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Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

FC OSS vs Helmond Sport

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

Full time0:3HT 0–1

Match Timeline

5'
L. Bajrami⚽
Normal Goal → T. Essakkati
17'
M. Mariani🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Miguel
24'
Thomas Poll🟨
Yellow Card
46'
M. Remans🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Mol
57'
L. Slagveer🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Hinoke
65'
L. Bajrami🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Lukowicz
68'
A. Leipold🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Ogenia
73'
Leonel Miguel🟨
Yellow Card
76'
M. Esajas🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Doucoure
76'
J. Zimmerman🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Erkan
76'
P. Llonch🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Ludwig
81'
T. Essakkati⚽
Normal Goal
85'
T. Poll🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Absalem
85'
T. Essakkati🔄
Substitution 5 → B. Koglin
89'
Maik Lukowicz🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Xander Lambrix🟨
Yellow Card
90'
L. Daneels⚽
Normal Goal → A. Absalem

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal5
9Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox7
12Fouls21
1Corner Kicks5
3Offsides2
54Ball Possession46
2Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves0
455Total passes386
372Passes accurate320
82Passes %83

Tipster previews (4)

Umery UnderdogLost

OSS Ready to Bark Louder Than Favored Helmond

The pickFC OSS win

Chance
40%
Odds
2.70
Model EV
+8.0%

Oh, what a delightful underdog story we have brewing here! The market has Helmond Sport as the favorite at 2.35, but let me tell you why our little puppies at FC OSS are being seriously underestimated in this Eerste Divisie clash. Looking at the recent form, FC OSS has been…

PajimonLost

OSS vs Helmond: Low-Scoring Affair on the Cards?

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+24.7%

Ag man, this is one of those matches where you need to look past the league table and see what's really happening! FC OSS might be sitting in 16th spot, but they've been tough to beat lately with just 2 losses in their last 10 games. The problem for OSS is they draw more than a…

Value VinnyLost

OSS vs Helmond: Draw Value in Derby Clash

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.60
Model EV
+26.0%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're screaming value on the draw. FC OSS sits 16th with 14 points, while Helmond Sport occupies 12th with 16 points - essentially deadlocked in the table. But the market has got this wrong, pricing Helmond as favorites despite their abysmal…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FC OSS

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Helmond Sport

4W 0D 6L1.20 pts/game

Per game

FC OSS at home vs Helmond Sport away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+7Helmond Sport
Venue edge
+95FC OSS
Rating period
Match snapshot
FC OSS versus Helmond Sport: long term Elo, before the match
FC OSSHomeRatingHelmond SportAway
Strength
1,379Overall1,386
1,429Match venue1,335
1,429At home1,502
1,343Away1,335
Attack & defence
1,358Attack1,417
1,466Defence1,462
1,382Home attack1,494
1,333Away attack1,359
1,475Home defence1,516
1,462Away defence1,435
Match profile
1,923Goal environment1,967
1,770Home goals1,720
1,653Away goals1,747
1,488Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,468Set-piece attack1,505
1,469Set-piece defence1,504
1,468Close games1,437
1,355Winning margin1,372

Match venue compares FC OSS at home with Helmond Sport away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FC OSSFC OSS1:1

Starting XI

1Mike HavekotteG
26Julian KuijpersD
8Marcelencio EsajasM
75Joshua ZimmermanM
9Tijmen WildeboerF
4Xander LambrixD
23Delano VianelloM
11Mart RemansM
14Maxim MarianiD
7Luciano SlagveerM
27Maurilio de LannoyD

Helmond SportHelmond Sport1:1

Starting XI

1Menno BergsenG
5Thomas PollD
11Lennerd DaneelsM
34Tarik EssakkatiF
28Dennis VosD
26Noah MakanzaM
9Labinot BajramiF
3Flor Van Den EyndenD
8Pol LlonchM
36André LeipoldF
24Amine Et-TaibiD