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Match analysis

NetherlandsEredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eredivisie fixture.

Full time4:0HT 2–0

Match Timeline

5'
T. Parrott⚽
Normal Goal → M. de Wit
22'
Jannes Wieckhoff⚽
Goal cancelled
32'
R. Daal🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Jensen
43'
Jannes Wieckhoff🟨
Yellow Card
45'
S. Mijnans⚽
Normal Goal → T. Parrott
46'
J. Wieckhoff🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Benita
46'
R. Bozinovski🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Scheperman
56'
Lequincio Zeefuik🟨
Yellow Card
56'
N. Unuvar🔄
Substitution 3 → T. van Gilst
60'
E. Dijkstra🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Kasius
60'
Weslley Patati🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Sadiq
70'
Sem Scheperman🟨
Yellow Card
71'
J. Zamburek🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Bruns
74'
M. de Wit⚽
Normal Goal → T. Parrott
76'
Isak Steiner Jensen⚽
Goal confirmed
76'
T. Parrott🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Meerdink
76'
P. Koopmeiners🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Boogaard
82'
Damon Mirani🟨
Yellow Card
84'
I. Jensen⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal1
15Total Shots6
3Blocked Shots3
12Shots insidebox3
3Shots outsidebox3
10Fouls19
7Corner Kicks3
3Offsides1
52Ball Possession48
0Yellow Cards4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
425Total passes396
343Passes accurate308
81Passes %78
3.28expected_goals0.66
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Home Fortress Strong, Visitors Struggle

The pickAZ Alkmaar win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.44
Model EV
+8.0%

Difficult to see, the future is. But clear, this matchup appears. At home, AZ Alkmaar stands strong like a Jedi Temple. Away, Heracles suffers in the dark side of the force. Unbeaten in six home games, AZ Alkmaar has become. Fifty percent victories, fifty percent draws, zero…

Mr SimpleWon

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles: Sunday Roast Banker

The pickAZ Alkmaar win

Chance
72%
Odds
1.44
Model EV
+3.7%

Alright, settle in with your Sunday roast because we've got a proper mismatch lined up in the Eredivisie. AZ Alkmaar are hosting Heracles, and on paper this looks like the football equivalent of taking candy from a baby – except the baby is bottom of the league and hasn't won…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

AZ Alkmaar

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Heracles

1W 2D 7L0.50 pts/game

Per game

AZ Alkmaar at home vs Heracles away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eredivisie

Overall edge
+191AZ Alkmaar
Venue edge
+310AZ Alkmaar
Rating period
Match snapshot
AZ Alkmaar versus Heracles: long term Elo, before the match
AZ AlkmaarHomeRatingHeraclesAway
Strength
1,614Overall1,423
1,655Match venue1,345
1,655At home1,516
1,610Away1,345
Attack & defence
1,564Attack1,440
1,568Defence1,446
1,599Home attack1,496
1,550Away attack1,381
1,574Home defence1,494
1,596Away defence1,412
Match profile
2,563Goal environment2,462
2,103Home goals2,015
1,960Away goals1,947
1,507Possession1,476
Specialist ratings
1,506Set-piece attack1,472
1,507Set-piece defence1,473
1,581Close games1,486
1,626Winning margin1,406

Match venue compares AZ Alkmaar at home with Heracles away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1:1

Starting XI

12H. VerhulstG
34M. de WitD
10S. MijnansM
27R. DaalF
23B. van DuijlD
6P. KoopmeinersM
9T. ParrottF
3W. GoesD
26K. SmitM
7Weslley PatatiF
22E. DijkstraD

HeraclesHeracles1:1

Starting XI

22R. PasveerG
24I. MesikD
20R. BozinovskiM
9N. UnuvarM
25L. ZeefuikF
18A. Van HoorenbeeckD
13J. ZamburekM
70A. HrusticM
4D. MiraniD
14E. AhlstrandM
3J. WieckhoffD