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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Brentford vs Brighton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–2

Match Timeline

12'
Mats Wieffer🟨
Yellow Card
30'
D. Gomez⚽
Normal Goal
45'
A. Hickey🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Collins
45'
D. Welbeck⚽
Normal Goal
46'
K. Lewis-Potter🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Schade
46'
V. Janelt🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Yarmolyuk
54'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu🟨
Yellow Card
65'
M. Wieffer🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Veltman
67'
J. Henderson🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Damsgaard
76'
D. Gomez🔄
Substitution 2 → M. De Cuyper
81'
K. Ajer🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Donovan
90'
J. Milner🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Baleba
90+2'
Yehor Yarmolyuk🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal7
10Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots11
0Blocked Shots1
9Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox5
7Fouls14
6Corner Kicks4
1Offsides1
52Ball Possession48
1Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves4
428Total passes406
337Passes accurate310
79Passes %76
1.74expected_goals1.11
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleLost

Brentford to Sting Struggling Seagulls

The pickBrentford win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

Alright, gather round! We've got a cracking Premier League clash this Saturday afternoon as Brentford look to keep their European push buzzing against a Brighton side that's gone proper quiet lately. The Bees are flying high in 7th spot, and you can't argue with their form – six…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Brentford

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Brighton

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Brentford at home vs Brighton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+60Brentford
Venue edge
+69Brentford
Rating period
Match snapshot
Brentford versus Brighton: long term Elo, before the match
BrentfordHomeRatingBrightonAway
Strength
1,643Overall1,584
1,608Match venue1,539
1,608At home1,605
1,538Away1,539
Attack & defence
1,571Attack1,544
1,579Defence1,589
1,578Home attack1,539
1,515Away attack1,541
1,552Home defence1,586
1,554Away defence1,555
Match profile
1,757Goal environment1,680
1,645Home goals1,565
1,612Away goals1,615
1,490Possession1,513
Specialist ratings
1,499Set-piece attack1,502
1,499Set-piece defence1,502
1,572Close games1,536
1,665Winning margin1,598

Match venue compares Brentford at home with Brighton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BrentfordBrentford1:1

Starting XI

1C. KelleherG
3R. HenryD
27V. JaneltM
19D. OuattaraM
9I. ThiagoF
4S. van den BergD
6J. HendersonM
8M. JensenM
20K. AjerD
23K. Lewis-PotterM
2A. HickeyD

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1B. VerbruggenG
24F. KadiogluD
30P. GrossM
22K. MitomaF
5L. DunkD
20J. MilnerM
18D. WelbeckF
6J. P. van HeckeD
13J. HinshelwoodM
25D. GomezF
27M. WiefferD