Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 10:15
Eredivisie
Netherlands
Netherlands
Full Time

Match Timeline

4'
S. I. Sigurdarson
Normal Goal → A. Adelgaard
7'
S. Tengstedt
Normal Goal → A. Sampsted
15'
V. Edvardsen
Normal Goal → A. Sampsted
36'
Koen Kostons🟨
Yellow Card
46'
K. Kostons🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Fichtinger
46'
T. Gooijer🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Aertssen
56'
A. Adelgaard
Normal Goal → J. Breum
62'
S. I. Sigurdarson🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Linthorst
62'
S. Tengstedt🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Slory
63'
M. Suray
Normal Goal → E. Linthorst
67'
T. Oosting🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Reiziger
73'
M. Suray🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Baeten
73'
J. Dirksen🔄
Substitution 4 → G. van Zwam
74'
T. Velthuis🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Graves
82'
V. Edvardsen🔄
Substitution 5 → O. Boakye

Match Statistics

12Shots on Goal1
1Shots off Goal10
15Total Shots16
2Blocked Shots5
12Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox6
9Fouls16
5Corner Kicks8
1Offsides0
52Ball Possession48
0Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
387Total passes357
282Passes accurate280
73Passes %78
2.49expected_goals1.48
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1:1

Starting XI

22J. De BusserG
29A. AdelgaardD
7J. BreumM
17M. SurayM
9S. I. SigurdarsonF
4J. KramerD
21M. MeulensteenM
16V. EdvardsenM
26J. DirksenD
10S. TengstedtM
2A. SampstedD

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1:1

Starting XI

16T. de GraaffG
2S. FloranusD
8Z. BuurmeesterM
22K. de RooijM
10K. KostonsF
4A. Garcia MacNultyD
18O. VelanasM
5T. VelthuisD
9Y. NamliM
6T. GooijerD
25T. OostingM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Form: L-W-L-W-W
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
Form: W-D-D-D-D
Record
3 W
2 D
5 L
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1571
Average
1535
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1585
↑ Momentum (+14)
1598
↑ Momentum (+63)
Expected Outcome
37%
Home Win
33%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1558
Attack
1470
1536
Defence
1544
Recent Form
1578
Attack
1484
1544
Defence
1562
Post-Match Changes
+8
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

GO Ahead Eagles vs PEC Zwolle - Over 2.5 Goals Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+13.0%
Confidence:7

Welcome to the pitch, goal-hunters! I'm The Big O, and if you're here, you know life's too short for nil-nil. Today, GO Ahead Eagles host PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie, and the signs point to a lively affair. Let's dive into the numbers. GO Ahead Eagles are a force at home, averaging 2.60 goals scored per game on their own turf. Their recent form is explosive: a 6-0 thrashing of NAC Breda and a 4-0 win over Heracles show they can open up the score. However, they do leak goals, conceding 1.60 per game at home. That's a recipe for goals on both ends. PEC Zwolle, meanwhile, are struggling away from home defensively. They concede an average of 2.00 goals per game on the road. Their recent away results include a 2-1 win and a 1-1 draw, but their defense is porous. The goal expectancy data is the smoking gun here: the model predicts a combined 3.73 goals for this fixture. That's well above the 2.5 threshold. Head-to-head history shows a split, with only 30% of their last 10 meetings seeing Over 2.5 goals. But history is history; current form is king. With Eagles scoring freely at home and Zwolle leaking goals away, the goal environment is primed for action. The odds of 1.57 for Over 2.5 Goals might look low, but the probability of success based on goal expectancy is around 72%. That gives us a solid edge. So, are we in for a thriller? Absolutely. The Big O is calling for the goals to flow. Life's too short for boring 0-0s, and this match has the ingredients for fireworks.

Read Full Preview →