Skip to main content

Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Burnley vs Tottenham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

38'
M. van de Ven⚽
Normal Goal
45'
A. Tuanzebe⚽
Normal Goal → K. Walker
46'
P. Porro🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Udogie
69'
A. Broja🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Foster
69'
Florentino🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Laurent
76'
L. Foster⚽
Normal Goal
78'
K. Danso🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Tel
78'
Y. Bissouma🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Gray
79'
Josh Laurent🟨
Yellow Card
85'
M. Edwards🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Mejbri
85'
C. Gallagher🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Scarlett
90'
C. Romero⚽
Normal Goal → W. Odobert
90+5'
C. Romero🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Dragusin

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal11
2Shots off Goal7
9Total Shots18
3Blocked Shots0
6Shots insidebox11
3Shots outsidebox7
8Fouls9
1Corner Kicks3
3Offsides1
37Ball Possession63
1Yellow Cards0
9Goalkeeper Saves2
372Total passes618
284Passes accurate521
76Passes %84
1.44expected_goals2.29
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Burnley vs Tottenham: Goals on the Menu at Turf Moor

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+16.0%

Alright, braai masters and beer lovers, let's talk some proper football! This Friday afternoon clash at Turf Moor pits the struggling Burnley against an inconsistent Tottenham side. On paper, it looks like a mid-table team visiting a relegation battler, but the recent form tells…

Value VinnyWon

Burnley vs Tottenham: Value Lies in Goals

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+20.0%

Value Vinnie here, and I've been crunching the numbers for this Premier League clash between 19th-placed Burnley and 14th-placed Tottenham. On the surface, it looks like a straightforward away win for the London side, but the data tells a more nuanced story—and more importantly…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Burnley

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

Tottenham

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Burnley at home vs Tottenham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+102Tottenham
Venue edge
+154Tottenham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Burnley versus Tottenham: long term Elo, before the match
BurnleyHomeRatingTottenhamAway
Strength
1,410Overall1,512
1,404Match venue1,558
1,404At home1,504
1,433Away1,558
Attack & defence
1,454Attack1,535
1,476Defence1,545
1,405Home attack1,537
1,469Away attack1,571
1,491Home defence1,532
1,468Away defence1,548
Match profile
1,497Goal environment2,280
1,432Home goals1,835
1,565Away goals1,945
1,470Possession1,503
Specialist ratings
1,444Set-piece attack1,491
1,446Set-piece defence1,492
1,433Close games1,427
1,408Winning margin1,534

Match venue compares Burnley at home with Tottenham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BurnleyBurnley1:1

Starting XI

1M. DubravkaG
12B. HumphreysD
23Lucas PiresM
11J. AnthonyF
27A. BrojaF
5M. EsteveD
16FlorentinoM
10M. EdwardsF
6A. TuanzebeD
8L. UgochukwuM
2K. WalkerM

TottenhamTottenham1:1

Starting XI

1G. VicarioG
37M. van de VenD
24D. SpenceM
7X. SimonsF
19D. SolankeF
17C. RomeroD
8Y. BissoumaM
28W. OdobertF
4K. DansoD
22C. GallagherM
23P. PorroM