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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Fulham vs Brighton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

28'
Y. Ayari⚽
Normal Goal → O. Boscagli
59'
A. Robinson🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Sessegnon
59'
Kevin🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Chukwueze
66'
Sander Berge🟨
Yellow Card
69'
E. Smith Rowe🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Cairney
72'
S. Chukwueze⚽
Normal Goal → J. Andersen
76'
Danny Welbeck⚽
Goal cancelled
81'
D. Gomez🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Minteh
81'
C. Baleba🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Milner
88'
A. Iwobi🔄
Substitution 4 → J. King
88'
P. Gross🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Rutter
88'
D. Welbeck🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Kostoulas
88'
O. Boscagli🔄
Substitution 5 → M. De Cuyper
90'
H. Wilson⚽
Normal Goal
90+1'
Charalampos Kostoulas🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal4
12Total Shots13
3Blocked Shots4
6Shots insidebox10
6Shots outsidebox3
10Fouls6
6Corner Kicks6
1Offsides3
50Ball Possession50
1Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
497Total passes496
413Passes accurate413
83Passes %83
1.13expected_goals1.5
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Fulham to Braai Brighton at Craven Cottage?

The pickFulham win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.55
Model EV
+14.8%

Listen up, my braai masters and football fanatics! We've got a proper Premier League clash coming up at Craven Cottage, and the numbers are telling me Fulham might just be the team to back here. Let's break down why the Cottagers could continue their braai session at Brighton's…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

At Craven Cottage, Form and History Collide

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

A mid-table clash of fine margins, this is. Fulham in 11th, Brighton in 12th, separated by a single point. Yet, the path to this point, different they have walked. Fulham, with momentum building, faces Brighton, the draw specialists of the league. To understand the flow of this…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Fulham

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Brighton

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Fulham at home vs Brighton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+30Brighton
Venue edge
+10Fulham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fulham versus Brighton: long term Elo, before the match
FulhamHomeRatingBrightonAway
Strength
1,599Overall1,629
1,569Match venue1,558
1,569At home1,621
1,523Away1,558
Attack & defence
1,542Attack1,575
1,571Defence1,591
1,549Home attack1,553
1,499Away attack1,558
1,563Home defence1,586
1,534Away defence1,553
Match profile
1,838Goal environment1,690
1,707Home goals1,572
1,632Away goals1,618
1,505Possession1,511
Specialist ratings
1,464Set-piece attack1,502
1,465Set-piece defence1,502
1,565Close games1,576
1,611Winning margin1,645

Match venue compares Fulham at home with Brighton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FulhamFulham1:1

Starting XI

1B. LenoG
33A. RobinsonD
16S. BergeM
22KevinM
7R. JimenezF
15J. CuencaD
17A. IwobiM
32E. Smith RoweM
5J. AndersenD
8H. WilsonM
21T. CastagneD

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1B. VerbruggenG
21O. BoscagliD
30P. GrossM
22K. MitomaF
5L. DunkD
17C. BalebaM
18D. WelbeckF
6J. P. van HeckeD
26Y. AyariM
25D. GomezF
24F. KadiogluD