Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 19:00
Eredivisie
Netherlands
Netherlands
Full Time

Match Timeline

22'
Sherel Floranus๐ŸŸจ
Yellow Card
34'
S. van Hooijdonkโšฝ
Normal Goal โ†’ L. Holtby
40'
S. van Hooijdonk
Penalty
43'
K. Kostonsโšฝ
Normal Goal โ†’ S. Floranus
46'
J. Faberski๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 1 โ†’ D. Mbayo
61'
T. Gooijer๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 2 โ†’ O. Aertssen
61'
R. Thomas๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 3 โ†’ N. Fichtinger
65'
Simon Graves Jensen๐ŸŸจ
Yellow Card
65'
C. Brym๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 1 โ†’ J. Talvitie
67'
J. Monteiroโšฝ
Normal Goal โ†’ N. Fichtinger
79'
M. Nassoh๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 2 โ†’ C. Leemans
79'
K. Sowah๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 3 โ†’ R. Paula
80'
C. Valerius๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 4 โ†’ B. Lucassen
83'
K. de Rooij๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 4 โ†’ S. Shoretire
87'
Thijs Oosting๐ŸŸจ
Yellow Card
87'
L. Holtby๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 5 โ†’ P. Reulen
90+2'
T. Oosting๐Ÿ”„
Substitution 5 โ†’ G. Reiziger

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
19Total Shots11
6Blocked Shots3
11Shots insidebox6
8Shots outsidebox5
19Fouls11
3Corner Kicks2
1Offsides0
47Ball Possession53
0Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves4
442Total passes505
362Passes accurate426
82Passes %84
2.54expected_goals1.47
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

NAC BredaNAC Breda1:1

Starting XI

99Daniel BielicaG
4Boy KemperD
90Lewis HoltbyM
14Kamal SowahM
17Sydney van HooijdonkF
22Rio HillenD
16Maximilien BalardM
10Mohamed NassohM
12Leo GreimlD
7Charles-Andreas BrymM
25Cherrion ValeriusD

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1:1

Starting XI

1Jasper SchendelaarG
2Sherel FloranusD
35Jamiro MonteiroM
22Kaj de RooijF
4Anselmo Garcia McNultyD
30Ryan ThomasM
10Koen KostonsF
28Simon Graves JensenD
25Thijs OostingM
19Jan FaberskiF
6Tristan GooijerD

Head-to-Head

๐Ÿ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Form: L-L-W-D-L
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
Form: L-L-D-L-L
Record
3 W
2 D
5 L
โ€ข
2 W
1 D
7 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
0.7
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
2.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.5
Scored
Home:0.2
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:2.6
Away:1.6

โšก Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1477
Average
1480
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1476
โ†“ Momentum (-2)
1500
โ†‘ Momentum (+19)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
35%
Draw
33%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1439
Attack
1435
1494
Defence
1541
Recent Form
1432
Attack
1410
1489
Defence
1537
Post-Match Changes
0
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

๐Ÿ“ Match Preview

Bottom-Table Battle Set for Goal Fest
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+3.8%
Confidence:75

Get ready for some fireworks, folks! When two teams struggling at the bottom of the table collide, you can bet your bottom dollar they'll be throwing caution to the wind in search of precious points. NAC Breda and PEC Zwolle are locked in a relegation dogfight, and that's exactly the kind of scenario that gets The Big O excited! Let's talk numbers, because numbers don't lie! NAC Breda might be sitting pretty in 15th place, but they've been involved in some absolute thrillers recently. Four of their last five matches have seen three or more goals, including that 2-2 draw with Twente and a 2-1 loss to Ajax. At home, they're averaging 1.25 goals per game - not exactly setting the world alight, but they're finding the net. Now, PEC Zwolle... oh boy, where do I start? These guys are practically handing out goals like candy at Halloween! They're leaking an average of 2.10 goals per game, and their recent form reads like a horror story for defensive purists. A 0-4 thrashing by PSV, a 3-1 loss to Ajax, and even in their draws they're conceding - that 2-2 with AZ shows they can't keep it tight at the back. Here's the juicy part: when these two met last season, it ended 1-3. That's four goals right there! And with both teams desperate for points and sitting on just 7 points each, you can expect them to go for the jugular rather than park the bus. The goal expectancy models are showing 2.66 goals expected in this match, and The Big O thinks that's being conservative! Both teams have shown they can score (PEC actually averages 1.20 goals away from home) and both have defensive records that would make a Sunday league manager blush. This has all the ingredients for a classic bottom-of-the-table shootout - desperate teams, leaky defenses, and everything to play for. Life's too short for nil-nil, and this match is going to prove it!

Read Full Preview โ†’