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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Liverpool vs Newcastle

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time4:1HT 2–1

Match Timeline

11'
A. Gordon🟨
Yellow Card
36'
A. Gordon⚽
Normal Goal
41'
H. Ekitike⚽
Normal Goal → F. Wirtz
43'
H. Ekitike⚽
Normal Goal → M. Kerkez
45+3'
J. Ramsey🟨
Yellow Card
59'
A. Mac Allister🟨
Yellow Card
67'
F. Wirtz⚽
Normal Goal → M. Salah
73'
J. Willock🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Murphy
73'
A. Elanga🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Woltemade
73'
H. Barnes🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Wissa
84'
M. Salah🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Chiesa
84'
H. Ekitike🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Jones
84'
K. Trippier🔄
Substitution 4 → W. Osula
86'
D. Burn🟨
Yellow Card
87'
F. Wirtz🔄
Substitution 3 → W. Endo
89'
L. Hall🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Murphy
90+3'
I. Konate⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots8
3Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls7
7Corner Kicks11
1Offsides3
54Ball Possession46
1Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total passes318
337Passes accurate254
83Passes %80
1.79expected_goals0.33
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleWon

Liverpool to Continue Toon Dominance at Anfield

The pickLiverpool win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.83
Model EV
+18.9%

Right then, let's talk about the big one at Anfield. Liverpool hosting Newcastle, and if history is anything to go by, the Reds have got the Magpies' number. They've won seven of the last nine meetings, including a 3-2 thriller back in August. But football isn't played on paper…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Liverpool

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

Newcastle

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Liverpool at home vs Newcastle away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+51Liverpool
Venue edge
+250Liverpool
Rating period
Match snapshot
Liverpool versus Newcastle: long term Elo, before the match
LiverpoolHomeRatingNewcastleAway
Strength
1,677Overall1,626
1,779Match venue1,529
1,779At home1,688
1,653Away1,529
Attack & defence
1,598Attack1,558
1,582Defence1,593
1,613Home attack1,629
1,634Away attack1,485
1,651Home defence1,598
1,541Away defence1,569
Match profile
2,480Goal environment1,930
1,945Home goals1,713
2,035Away goals1,717
1,542Possession1,515
Specialist ratings
1,520Set-piece attack1,526
1,519Set-piece defence1,525
1,585Close games1,569
1,694Winning margin1,646

Match venue compares Liverpool at home with Newcastle away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LiverpoolLiverpool1:1

Starting XI

1AlissonG
6Miloš KerkezD
10Alexis Mac AllisterM
18Cody GakpoM
22Hugo EkitikéF
4Virgil van DijkD
38Ryan GravenberchM
7Florian WirtzM
5Ibrahima KonatéD
11Mohamed SalahM
8Dominik SzoboszlaiD

NewcastleNewcastle1:1

Starting XI

1Nick PopeG
3Lewis HallD
28Joe WillockM
11Harvey BarnesF
33Dan BurnD
8Sandro TonaliM
10Anthony GordonF
12Malick ThiawD
41Jacob RamseyM
20Anthony ElangaF
2Kieran TrippierD