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Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

De Graafschap vs Jong PSV U21

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

Match Timeline

53'
Joel Van Den Berg⚽
Normal Goal → Tai Abed Kassus
57'
Robin van Duiven⚽
Normal Goal
59'
Reuven Niemeijer⚽
Normal Goal → Bouke Boersma
62'
Teun Gijselhart🔄
Substitution 1 → Arjen Van Der Heide
62'
Noah Fernandez🔄
Substitution 1 → Manuel Bahaty
62'
Joel Van Den Berg🔄
Substitution 2 → Souleymane Sidibe
72'
Sven van der Plas🔄
Substitution 3 → Sami Bouhoudane
73'
Kaya Symons🔄
Substitution 2 → Levi Schoppema
73'
Fedde de Jong🔄
Substitution 3 → Dimitris Theodoridis
73'
Robin van Duiven🔄
Substitution 4 → Yiandro Raap
73'
Michael Bresser🔄
Substitution 5 → Madi Monamay
77'
Bouke Boersma⚽
Normal Goal → Rowan Besselink
85'
Jason Meerstadt🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Dimitris Theodoridis⚽
Normal Goal → Reuven Niemeijer
90'
Jevon Simons🔄
Substitution 4 → Silvan Broker

Match Statistics

13Shots on Goal9
11Shots off Goal6
36Total Shots25
12Blocked Shots10
24Shots insidebox11
12Shots outsidebox14
15Fouls5
7Corner Kicks5
0Offsides2
52Ball Possession48
1Yellow Cards0
7Goalkeeper Saves11
455Total passes423
355Passes accurate340
78Passes %80

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

De Graafschap vs Jong PSV: H2H History Points to Goals

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
75%
Odds
1.40
Model EV
+5.0%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and get stuck into this one! On paper, you'd look at the league table and think Jong PSV should have this easy - they're sitting pretty in 4th with 21 points while De Graafschap are languishing down in 13th with just 13 points. But football's…

Mr SimpleWon

Superboeren vs Young Guns: Goal Fest Incoming?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
75%
Odds
1.40
Model EV
+5.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Friday night footy in the Eerste Divisie. De Graafschap, sitting pretty in 13th (if you call 13th pretty), host the high-flying Jong PSV in 4th. On paper, it's mismatch, but football's played on grass, not paper, innit? De Graafschap…

Umery UnderdogLost

Underdog Value Alert: Jong PSV Poised for Upset

The pickJong PSV U21 win

Chance
25%
Odds
5.00
Model EV
+25.0%

Oh boy, do we have a treat for you fellow underdog lovers! The market has got this one completely wrong, and that's where we find our golden opportunities. Let me break down why Jong PSV at 5.00 odds represents tremendous value despite being labeled the 'underdog'. First, let's…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

De Graafschap

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Jong PSV U21

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

De Graafschap at home vs Jong PSV U21 away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+96De Graafschap
Venue edge
+170De Graafschap
Rating period
Match snapshot
De Graafschap versus Jong PSV U21: long term Elo, before the match
De GraafschapHomeRatingJong PSV U21Away
Strength
1,495Overall1,399
1,576Match venue1,406
1,576At home1,397
1,463Away1,406
Attack & defence
1,514Attack1,505
1,499Defence1,385
1,546Home attack1,503
1,488Away attack1,501
1,537Home defence1,384
1,483Away defence1,402
Match profile
2,055Goal environment2,368
1,748Home goals1,940
1,807Away goals1,928
1,515Possession1,503
Specialist ratings
1,537Set-piece attack1,466
1,536Set-piece defence1,467
1,488Close games1,387
1,503Winning margin1,401

Match venue compares De Graafschap at home with Jong PSV U21 away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

De GraafschapDe Graafschap1:1

Starting XI

1Ties WieggersG
21Kaya SymonsD
8Teun GijselhartM
22Fedde de JongF
18Stijn BultmanD
10Reuven NiemeijerM
28Bouke BoersmaF
3Rowan BesselinkD
24Jason MeerstadtM
7Jevon SimonsF
4Othniël RaterinkD

Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211:1

Starting XI

1Niek SchiksG
5Raf van de RietD
8Noah FernandezM
11Ayodele ThomasF
4Fabian MeriénD
10Joel Van Den BergM
9Robin van DuivenF
3Sven van der PlasD
6Jordy BawuahM
7Tai Abed KassusF
2Michael BresserD