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Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

Waalwijk vs De Graafschap

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

Full time1:4HT 0–3

Match Timeline

3'
Bouke Boersma⚽
Normal Goal → Kaya Symons
34'
Kaya Symons⚽
Normal Goal → Jevon Simons
44'
Ibrahim El Kadiri⚽
Normal Goal → Stijn Bultman
58'
Richard van der Venne🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Richard van der Venne🔄
Substitution 1 → Chris Lokesa
63'
Nazjir Held🔄
Substitution 2 → Roy Kuijpers
68'
Bouke Boersma🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Jevon Simons🔄
Substitution 1 → Arjen Van Der Heide
73'
Luuk Wouters🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Godfried Roemeratoe🔄
Substitution 3 → Tim van der Leij
76'
Daniel van Kaam🔄
Substitution 4 → Harrie Kuster
78'
Bouke Boersma🔄
Substitution 2 → Dimitris Theodoridis
78'
Kaya Symons🔄
Substitution 3 → Levi Schoppema
86'
Reuven Niemeijer🔄
Substitution 4 → Tim Braem
86'
Teun Gijselhart🔄
Substitution 5 → Fedde de Jong
90'
Tim van der Leij⚽
Normal Goal → Roy Kuijpers
90+1'
Arjen Van Der Heide⚽
Normal Goal → Fedde de Jong

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal8
10Shots off Goal7
24Total Shots19
5Blocked Shots4
15Shots insidebox13
9Shots outsidebox6
8Fouls9
11Corner Kicks5
63Ball Possession37
2Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves7
528Total passes311
466Passes accurate248
88Passes %80

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Battle Of Balance And Fire

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
75%
Odds
1.40
Model EV
+5.0%

In the grand tapestry of football, some matches reveal themselves through patterns, not predictions. This encounter between Waalwijk and De Graafschap speaks to the balance of forces, where attack meets defense in a dance of possibilities. Waalwijk, sitting fifth in the league…

Umery UnderdogWon

De Graafschap Ready to Bite Back Against Waalwijk

The pickDe Graafschap win

Chance
36%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+8.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone might be looking at Waalwijk sitting pretty in 5th place with home advantage, my underdog senses are tingling for De Graafschap. Let me tell you why these visitors have the makings of a lovely surprise! De Graafschap…

PajimonWon

Goal Fest Incoming at Waalwijk?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
85%
Odds
1.40
Model EV
+19.0%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and talk some football! Waalwijk hosts De Graafschap in what looks like an absolute cracker based on the numbers. Waalwijk sitting pretty in 5th place with 22 points, while De Graafschap not far behind in 8th with 19. But forget the table…

Value VinnyWon

BTTS Value Alert: Waalwijk vs De Graafschap

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
95%
Odds
1.40
Model EV
+33.0%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on what the numbers tell us. This Eerste Divisie clash presents a fascinating mathematical puzzle, and I've spotted where the bookies have got their sums wrong. Waalwijk sits 5th with 22 points, while De Graafschap occupies 8th with 19 …

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Waalwijk

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

De Graafschap

4W 5D 1L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Waalwijk at home vs De Graafschap away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+10Waalwijk
Venue edge
+52Waalwijk
Rating period
Match snapshot
Waalwijk versus De Graafschap: long term Elo, before the match
WaalwijkHomeRatingDe GraafschapAway
Strength
1,530Overall1,520
1,528Match venue1,476
1,528At home1,583
1,491Away1,476
Attack & defence
1,549Attack1,526
1,473Defence1,497
1,529Home attack1,555
1,506Away attack1,493
1,490Home defence1,531
1,500Away defence1,488
Match profile
1,750Goal environment2,065
1,613Home goals1,757
1,637Away goals1,808
1,495Possession1,516
Specialist ratings
1,494Set-piece attack1,539
1,494Set-piece defence1,538
1,495Close games1,512
1,552Winning margin1,527

Match venue compares Waalwijk at home with De Graafschap away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WaalwijkWaalwijkUnknown

Starting XI

16Mark SpenkelinkG
27Jordi AltenaD
3Roshon van EijmaD
15Luuk WoutersD
55Nazjir HeldD
8Daniel van KaamM
6Godfried RoemeratoeM
7Denilho CleoniseM
10Richard van der VenneM
5Juan CastilloM
9Jesper UnekenF

De GraafschapDe GraafschapUnknown

Starting XI

1Ties WieggersG
4Othniël RaterinkD
3Rowan BesselinkD
18Stijn BultmanD
21Kaya SymonsD
8Teun GijselhartM
24Jason MeerstadtM
7Jevon SimonsM
10Reuven NiemeijerM
11Ibrahim El KadiriM
28Bouke BoersmaF