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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Tottenham vs Newcastle

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

35'
W. Odobert🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Tel
41'
P. M. Sarr🟨
Yellow Card
44'
J. Willock⚽
Goal Disallowed - offside
45+5'
M. Thiaw⚽
Normal Goal
46'
Y. Bissouma🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Palhinha
59'
D. Burn🟨
Yellow Card
62'
D. Spence🟨
Yellow Card
64'
A. Gray⚽
Normal Goal → P. M. Sarr
67'
X. Simons🟨
Yellow Card
68'
J. Ramsey⚽
Normal Goal → A. Gordon
70'
C. Gallagher🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Kolo Muani
75'
J. Ramsey🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Tonali
75'
A. Elanga🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Murphy
88'
J. Willock🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Woltemade
88'
A. Gordon🔄
Substitution 3 → W. Osula
89'
Bruno Guimaraes🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Bruno Guimaraes🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Hall

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal7
16Total Shots21
8Blocked Shots9
10Shots insidebox17
6Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls11
2Corner Kicks12
0Offsides2
52Ball Possession48
3Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
387Total passes333
329Passes accurate270
85Passes %81
1.76expected_goals2.5
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

The Big "O"Won

Expect Fireworks as Leaky Defenses Collide

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.87
Model EV
+12.2%

The Premier League serves up a mid-table clash that has 'goals' written all over it. Tottenham, sitting 14th, host 12th-placed Newcastle in what promises to be an entertaining affair. As The Big O, I live for matches like this—two sides who know how to find the net but struggle…

Mr SimpleWon

Spurs and Toon: A Leaky Defence Derby at the Lane

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Right then, gather 'round. We've got Tottenham hosting Newcastle in a proper mid-table scrap. Neither side's setting the world alight this season, are they? Spurs are down in 14th, Toon a few spots better off in 12th. On paper, it's a close one, but the recent form guide makes…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Tottenham

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Newcastle

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Tottenham at home vs Newcastle away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+90Newcastle
Venue edge
+14Newcastle
Rating period
Match snapshot
Tottenham versus Newcastle: long term Elo, before the match
TottenhamHomeRatingNewcastleAway
Strength
1,507Overall1,597
1,510Match venue1,524
1,510At home1,670
1,543Away1,524
Attack & defence
1,534Attack1,560
1,533Defence1,563
1,547Home attack1,631
1,557Away attack1,486
1,529Home defence1,580
1,534Away defence1,556
Match profile
2,288Goal environment1,947
1,840Home goals1,722
1,948Away goals1,725
1,501Possession1,515
Specialist ratings
1,481Set-piece attack1,535
1,482Set-piece defence1,534
1,435Close games1,554
1,526Winning margin1,609

Match venue compares Tottenham at home with Newcastle away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

TottenhamTottenham1:1

Starting XI

1Guglielmo VicarioG
24Djed SpenceD
29Pape Matar SarrM
7Xavi SimonsF
37Micky van de VenD
8Yves BissoumaM
19Dominic SolankeF
3Radu DrăguşinD
22Conor GallagherM
28Wilson OdobertF
14Archie GrayD

NewcastleNewcastle1:1

Starting XI

1Nick PopeG
33Dan BurnD
41Jacob RamseyM
11Harvey BarnesF
4Sven BotmanD
39Bruno GuimarãesM
10Anthony GordonF
12Malick ThiawD
28Joe WillockM
20Anthony ElangaF
2Kieran TrippierD