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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

5'
M. Gibbs-White⚽
Normal Goal
31'
C. Richards🟨
Yellow Card
32'
C. Riad🟨
Yellow Card
45'
N. Williams🟥
Red Card
45+2'
I. Sarr
Penalty
45+3'
N. Dominguez🔄
Substitution 1 → Morato
46'
M. Sels🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Gunn
46'
C. Hudson-Odoi🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Yates
54'
Y. Pino🟨
Yellow Card
61'
C. Riad🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Uche
70'
Igor Jesus🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Ndoye
75'
N. Milenkovic🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal8
9Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots3
6Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox5
4Fouls12
5Corner Kicks7
2Offsides0
33Ball Possession67
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves0
280Total passes556
206Passes accurate476
74Passes %86
0.49expected_goals1.92
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Forest to Feast on Struggling Palace at Home

The pickNottingham Forest win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+4.0%

Alright, braai masters and beer lovers, let's talk about the only thing that matters this weekend – winning! We've got a proper Premier League scrap between Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace, and the data is telling a juicy story. Forget the veggies, this is meaty stuff…

Mr SimpleWon

Forest Host Palace in a Battle of the Win-Shy

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+26.0%

Alright, gather round. We've got a proper mid-table, or should I say lower-mid-table, scrap at the City Ground this weekend. Nottingham Forest, sitting 17th and looking over their shoulder, welcome Crystal Palace, who are just three points ahead in 15th. On paper, it's a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nottingham Forest

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Crystal Palace

0W 4D 6L0.40 pts/game

Per game

Nottingham Forest at home vs Crystal Palace away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+3Crystal Palace
Venue edge
+43Crystal Palace
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nottingham Forest versus Crystal Palace: long term Elo, before the match
Nottingham ForestHomeRatingCrystal PalaceAway
Strength
1,572Overall1,575
1,525Match venue1,568
1,525At home1,543
1,543Away1,568
Attack & defence
1,493Attack1,482
1,577Defence1,606
1,477Home attack1,462
1,507Away attack1,502
1,569Home defence1,591
1,534Away defence1,608
Match profile
1,625Goal environment1,568
1,523Home goals1,457
1,602Away goals1,612
1,491Possession1,475
Specialist ratings
1,520Set-piece attack1,488
1,519Set-piece defence1,488
1,542Close games1,531
1,585Winning margin1,578

Match venue compares Nottingham Forest at home with Crystal Palace away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26Matz SelsG
3Neco WilliamsD
8Elliot AndersonM
16Nicolás DomínguezM
19Igor JesusF
5MurilloD
6Ibrahim SangaréM
10Morgan Gibbs-WhiteM
31Nikola MilenkovićD
7Callum Hudson-OdoiM
34Ola AinaD

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1:1

Starting XI

1Dean HendersonG
34Chadi RiadD
3Tyrick MitchellM
11Brennan JohnsonF
10Yéremy PinoF
5Maxence LacroixD
8Jefferson LermaM
7Ismaïla SarrF
26Chris RichardsD
19Will HughesM
2Daniel MuñozM