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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Leeds vs Sunderland

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

45+2'
Luke O'Nien🟨
Yellow Card
55'
E. MayendaπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ W. Isidor
56'
L. GeertruidaπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ G. Xhaka
58'
Habib Diarra🟨
Yellow Card
62'
I. GruevπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ L. Nmecha
63'
Omar Alderete🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Joe Rodon⚽
Goal cancelled
68'
Wilson Isidor
Penalty confirmed
70'
H. Diarra
Penalty
74'
J. JustinπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ D. James
74'
B. AaronsonπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ W. Gnonto
84'
G. GudmundssonπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ J. Bijol
84'
J. BogleπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ J. Piroe
88'
N. AnguloπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ B. Traore
90'
Wilfried Gnonto🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Unknown PlayerπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ C. Rigg

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal1
17Total Shots3
9Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox3
6Shots outsidebox0
15Fouls19
9Corner Kicks2
2Offsides5
70Ball Possession30
1Yellow Cards3
0Goalkeeper Saves4
545Total passes235
450Passes accurate143
83Passes %61
1.08expected_goals0.86
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (2)

Umery UnderdogWon

Sunderland the Overlooked Puppy at 4.33

The pickSunderland win

Chance
26%
Odds
4.33
Model EV
+12.6%

Oh, what a delightful Tuesday night treat we have in store! While the majority will flock to the home side at skinny odds, us underdog lovers know exactly where the wagging tails are hiding. Sunderland travel to Yorkshire as the clear outsiders at 4.33, and my puppy-senses are…

Value VinnyWon

Sunderland Shock Value at Elland Road

The pickSunderland win

Chance
28%
Odds
4.33
Model EV
+21.2%

Value Vinnie here, and I've got my slide rule out for this Yorkshire clash. Leeds United host Sunderland at Elland Road, and the market has this all wrong. The bookmakers are offering Leeds at 1.80, implying a 55.6% chance of a home win. I make it closer to a coin flip, which…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Leeds

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Sunderland

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Leeds at home vs Sunderland away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Premier League

Overall edge
+27Leeds
Venue edge
+128Leeds
Rating period
Match snapshot
Leeds versus Sunderland: long term Elo, before the match
LeedsHomeRatingSunderlandAway
Strength
1,545Overall1,519
1,546Match venue1,418
1,546At home1,513
1,445Away1,418
Attack & defence
1,542Attack1,426
1,516Defence1,562
1,525Home attack1,464
1,503Away attack1,372
1,518Home defence1,567
1,477Away defence1,511
Match profile
1,770Goal environment1,490
1,595Home goals1,428
1,675Away goals1,562
1,479Possession1,479
Specialist ratings
1,497Set-piece attack1,462
1,498Set-piece defence1,463
1,501Close games1,544
1,560Winning margin1,515

Match venue compares Leeds at home with Sunderland away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LeedsLeeds1:1

Starting XI

26Karl DarlowG
3Gabriel GudmundssonD
11Brenden AaronsonM
9Dominic Calvert-LewinF
5Pascal StruijkD
44Ilia GruevM
6Joe RodonD
4Ethan AmpaduM
24James JustinD
18Anton StachM
2Jayden BogleM

SunderlandSunderland1:1

Starting XI

31Melker EllborgG
32Trai HumeD
27Noah SadikiM
28Enzo Le FΓ©eM
12Eliezer MayendaF
15Omar AldereteD
6Lutsharel GeertruidaM
19Habib DiarraM
5Daniel BallardD
10Nilson AnguloM
13Luke O'NienD