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Match analysis

Mexico flagMexicoLiga MX

Mazatlán vs Necaxa

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Liga MX fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

4'
MazatlánFábio Gomes🟨
Yellow Card
35'
MazatlánYoel Bárcenas🔄
Substitution 1 → Mauro Zaleta
35'
MazatlánLucas Merolla🔄
Substitution 2 → Jair Díaz
36'
MazatlánBryan Colula🟨
Yellow Card
38'
MazatlánRoberto Meraz🟨
Yellow Card
44'
NecaxaEmilio Lara🟨
Yellow Card
45+6'
MazatlánFábio Gomes
Penalty
49'
MazatlánMauro Laínez🟨
Yellow Card
59'
MazatlánAngel Leyva🟥
Red Card
61'
MazatlánAngel Leyva
Var
66'
NecaxaEmilio Lara🔄
Substitution 1 → Ricardo Monreal
66'
NecaxaFranco Rossano🔄
Substitution 2 → Pavel Pérez
68'
NecaxaCristian Calderón🟨
Yellow Card
71'
MazatlánJosé Joaquín Esquivel🟨
Yellow Card
71'
MazatlánJosé Joaquín Esquivel🔄
Substitution 3 → Christopher Castro
79'
NecaxaAgustín Oliveros🔄
Substitution 3 → Johan Rojas
86'
MazatlánJordan Sierra🔄
Substitution 4 → Sebastian Fierro
86'
MazatlánFábio Gomes🔄
Substitution 5 → Anderson Duarte
90+4'
NecaxaRicardo Monreal⚽
Normal Goal
90+7'
NecaxaRicardo Monreal⚽
Goal confirmed

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal10
5Total Shots22
0Blocked Shots7
3Shots insidebox14
2Shots outsidebox8
10Fouls23
4Corner Kicks14
1Offsides2
31Ball Possession69
5Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
210Total passes458
145Passes accurate386
69Passes %84

Tipster previews (6)

The Big "O"The Big "O"Lost

Goal Fest Incoming When Leaky Defenses Collide

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+13.4%

Get ready for some serious goal action, folks! When Mazatlán hosts Necaxa, we're looking at two teams who absolutely love conceding goals, and The Big O is here for it! Mazatlán might be struggling at the bottom of the table, but their home games have been anything but boring…

PajimonPajimonWon

Bottom-Of-The-Table Bash: Goals On The Cards

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+7.1%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this proper bottom-of-the-table clash! Both these sides are struggling more than I do on a Monday morning without my beer, but that's exactly where we find value. Mazatlán are sitting 16th with just 13 points, and honestly, their…

Value VinnyValue VinnyWon

Goal Fest Expected When Bottom Two Clash

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Mazatlán sits 16th with 13 points, while Necaxa is just one place above with 16 points - two teams struggling at the wrong end of the table. But where there's struggle, there's often value for the sharp bettor…

Mr SimpleMr SimpleWon

Bottom-Table Battle: Goals Galore Expected

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle in Liga MX! Mazatlán (16th) host Necaxa (15th) in what could be an absolute cracker for us neutral fans - and potentially for our betting slips too. Mazatlán have been proper struggling lately, mind. Just one win in…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

MazatlánMazatlán

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

NecaxaNecaxa

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Mazatlán at home vs Necaxa away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Liga MX

Overall edge
+93Necaxa
Venue edge
+27Mazatlán
Rating period
Match snapshot
Mazatlán versus Necaxa: long term Elo, before the match
MazatlánMazatlánHomeRatingNecaxaNecaxaAway
Strength
1,397Overall1,491
1,485Match venue1,458
1,485At home1,502
1,325Away1,458
Attack & defence
1,414Attack1,543
1,480Defence1,462
1,482Home attack1,497
1,351Away attack1,531
1,483Home defence1,543
1,483Away defence1,427
Match profile
1,650Goal environment1,640
1,582Home goals1,542
1,568Away goals1,598
1,490Possession1,498
Specialist ratings
1,479Set-piece attack1,500
1,479Set-piece defence1,500
1,427Close games1,500
1,386Winning margin1,488

Match venue compares Mazatlán at home with Necaxa away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MazatlánMazatlánUnknown

Starting XI

1Ricardo GutierrezG
26Angel LeyvaD
5Facundo AlmadaD
19Lucas MerollaD
15Bryan ColulaM
16José Joaquín EsquivelM
6Roberto MerazM
20Mauro LaínezM
23Jordan SierraF
90Fábio GomesF
11Yoel BárcenasF

NecaxaNecaxaUnknown

Starting XI

22Ezequiel UnsaínG
7Kevin RoseroD
26Emilio LaraD
3Agustín OliverosD
16Cristian CalderónD
24Franco RossanoD
5Tomás JacobM
29José RodríguezM
8Agustín PalavecinoM
27Diber CambindoF
9Tomás BadaloniF