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Match analysis

NetherlandsEredivisie

Twente vs Utrecht

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eredivisie fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

18'
Dani de Wit🟨
Yellow Card
25'
Thomas Van den Belt🟨
Yellow Card
32'
A. Stepanov⚽
Normal Goal
57'
Gjivai Zechiël🟨
Yellow Card
62'
M. Pjaca🔄
Substitution 1 → R. van Wolfswinkel
62'
T. van den Belt🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Verschueren
63'
R. Nijstad🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Propper
66'
A. Alarcon⚽
Normal Goal → G. Zechiel
69'
Y. Cathline🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Karlsson
80'
A. Stepanov🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Min
84'
R. Zerrouki🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Weidmann
84'
K. Hlynsson🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
88'
G. Zechiel🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Viergever
88'
A. Alarcon🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Blake
89'
Vasilis Barkas🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal8
9Shots off Goal2
16Total Shots10
3Blocked Shots0
11Shots insidebox8
5Shots outsidebox2
7Fouls10
4Corner Kicks5
0Offsides1
62Ball Possession38
1Yellow Cards3
6Goalkeeper Saves3
549Total passes341
447Passes accurate238
81Passes %70
1.48expected_goals1.39
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Twente to Braai Utrecht - Home Win Banker!

The pickTwente win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.55
Model EV
+5.4%

Howzit my chinas! Grab a cold one and fire up the braai because we've got a lekker Eredivisie clash coming up this Sunday morning. Twente hosting Utrecht, and let me tell you, this looks like money in the bank for us punters who love winning as much as I love my steak…

Value VinnyLost

Twente's Draw Tendency Offers Value at 4.33

The pickDraw

Chance
28%
Odds
4.33
Model EV
+21.2%

Value Vinnie here, and I've spotted a pricing anomaly that the odds compilers will hate. While the market has fallen head-over-heels for Twente's unbeaten run, they're ignoring a crucial statistical reality: Twente are the Eredivisie's draw specialists, and at 4.33, the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Twente

6W 4D 0L2.20 pts/game

Utrecht

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Twente at home vs Utrecht away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eredivisie

Overall edge
+58Twente
Venue edge
+116Twente
Rating period
Match snapshot
Twente versus Utrecht: long term Elo, before the match
TwenteHomeRatingUtrechtAway
Strength
1,658Overall1,600
1,705Match venue1,589
1,705At home1,603
1,567Away1,589
Attack & defence
1,573Attack1,521
1,629Defence1,626
1,595Home attack1,520
1,551Away attack1,549
1,635Home defence1,621
1,584Away defence1,570
Match profile
2,205Goal environment2,320
1,927Home goals1,848
1,778Away goals1,972
1,515Possession1,489
Specialist ratings
1,544Set-piece attack1,523
1,543Set-piece defence1,522
1,536Close games1,523
1,698Winning margin1,627

Match venue compares Twente at home with Utrecht away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

TwenteTwente1:1

Starting XI

1L. UnnerstallG
39M. RotsD
20T. van den BeltM
7M. PjacaF
43R. NijstadD
6R. ZerroukiM
10S. LammersF
23S. LemkinD
14K. HlynssonM
11D. RotsF
28B. van RooijD

UtrechtUtrecht1:1

Starting XI

1V. BarkasG
16S. El KarouaniD
21G. ZechielM
10Y. CathlineM
18A. StepanovF
3M. van der HoornD
27A. EngwandaM
20D. de WitM
40M. DiddenD
77A. AlarconM
23N. VesterlundD