as we know, football isn't played on paper, it's played on a rainy…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nottingham Forest

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Arsenal

8W 2D 0L2.60 pts/game

Per game

Nottingham Forest at home vs Arsenal away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+278Arsenal
Venue edge
+215Arsenal
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nottingham Forest versus Arsenal: long term Elo, before the match
Nottingham ForestHomeRatingArsenalAway
Strength
1,542Overall1,820
1,518Match venue1,734
1,518At home1,783
1,528Away1,734
Attack & defence
1,490Attack1,616
1,545Defence1,722
1,485Home attack1,637
1,500Away attack1,587
1,554Home defence1,702
1,516Away defence1,684
Match profile
1,635Goal environment2,230
1,532Home goals1,962
1,603Away goals1,768
1,496Possession1,528
Specialist ratings
1,526Set-piece attack1,566
1,525Set-piece defence1,564
1,536Close games1,688
1,547Winning margin1,863

Match venue compares Nottingham Forest at home with Arsenal away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26M. SelsG
3N. WilliamsD
8E. AndersonM
16N. DominguezM
19Igor JesusF
5MurilloD
6I. SangareM
10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
31N. MilenkovicD
7C. Hudson-OdoiM
34O. AinaD

ArsenalArsenal1:1

Starting XI

1D. RayaG
12J. TimberD
41D. RiceM
11G. MartinelliF
6GabrielD
36M. ZubimendiM
14V. GyökeresF
2W. SalibaD
8M. OdegaardM
20N. MaduekeF
4B. WhiteD