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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Arsenal vs Chelsea

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

21'
W. Saliba⚽
Normal Goal → Gabriel
45'
P. Hincapie⚽
Own Goal → R. James
56'
L. Trossard🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Martinelli
59'
Cole Palmer🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Jorrel Hato🟨
Yellow Card
66'
J. Timber⚽
Normal Goal → D. Rice
67'
Pedro Neto🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Pedro Neto🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Pedro Neto🟥
Red Card
75'
Gabriel Magalhães🟨
Yellow Card
75'
J. Hato🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Gusto
75'
Andrey Santos🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Lavia
76'
D. Rice🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Norgaard
76'
V. Gyökeres🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Havertz
79'
Enzo Fernández🟨
Yellow Card
86'
C. Palmer🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Garnacho
86'
E. Fernandez🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Delap
90'
M. Sarr🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Adarabioyo

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
12Total Shots9
4Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls14
5Corner Kicks10
0Offsides1
41Ball Possession59
1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
338Total passes476
277Passes accurate421
82Passes %88
1.13expected_goals1.05
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

Arsenal vs Chelsea: Gunners to Maintain Home Dominance

The pickArsenal win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.60
Model EV
+4.0%

Howzit boet! Grab a cold one and fire up the braai because we've got a lekker London derby coming up this Sunday. Arsenal are sitting pretty at the top of the Premier League like a perfectly cooked boerewors, and they're hosting Chelsea who are trying to play catch-up from 16…

The Big "O"Won

North London Goal Fest: Big O Backs the Over

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+7.3%

The Big O is back, and baby, I'm feeling the excitement building for this London derby! When Arsenal and Chelsea get together, we're usually guaranteed a climax worth waiting for, and this Sunday afternoon appointment has all the ingredients for a proper score-fest. Arsenal are…

Mr SimpleWon

Gunners Look to Extend Unbeaten Run Against Blues

The pickArsenal win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.60
Model EV
+4.0%

Alright, listen up! We've got a proper London derby on our hands this Sunday as league leaders Arsenal welcome Chelsea to North London. And if the recent history books are anything to go by, the Gunners will be licking their lips at this one. Arsenal are sitting pretty at the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Arsenal

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Chelsea

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

Arsenal at home vs Chelsea away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+108Arsenal
Venue edge
+152Arsenal
Rating period
Match snapshot
Arsenal versus Chelsea: long term Elo, before the match
ArsenalHomeRatingChelseaAway
Strength
1,783Overall1,675
1,767Match venue1,615
1,767At home1,664
1,726Away1,615
Attack & defence
1,631Attack1,598
1,702Defence1,612
1,648Home attack1,586
1,591Away attack1,564
1,685Home defence1,615
1,685Away defence1,582
Match profile
2,248Goal environment2,050
1,972Home goals1,780
1,777Away goals1,770
1,530Possession1,533
Specialist ratings
1,580Set-piece attack1,528
1,578Set-piece defence1,528
1,650Close games1,591
1,829Winning margin1,700

Match venue compares Arsenal at home with Chelsea away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ArsenalArsenal1:1

Starting XI

1David RayaG
5Piero HincapiéD
41Declan RiceM
19Leandro TrossardM
14Viktor GyökeresF
6Gabriel MagalhãesD
36Martín ZubimendiM
10Eberechi EzeM
2William SalibaD
7Bukayo SakaM
12Jurriën TimberD

ChelseaChelsea1:1

Starting XI

1Robert SánchezG
21Jorrel HatoD
8Enzo FernándezM
10Cole PalmerF
19Mamadou SarrD
17Andrey SantosM
20João PedroF
23Trevoh ChalobahD
25Moisés CaicedoM
7Pedro NetoF
24Reece JamesD