Fri, 21 Nov 2025, 19:00
Eerste Divisie
Netherlands
Netherlands
Full Time

Match Timeline

46'
Remco Balk🔄
Substitution 1 → Jort van der Sande
46'
Mylian Jimenez🔄
Substitution 1 → Daryl van Mieghem
52'
Jort van der Sande🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Jari Vlak🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Jamal Amofa🔄
Substitution 2 → Jorn Berkhout
67'
Ichem Ferrah🔄
Substitution 3 → Iwan Henstra
69'
Sekou Sylla🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Luka Reischl🔄
Substitution 2 → Jesse Bal
72'
Jesse Bal🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Diyae Jermoumi🔄
Substitution 4 → Rik Mulders
76'
Oscar Sjostrand
Normal Goal → Iwan Henstra
81'
Cameron Peupion🔄
Substitution 3 → Nigel Thomas
82'
Oscar Sjostrand🔄
Substitution 5 → Wiebe Kooistra
88'
Jort van der Sande
Normal Goal → Ismaël Baouf
89'
Iwan Henstra🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Matteo Waem🔄
Substitution 4 → Finn de Bruin
90+3'
Ismaël Baouf🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal6
8Total Shots19
2Blocked Shots7
6Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox8
10Fouls21
2Corner Kicks7
1Offsides4
45Ball Possession55
3Yellow Cards3
6Goalkeeper Saves2
389Total passes453
297Passes accurate370
76Passes %82

Starting Lineups

CambuurCambuur1:1

Starting XI

1Thijs JansenG
22Tomas GalvezD
46Jochem NapM
11Oscar SjostrandM
7Remco BalkF
6Jamal AmofaD
18Tony RölkeM
10Mark DiemersM
4Ismaël BaoufD
26Ichem FerrahM
2Diyae JermoumiD

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1:1

Starting XI

1Kilian NikièmaG
18Sekou SyllaD
25Juho KiloM
21Cameron PeupionM
11Evan RottierF
4Matteo WaemD
8Jari VlakM
19Luka ReischlF
15Milan HokkeD
14Mylian JimenezM
2Steven Van Der SlootD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Cambuur
Cambuur
Form: D-W-W-L-L
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
Form: W-W-D-W-W
Record
4 W
4 D
2 L
9 W
1 D
0 L
Goals Per Game
2.5
Scored
vs
3.3
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:3.2
Away:3.4
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.4

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1588
Average
1606
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1625
↑ Momentum (+37)
1682
↑ Momentum (+76)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
34%
Draw
35%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1559
Attack
1585
1503
Defence
1570
Recent Form
1583
Attack
1640
1474
Defence
1590
Post-Match Changes
+13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

League Leaders ADO Visit High-Flying Cambuur
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+33.3%

Right then, let's get down to business! This is a proper top-of-the-table clash, but make no mistake - there's one team that's been absolutely dominating this season. ADO Den Haag are sitting pretty at the top with 13 wins from 14 games, while Cambuur are doing well in second but are a full 6 points behind. Looking at recent form, it's not even close really. ADO have won 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring an incredible 33 goals and only letting in 10. They're averaging 3.3 goals per game! Their away form is scary good too - 80% win rate on the road with 3.4 goals scored per game. They just smashed Roda 4-0 and put 4 past MVV away from home. Cambuur aren't mugs though - they've won 4 of their last 10 and are scoring plenty at home (3 per game). But they've been a bit inconsistent lately, drawing 3-3 with lowly Eindhoven and losing twice to Waalwijk in recent weeks. Their defense is leaking 1.8 goals per game, which could be fatal against ADO's attack. The head-to-head suggests goals - 7 of the last 8 meetings have seen both teams score, and 6 have gone over 2.5 goals. The last meeting was a 4-3 thriller. Here's the thing though - ADO have had 14 days rest compared to Cambuur's 6 days. That's a massive advantage at this stage of the season. When you combine that with ADO's ridiculous form, their superior attacking stats (more shots, more on target), and their defensive solidity, it's hard to look past them. Cambuur will score at home, but ADO look like they're just on another level this season. They're unbeaten in the league and have been crushing everyone. The value has to be on the league leaders continuing their dominant run.

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📝 Match Preview

Can Cambuur's Home Advantage Shock Unbeaten Leaders?
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:3.10
Expected Value:+8.5%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's eyes are on the incredible ADO Den Haag machine that's been rolling through the Eerste Divisie unbeaten, I'm here to shine a light on our plucky underdogs Cambuur! The league leaders have been absolutely sensational with 13 wins and 1 draw from 14 games, but every great run has to end sometime, right? Let's look at why our little puppies at Cambuur might just have a say in this. At home, they've been absolutely brilliant - winning 75% of their home games and scoring a whopping 3.0 goals per game on their own patch! They've been treating us to some real goal fests recently, like that thrilling 3-3 draw with FC Eindhoven and a dominant 4-0 victory over Vitesse. The goals are flowing freely! Now, here's something that might surprise you - historically, Cambuur actually has the edge over ADO Den Haag! Out of 8 previous meetings, Cambuur has won 4 compared to ADO's 2 victories. Their last encounter was an absolute thriller ending 4-3, showing these matches are rarely straightforward. Yes, ADO's away form has been stellar too (80% win rate), but they do concede 1.4 goals per game on their travels. And with Cambuur averaging 3.0 goals at home, we could be in for some fireworks! Both teams have been finding the net regularly - Cambuur in 80% of their recent games and ADO in 60% of theirs. The odds makers have ADO as clear favorites at 2.05, making Cambuur our lovely underdog at 3.10. Sometimes, when everyone expects one outcome, that's exactly where we find our value! Cambuur's home fortress, their historical advantage over ADO, and the fact that even the best teams eventually drop points - it all adds up to an intriguing opportunity for us underdog lovers.

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📝 Match Preview

Top-of-the-table clash promises goals galore
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+12.5%

Right then, let's talk about this proper cracker! We've got the league's two best teams going head-to-head, and honestly, this could be the match of the season so far. ADO Den Haag are absolutely flying at the top of the table - unbeaten with 13 wins and 1 draw from 14 games. That's some serious consistency! Their recent form has been absolutely mental: 9 wins and 1 draw in their last 10, scoring 3.3 goals per game. They've been tearing teams apart left, right, and centre - 4-0 vs Roda, 4-3 at MVV, 3-0 vs Dordrecht, 4-0 at Jong AZ. They're scoring for fun and keeping things relatively tight at the back. Cambuur aren't slouches either, sitting pretty in second. They've been decent in their last 10 with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. They're scoring plenty too - 2.5 per game - but they're a bit more generous at the back, letting in 1.8 per game. Recent results show they can be brilliant (that 4-0 win at Vitesse was quality) but also vulnerable (those two losses to Waalwijk). Here's where it gets interesting - both teams LOVE scoring goals. Cambuur at home are banging in 3 per game, while ADO away are even better with 3.4 per game! When these two have met before, it's usually a goal-fest. Out of 8 previous meetings, both teams have scored in 7 of them, and 6 have gone over 2.5 goals. Their last meeting was 4-3 - proper end-to-end stuff! The stats don't lie here. Both teams to score has landed in 80% of Cambuur's recent games and 60% of ADO's. Given how both sides play - attack-minded and not exactly defensive masters - you'd expect both to find the net again. ADO are favorites at 2.05, which makes sense given their incredible form, but Cambuur at home with that 75% win rate shouldn't be underestimated. This has all the makings of a classic. Key Points: - ADO Den Haag unbeaten in 14 league games (13W, 1D) - Both teams averaging over 2.5 goals scored per game - 7 out of 8 head-to-head meetings saw both teams score - Cambuur scoring 3.0 goals per game at home - ADO scoring 3.4 goals per game away from home - Last meeting ended 4-3 in a goal-fest Both teams are in red-hot attacking form, and neither has shown they can keep a clean sheet consistently. With the head-to-head record showing goals galore and both sides averaging nearly 3 goals per game in their respective home/away fixtures, I'm backing both teams to get on the scoresheet. The odds of 1.50 offer decent value for what looks like a highly probable outcome in this goal-heavy fixture.

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📝 Match Preview

Battle of Titans: ADO's Unstoppable Force Meets Cambuur's Home Power
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+33.3%

In the grand theater of Eerste Divisie, a meeting of the league's two finest forces approaches. ADO Den Haag, perched atop the mountain with 40 points from 14 games, has been nearly perfect in their journey. Their record of 13 victories and 1 draw speaks of a team touched by greatness. Cambuur, though strong in their own right with 34 points, has shown moments of vulnerability that the wise observer cannot ignore. The recent form of ADO Den Haag is nothing short of extraordinary. Nine wins and one draw in their last ten matches, with 33 goals scored and only 10 conceded. Their away performances have been particularly impressive - an 80% win rate on their travels, averaging 3.4 goals per game. Recent victories over Roda (4-0) and Jong PSV (3-0) demonstrate their ability to dominate strong opposition. Cambuur, while formidable at home with a 75% win rate and 3.0 goals per game, has shown inconsistency. Their recent results include a 3-3 draw with struggling FC Eindhoven and two defeats against mid-table Waalwijk. The force of momentum favors ADO significantly. The head-to-head history reveals high-scoring encounters - both teams have scored in 7 of their 8 meetings, with 6 going over 2.5 goals. However, past glories cannot overcome present realities. ADO's defensive solidity (1.0 goals conceded per game) contrasts sharply with Cambuur's more porous defense (1.8 conceded). Rest, a crucial element in the football universe, favors ADO with 14 days compared to Cambuur's 6. In the balance of forces, ADO's superior form, defensive strength, and preparation time create a compelling case for their continued dominance. Key Points: • ADO Den Haag remains unbeaten in 14 league matches (13W-1D-0L) • ADO averages 3.3 goals scored per game vs Cambuur's 2.5 • ADO's defense concedes only 1.0 goals per game compared to Cambuur's 1.8 • ADO has 14 days rest vs Cambuur's 6 days • Head-to-head matches average 3.62 goals per game • ADO's away win rate stands at 80% this season In the cosmic dance of football, momentum and preparation often determine the outcome. ADO Den Haag's journey has been one of consistent excellence, their path illuminated by victories. While Cambuur's home advantage provides some resistance, the force of ADO's current form appears too strong to overcome.

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📝 Match Preview

Value Found in Goal-Friendly Top Two Clash
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+12.5%

The numbers don't lie in this top-of-the-table clash, and they're screaming value. ADO Den Haag arrives with a staggering 13W-1D-0L record, averaging 3.30 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Their away form is equally impressive - 80% win rate with 3.40 goals scored per game. Cambuur, sitting second, aren't slouches either with a 75% home win rate and 3.00 goals per game at their own ground. But here's where the mathematical reality gets interesting. Both teams have been defensively generous - Cambuur concedes 1.80 per game overall, while even ADO's stellar record shows 1.00 goals conceded per game. The head-to-head data reinforces this pattern: both teams have scored in 7 of their 8 meetings, with 6 of those games going over 2.5 goals. Recent form confirms the goal-fest trend. Cambuur's last 10 games show 80% both teams scoring, including high-scoring affairs like their 5-3 win over Jong PSV and 3-3 draw with FC Eindhoven. ADO's attacking machine has been relentless, putting up 4 against Roda, 4 against MVV, and 3 against Jong PSV in their recent outings. The market has priced BTTS Yes at 1.50, implying a 66.7% probability. My calculations, based on the offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities on display, put the true probability closer to 75%. That's a mathematical edge I simply can't ignore - we're looking at +12.4% expected value here. Both teams possess elite attacks that have been consistently finding the net against all levels of opposition. With Cambuur averaging 3.00 goals at home and ADO averaging 3.40 on the road, the stage is set for goals at both ends.

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