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Match analysis

NetherlandsEredivisie

Twente vs AZ Alkmaar

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eredivisie fixture.

Full time1:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

36'
Bart van Rooij⚽
Goal cancelled
46'
Marko Pjaca🔄
Substitution 1 → Daan Rots
48'
Wouter Goes🟨
Yellow Card
49'
Troy Parrott🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Kees Smit🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Weslley Patati🔄
Substitution 1 → Matěj Šín
69'
Ricky van Wolfswinkel🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Ricky van Wolfswinkel🔄
Substitution 2 → Sam Lammers
75'
Daan Rots⚽
Normal Goal → Bart van Rooij
78'
Wouter Goes🔄
Substitution 2 → Lequincio Zeefuik
78'
Isak Steiner Jensen🔄
Substitution 3 → Wassim Bouziane
82'
Sondre Ørjasæter🔄
Substitution 3 → Mathias Kjølø
83'
Bart van Rooij🔄
Substitution 4 → Guilherme Peixoto
84'
Elijah Dijkstra🔄
Substitution 4 → Mateo Chávez
85'
Guilherme Peixoto🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Kristian Hlynsson🔄
Substitution 5 → Arno Verschueren
90+2'
Mateo Chávez🟨
Yellow Card
90+9'
Troy Parrott
Missed Penalty

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal4
7Total Shots7
2Blocked Shots2
4Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls9
2Corner Kicks3
3Offsides3
51Ball Possession49
2Yellow Cards4
1Goalkeeper Saves2
450Total passes436
354Passes accurate351
79Passes %81
0.89expected_goals1.29
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonLost

Twente vs AZ: Goal Fest Expected at Home

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
75%
Odds
1.50
Model EV
+12.5%

Alright folks, let's fire up the BBQ and break down this Eredivisie clash! Twente might be sitting 8th in the table, but they've been playing some entertaining stuff lately. These boys are scoring goals for fun - 2.20 per game over their last 10 matches, and get this, both teams…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Wisdom of the Force: Twente vs AZ Alkmaar

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
75%
Odds
1.50
Model EV
+12.5%

In the grand tapestry of Eredivisie football, much wisdom can be found in the patterns of recent form. Twente, though sitting eighth in the standings, has discovered the path to consistency - only one defeat in their last ten games they have suffered. A testament to balance this…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found in BTTS Market

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
73%
Odds
1.50
Model EV
+9.5%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on what the numbers tell us. The bookmakers have AZ Alkmaar as slight favorites based on their superior league position (3rd vs 8th), but the recent form data tells a completely different story. Twente has been remarkably consistent lately…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Twente

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

AZ Alkmaar

6W 0D 4L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Twente at home vs AZ Alkmaar away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eredivisie

Overall edge
+104AZ Alkmaar
Venue edge
+22Twente
Rating period
Match snapshot
Twente versus AZ Alkmaar: long term Elo, before the match
TwenteHomeRatingAZ AlkmaarAway
Strength
1,577Overall1,681
1,680Match venue1,658
1,680At home1,670
1,539Away1,658
Attack & defence
1,562Attack1,614
1,552Defence1,588
1,614Home attack1,627
1,540Away attack1,579
1,579Home defence1,578
1,564Away defence1,629
Match profile
2,207Goal environment2,548
1,935Home goals2,097
1,772Away goals1,952
1,510Possession1,510
Specialist ratings
1,527Set-piece attack1,526
1,526Set-piece defence1,525
1,506Close games1,594
1,602Winning margin1,709

Match venue compares Twente at home with AZ Alkmaar away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

TwenteTwente1:1

Starting XI

1Lars UnnerstallG
39Mats RotsD
20Thomas Van den BeltM
27Sondre ØrjasæterM
9Ricky van WolfswinkelF
3Robin PröpperD
6Ramiz ZerroukiM
14Kristian HlynssonM
23Stav LemkinD
7Marko PjacaM
28Bart van RooijD

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1:1

Starting XI

1Rome Jayden Owusu-OduroG
34Mees de WitD
10Sven MijnansM
17Isak Steiner JensenF
5Alexandre PenetraD
6Peer KoopmeinersM
9Troy ParrottF
3Wouter GoesD
26Kees SmitM
7Weslley PatatiF
22Elijah DijkstraD