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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

17'
W. Hughes🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Y. Pino🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Guessand
61'
I. Sarr⚽
Normal Goal → E. Guessand
71'
C. Baleba🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Gomez
71'
M. De Cuyper🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Welbeck
71'
H. Howell🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Minteh
77'
W. Hughes🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Kamada
80'
D. Munoz🟨
Yellow Card
82'
G. Rutter🔄
Substitution 4 → M. O'Riley
82'
C. Kostoulas🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Hinshelwood
85'
J. S. Larsen🟨
Yellow Card
85'
D. Gomez🟨
Yellow Card
88'
I. Sarr🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Johnson

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal3
7Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots0
5Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox1
12Fouls9
3Corner Kicks4
3Offsides2
64Ball Possession36
1Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
549Total passes309
467Passes accurate216
85Passes %70
0.85expected_goals1.16
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Brighton to Feast on Palace's Woes at Home

The pickBrighton win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.07
Model EV
+24.2%

Alright, let's braai this data and see what's cooking. Brighton hosting Crystal Palace in a Premier League mid-table clash that, on paper, looks tighter than a lid on a jar of Mrs Ball's chutney. But when you dig into the recent results, a very different story emerges. One team…

Mr SimpleLost

Brighton vs Palace: Seagulls to Peck the Points?

The pickBrighton win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.07
Model EV
+13.9%

Right then, let's talk about this south coast derby. Brighton hosting Crystal Palace, and on paper, it's a proper mid-table scrap. The Seagulls sit 13th with 31 points, the Eagles are 15th with 29. Two points in it, so bragging rights and a bit of breathing space are on the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Brighton

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Crystal Palace

0W 4D 6L0.40 pts/game

Per game

Brighton at home vs Crystal Palace away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+37Brighton
Venue edge
+53Brighton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Brighton versus Crystal Palace: long term Elo, before the match
BrightonHomeRatingCrystal PalaceAway
Strength
1,612Overall1,574
1,620Match venue1,567
1,620At home1,543
1,546Away1,567
Attack & defence
1,569Attack1,481
1,584Defence1,607
1,552Home attack1,462
1,553Away attack1,500
1,585Home defence1,591
1,548Away defence1,607
Match profile
1,690Goal environment1,567
1,570Home goals1,457
1,620Away goals1,610
1,511Possession1,479
Specialist ratings
1,506Set-piece attack1,492
1,506Set-piece defence1,492
1,562Close games1,531
1,627Winning margin1,578

Match venue compares Brighton at home with Crystal Palace away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1Bart VerbruggenG
29Maxim De CuyperD
17Carlos BalebaM
22Kaoru MitomaM
19Charalampos KostoulasF
21Olivier BoscagliD
30Pascal GroßM
10Georginio RutterM
5Lewis DunkD
53Harry HowellM
24Ferdi KadıoğluD

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1:1

Starting XI

1Dean HendersonG
26Chris RichardsD
3Tyrick MitchellM
10Yéremy PinoF
22Jørgen Strand LarsenF
5Maxence LacroixD
19Will HughesM
7Ismaïla SarrF
8Jefferson LermaD
20Adam WhartonM
2Daniel MuñozM