Sun, 3 May 2026, 13:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

6'
Jaydee Canvot🟨
Yellow Card
10'
Jefferson Lerma⚽
Own Goal
32'
Eli Junior Kroupi
Penalty
38'
Maxence Lacroix🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Daniel Muñoz🔄
Substitution 1 → Tyrick Mitchell
46'
Yéremy Pino🔄
Substitution 2 → Ismaïla Sarr
46'
Daichi Kamada🔄
Substitution 3 → Adam Wharton
65'
Jørgen Strand Larsen🔄
Substitution 4 → Jean Philippe Mateta
69'
Tyler Adams🔄
Substitution 1 → Ryan Christie
70'
Eli Junior Kroupi🔄
Substitution 2 → David Brooks
76'
Chadi Riad🔄
Substitution 5 → Chris Richards
77'
Rayan⚽
Normal Goal → David Brooks
80'
Evanilson🔄
Substitution 3 → Enes Ünal
86'
Marcus Tavernier🔄
Substitution 4 → Ben Gannon-Doak
86'
Rayan🔄
Substitution 5 → Amine Adli

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal5
16Total Shots7
6Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox1
10Fouls11
7Corner Kicks1
3Offsides0
49Ball Possession51
0Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
382Total passes398
313Passes accurate309
82Passes %78
2.29expected_goals0.78
-0.98goals_prevented-0.98

Starting Lineups

BournemouthBournemouth1:1

Starting XI

1Đorđe PetrovićG
3Adrien TruffertD
12Tyler AdamsM
16Marcus TavernierM
9EvanilsonF
5Marcos SenesiD
8Alex ScottM
22Eli Junior KroupiM
23James HillD
37RayanM
20Álex JiménezD

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1:1

Starting XI

1Dean HendersonG
34Chadi RiadD
55Justin DevennyM
10Yéremy PinoF
5Maxence LacroixD
18Daichi KamadaM
22Jørgen Strand LarsenF
23Jaydee CanvotD
8Jefferson LermaM
11Brennan JohnsonF
2Daniel MuñozM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Form: D-W-W-D-D
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Form: W-L-D-L-W
Record
3 W
7 D
0 L
•
4 W
4 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
0.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:0.6
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.2
Away:1.6

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Bournemouth versus Crystal Palace: long term ELO, before the match
BournemouthHomeRatingCrystal PalaceAway
Strength
1,650.1Overall1,578.6
1,574.9Match venue1,574
1,574.9At home1,544.6
1,577.3Away1,574
Attack & defence
1,565.4Attack1,478
1,580.8Defence1,611.3
1,504.4Home attack1,447.5
1,568.9Away attack1,513
1,600.9Home defence1,603.1
1,516.3Away defence1,600.1
Match profile
1,986.7Goal environment1,561.7
1,648.3Home goals1,445
1,838.3Away goals1,616.7
1,501.4Possession1,487.6
Specialist ratings
1,509.2Set-piece attack1,492.7
1,509Set-piece defence1,492.5
1,595.3Close games1,540.2
1,661.9Winning margin1,585.3

Match venue compares Bournemouth at home with Crystal Palace away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace: Under 2.5 Goals
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+18.8%
Confidence:65

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. The path to value is often found in the quiet spaces between the noise. Look at Bournemouth at home. Five consecutive draws, you see. Not a single victory, not a single defeat. Stagnant, yet unbreakable. Their defense, a fortress of draws it has become. 1.20 goals conceded per home game, 1.20 scored. The pattern is clear. Shot accuracy hovers around 32%, possession averages 55.6% at home, yet the ball does not find the net often. Efficiency is low, caution is high. Crystal Palace travels with a different rhythm. Away, they have tasted defeat twice in ten outings, but their defense holds firm. 50% clean sheets on the road, a shield strong. When these two meet, history whispers of low scores. Ten encounters, only one has seen three goals or more. The average total goals in their meetings is a mere 1.60. The Force of low-scoring affairs is strong here. Consider the numbers. Expected goals sit at 2.50. Poisson mathematics points to a 54% chance of two goals or fewer. The market prices Under 2.5 Goals at 2.20, implying only 45% probability. An edge of nearly 9%, it presents. When the ball rolls slowly, value reveals itself. Do not chase the shiny Over. The path of wisdom is to bet on the quiet. Fatigue is light for both, with 11 days rest for the home side and 8 for the visitors. The stage is set for a tactical stalemate. Key Points: - Bournemouth: 5 consecutive home draws, 0 losses in last 5 home games. - H2H: Only 1 of last 10 meetings went Over 2.5 Goals. - Goal Expectancy: 2.50 total, strongly favoring the Under. - Palace Away: 50% clean sheet rate, solid defensive structure. Summary: The signs point to a tight, low-scoring affair. Under 2.5 Goals is the wise choice.

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