Sat, 15 Nov 2025, 17:45
Eerste Divisie
Netherlands
Netherlands
Full Time

Match Timeline

35'
Sven Simons
Normal Goal → Tyrese Simons
39'
Thijs Muller
Normal Goal → Hugo Deenen
45'
Mark Diemers
Penalty
46'
Diyae Jermoumi🔄
Substitution 1 → Jort van der Sande
60'
Hugo Deenen🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Thijs Muller🔄
Substitution 1 → Edoly Lukoki Mateso
63'
Hugo Deenen🔄
Substitution 2 → Amir Bryson
63'
Clint Essers🔄
Substitution 3 → Daan Huisman
68'
Bram Marsman🔄
Substitution 2 → Jorn Berkhout
68'
Jamal Amofa🔄
Substitution 3 → Wiebe Kooistra
68'
Remco Balk🔄
Substitution 4 → Kian Visser
73'
Ismaël Baouf
Normal Goal → Mark Diemers
78'
Jochem Nap🔄
Substitution 5 → Toni Jonker
82'
Rangelo Janga🔄
Substitution 4 → Kevin van Veen
86'
Daan Huisman
Normal Goal → Edoly Lukoki Mateso
90+3'
Kevin van Veen🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Amir Bryson🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Jort van der Sande
Normal Goal → Oscar Sjostrand

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal4
12Total Shots18
2Blocked Shots6
3Shots insidebox8
9Shots outsidebox10
22Fouls7
2Corner Kicks6
3Offsides1
30Ball Possession70
3Yellow Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
252Total passes588
179Passes accurate513
71Passes %87

Starting Lineups

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1:1

Starting XI

26Jorn BrondeelG
25Terrence DouglasD
8Sven SimonsM
14Hugo DeenenM
32Rangelo JangaF
33John NeeskensD
6Dyon DorenboschM
21Thijs MullerM
3Farouq LimouriD
2Tyrese SimonsM
22Clint EssersD

CambuurCambuur1:1

Starting XI

1Thijs JansenG
25Bram MarsmanD
46Jochem NapM
11Oscar SjostrandM
18Tony RölkeF
6Jamal AmofaD
10Mark DiemersM
7Remco BalkF
4Ismaël BaoufD
26Ichem FerrahM
2Diyae JermoumiD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
Form: L-W-D-L-L
Cambuur
Cambuur
Form: W-W-L-L-D
Record
1 W
2 D
7 L
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
2.6
Scored
2.2
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.8
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1377
Developing
1588
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1279
↓ Momentum (-98)
1625
↑ Momentum (+37)
Expected Outcome
17%
Home Win
25%
Draw
58%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1394
Attack
1559
1445
Defence
1522
Recent Form
1353
Attack
1583
1422
Defence
1516
Post-Match Changes
+7
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Cambuur to Dominate High-Scoring Affair
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+21.5%

This match presents a stark contrast in form and quality between two teams at opposite ends of the Eerste Divisie table. Cambuur sits in second place with 33 points from 15 games, showcasing their dominance with 10 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 losses. Their attacking prowess has been exceptional, averaging 2.60 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Recent results include impressive victories like a 4-0 win against Vitesse and a 4-1 triumph over Jong Ajax. FC Eindhoven, meanwhile, languishes in 18th position with just 14 points. Their recent form has been abysmal, managing only 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 10 games. They've been particularly vulnerable defensively, conceding 2.20 goals per game while scoring just 1.10. Their home record is especially concerning, with a 0% win rate in their last 10 home matches and an alarming 2.80 goals conceded per game at home. The head-to-head record heavily favors Cambuur, who have won 5 of their 8 meetings against FC Eindhoven. More importantly for our analysis, 7 of those 8 encounters have produced over 2.5 goals, highlighting a consistent pattern of high-scoring matches between these sides. The last meeting ended 4-2 in Cambuur's favor, continuing this trend. Statistical advantages further reinforce Cambuur's superiority. They average 14.33 shots per game with 46.5% accuracy, compared to Eindhoven's 11.00 shots with just 27.6% accuracy. Cambuur also dominates possession with 57% compared to Eindhoven's 45%. The goal expectancy model projects 4.09 total goals for this match, strongly supporting the over 2.5 goals market. Given both teams' recent scoring patterns - Cambuur averaging 2.60 goals scored and Eindhoven conceding 2.20 goals per game - combined with the historical head-to-head data showing 87.5% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, this betting opportunity offers exceptional value.

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📝 Match Preview

Goals Galore Expected When Cambuur Visit Struggling Eindhoven
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+9.9%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. It's a classic tale of two teams heading in completely different directions, innit? Cambuur are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 33 points, while FC Eindhoven are languishing down in 18th with just 14. That's a massive gap, and the recent form tells the same story. Eindhoven are having a right nightmare at the moment. Looking at their last 10 games, they've managed just one win, two draws, and seven losses. That's a measly 10% win rate, mate. They've been shipping goals for fun too - 2.2 per game on average. At home, it's even worse: they haven't won any of their last five home matches and are conceding 2.8 goals per game on their own patch. Recent results like that 0-4 hammering by Vitesse and 1-3 loss to Den Bosch show they're really struggling. Cambuur, on the other hand, are flying high. Five wins, three draws, and just two losses in their last 10 gives them a 50% win rate. They're scoring for fun too - 2.6 goals per game. They just put four past Vitesse away from home and smashed four past Jong Ajax at home. Even on the road, they're averaging 2.33 goals per game. When these two have met historically, it's been Cambuur who've had the upper hand. Five wins to Eindhoven's one in eight meetings, and seven of those eight games have seen over 2.5 goals. The last meeting ended 4-2 to Cambuur, which tells you everything you need to know about how these matches tend to go. The stats back up what we're seeing - Cambuur take more shots (14.33 vs 11), have much better accuracy (46.5% vs 27.6%), and control more of the ball (57% vs 45%). But here's the thing - both teams have leaky defenses. Eindhoven are conceding 2.8 at home, while Cambuur are letting in 1.83 on their travels. With both teams likely to score and both defenses looking about as solid as a chocolate teapot, I'm expecting goals, goals, goals. The goal expectancy suggests around 4 goals in this one, and given the patterns we're seeing, that feels about right.

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📝 Match Preview

Cambuur to Expose Eindhoven's Defensive Fragility
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+10.2%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're screaming value. Cambuur arrives as the 2nd-placed team with 33 points, while FC Eindhoven languishes in 18th with just 14 points - that's a chasm of 19 points over 15 games that tells you everything about the quality gap. Eindhoven's recent form is nothing short of disastrous. They've managed just one win in their last 10 matches (0.50 points per game), and their home record reads 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses in their last five at their own ground. They're shipping goals at an alarming rate - 2.8 per home game - with only one clean sheet in their last ten matches. Recent results like the 0-4 home defeat to Vitesse and 1-3 loss to Den Bosch confirm this defensive vulnerability. Cambuur, by contrast, are operating at a completely different level. Five wins, three draws, and just two losses in their last ten games (1.80 PPG) shows consistency. Even away from home, they're scoring freely at 2.33 goals per game. Their recent 0-4 demolition of Vitesse demonstrates their attacking prowess against decent opposition. The statistical dominance is stark: Cambuur average 14.33 shots per game to Eindhoven's 11.00, with a shot accuracy of 46.5% compared to just 27.6%. They also control possession better (57% vs 45%) and create more chances. Head-to-head history further reinforces Cambuur's superiority - they've won 5 of 8 meetings, with 7 of those games featuring over 2.5 goals. The last encounter ended 4-2 in Cambuur's favor. With goal expectancies of 1.52 for Eindhoven and 2.57 for Cambuur, we're looking at a high-scoring affair where the away side's quality should shine through. The odds of 1.62 for an away win underestimate Cambuur's true probability here.

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📝 Match Preview

The Force Strong With Cambuur
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+5.3%

In the grand tapestry of football, much we learn from observing the patterns of form and fortune. FC Eindhoven, struggling at the bottom of the league table with but 14 points from 15 matches, finds themselves facing a formidable opponent in Cambuur, who sit proudly in second place with 33 points. The recent form of these two sides tells a story of contrasting fortunes. FC Eindhoven's last ten games have brought but one victory, two draws, and seven defeats - a mere 10% win rate and 0.50 points per game. Their home form has been particularly troubling, with zero wins in their last five home matches and an alarming 2.80 goals conceded per game on their own turf. Recent results paint a grim picture: a 1-3 loss to Den Bosch, a 0-1 defeat to VVV Venlo, and a crushing 0-4 loss to Vitesse. Cambuur, meanwhile, flows with the force of victory. Their last ten matches have yielded five wins, three draws, and only two losses - a respectable 50% win rate and 1.80 points per game. Even away from home, they maintain their attacking prowess, scoring 2.33 goals per game on their travels. Their recent performances include an impressive 0-4 victory over Vitesse and a 4-1 triumph against Jong Ajax. The head-to-head history further illuminates the path ahead. In eight previous meetings, Cambuur has emerged victorious five times, with two draws and only one defeat for FC Eindhoven. On FC Eindhoven's home ground, the record stands at one win, one draw, and three losses for the hosts. Their last encounter ended 4-2 in Cambuur's favor, and seven of their eight meetings have produced over 2.5 goals. Statistical advantages favor the visitors significantly. Cambuur averages 14.33 shots per game compared to FC Eindhoven's 11.00, with 6.56 shots on target versus just 3.33 for the hosts. Possession statistics show Cambuur controlling 57% of play compared to FC Eindhoven's 45%. Most tellingly, Cambuur scores 2.60 goals per game while conceding 1.70, whereas FC Eindhoven manages only 1.10 goals scored while leaking 2.20 per game. In football, as in life, momentum carries great weight. Cambuur arrives with the wind at their back, while FC Eindhoven struggles against the tide of poor form. The goal expectancy of 1.52 for the home side and 2.57 for the visitors suggests a high-scoring affair, but more importantly, it points toward Cambuur's superiority. Remember, young padawan: the force of form is strong, and in this contest, it flows decidedly toward the visitors from the north. **Key Points:** - Massive league position gap: Cambuur 2nd (33 pts) vs FC Eindhoven 18th (14 pts) - FC Eindhoven's dreadful home form: 0% wins in last 5 home games - Cambuur's strong away scoring: 2.33 goals per game away from home - Head-to-head dominance: Cambuur 5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 8 meetings - Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 previous encounters - Cambuur's superior attacking stats: 14.33 shots vs 11.00, 57% possession vs 45%

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When Cambuur Visits Leaky Eindhoven
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+6.8%

Get ready for some serious fireworks, folks! This matchup has all the ingredients for a spectacular goal-fest that'll make The Big O very, very happy. Let's break down why we're looking at a potential avalanche of goals at Eindhoven's place. First, let's talk about the home side's defensive situation - and I use the term "defensive" very loosely here. FC Eindhoven has been about as sturdy as a paper umbrella in a hurricane lately, conceding a whopping 2.80 goals per game on their own patch. Their recent home reads like a horror movie: 1-3 loss to Den Bosch, 0-1 blank against VVV, and an absolute shellacking 0-4 against Vitesse. The only time they kept it remotely tight was a 2-2 draw with Dordrecht, and even that saw four goals hit the back of the net! Now enter Cambuur, who've been absolutely relentless in front of goal. These guys are averaging 2.60 goals per game overall and still managing to bang in 2.33 when traveling. Their recent attacking showcase has been nothing short of sensational: a 4-0 demolition of Vitesse, a 4-1 thrashing of Jong Ajax, and even in defeat, they're finding the net with 3-2 and 4-2 scorelines. This team simply doesn't do boring - 80% of their recent games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet. The head-to-head history reads like a goal scorer's dream too. Seven out of eight meetings between these sides have gone Over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.375 goals per game. The last encounter? A thrilling 4-2 affair that had fans on the edge of their seats. When you combine Eindhoven's defensive generosity with Cambuur's attacking ruthlessness, you've got a recipe for goal glory. The goal expectancy models are projecting around 4.09 goals for this match, and honestly, that feels about right. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and there's no reason to expect anything different here. The odds of 1.57 for Over 2.5 goals look mighty tempting given all the evidence pointing toward a goal extravaganza. This is exactly the kind of match that gets The Big O excited - where the nets are likely to get a serious workout!

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