Mon, 1 Dec 2025, 19:00
Eerste Divisie
Netherlands
Netherlands
Full Time

Match Timeline

15'
Robin van Duiven⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Fabio Kluit
32'
Harrie Kuster🟨
Yellow Card
53'
Robin van Duiven⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Fabio Kluit
56'
Joel Van Den Berg🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Tai Abed Kassus⚽
Normal Goal
59'
Fabio KluitπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Manuel Bahaty
62'
Roy KuijpersπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Tim van der Leij
62'
Harrie KusterπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Owen Panneflek
65'
Madi Monamay🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Robin van DuivenπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Jairo Beerens
71'
Godfried RoemeratoeπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Bjarn Zorgdrager
72'
Tai Abed KassusπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Souleymane Sidibe
82'
Jesper UnekenπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Richard van der Venne
82'
Jordi AltenaπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Marcel Schaapman
87'
Noah FernandezπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Yiandro Raap
87'
Joel Van Den BergπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Philip Holseter Karlsen
90'
Tim van der Leij⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Owen Panneflek

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal8
11Total Shots13
3Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox11
4Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls12
4Corner Kicks3
1Offsides1
45Ball Possession55
2Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
375Total passes448
299Passes accurate365
80Passes %81

Starting Lineups

Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211:1

Starting XI

1Niek SchiksG
5Raf van de RietD
8Joel Van Den BergM
11Fabio KluitM
9Robin van DuivenF
4Madi MonamayD
6Noah FernandezM
10Nicolas VerkooijenM
3Sven van der PlasD
7Tai Abed KassusM
2Fabian MeriΓ©nD

WaalwijkWaalwijk1:1

Starting XI

16Mark SpenkelinkG
5Juan Familia-CastilloD
20Harrie KusterM
14Chris LokesaF
15Luuk WoutersD
8Daniel van KaamM
9Jesper UnekenF
3Roshon van EijmaD
6Godfried RoemeratoeM
17Roy KuijpersF
27Jordi AltenaD

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Jong PSV U21
Jong PSV U21
Form: D-L-D-W-W
Waalwijk
Waalwijk
Form: W-D-L-D-W
Record
2 W
4 D
4 L
β€’
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
2.2
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:2.3
Away:2.1
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.3

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1410
Average
1520
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1407
↓ Momentum (-3)
1527
↑ Momentum (+6)
Expected Outcome
25%
Home Win
28%
Draw
47%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1519
Attack
1513
1358
Defence
1484
Recent Form
1522
Attack
1533
1336
Defence
1467
Post-Match Changes
+15
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Goal Fest Incoming When PSV Hosts Waalwijk
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.30
Expected Value:+4.0%

Get ready for some serious goal action, folks! The Big O is getting excited about this matchup, and you should too. When Jong PSV U21 hosts Waalwijk, we're looking at a recipe for goal-scoring fireworks that'll make your betting slip sing! Let's talk about Jong PSV's defense - or lack thereof! These youngsters haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches. ZERO! That's right, they're basically handing out goals like candy at Halloween. At home, they're conceding a whopping 2.33 goals per game while still managing to score 1.67 themselves. That's an average of 4.00 goals per home game! Recent results show exactly what we love to see: 2-2 draws, 3-3 thrillers, and plenty of both teams scoring action. Waalwijk might be traveling, but they know how to find the net. They've scored in 80% of their recent matches and average 1.50 goals away from home. While their recent away form shows some draws (0-0, 2-2, 2-2), they're still consistently contributing to the goal party. Now here's where it gets really juicy - the head-to-head history is absolutely mouth-watering for us Over lovers! In six previous meetings, both teams have scored in EVERY SINGLE MATCH. That's 100% BTTS rate! And five out of six have gone Over 2.5 goals. We're talking goal fests like 5-3, 2-3, 3-2, and 4-1. These teams just don't do boring, low-scoring games when they face each other. The stats are screaming goals: Jong PSV with 0% clean sheets, both teams with 80% BTTS rates, and a H2H record that reads like a goal scorer's dream. The goal expectancy sits at 3.38, which tells us everything we need to know. With odds of 1.30 for Both Teams to Score, we're looking at fantastic value. The Big O sees this as a golden opportunity to cash in on what should be an entertaining, goal-filled encounter. Both teams have the attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities to make this happen.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Waalwijk To Continue Good Form
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+7.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Eerste Divisie clash between Jong PSV U21 and Waalwijk. These two are neck and neck in the table - just 2 points separating them in 3rd and 5th respectively. But when you dig into the recent form, it's a different story altogether. Jong PSV have been a bit hit and miss lately, haven't they? Their last 10 games show 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses. They can score goals (16 in that run), but their defence is about as solid as a chocolate teapot - 22 conceded and not a single clean sheet to their name! Recent results like 3-1 loss to Vitesse and that 3-3 thriller with Jong Utrecht tell the story - plenty of entertainment, but not exactly solid at the back. Waalwijk, on the other hand, are looking much sharper. 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses from their last 10 shows they mean business. They've been banging in the goals too - 19 scored - and while they concede a few, at least they've managed a couple of clean sheets. That 1-0 win over MVV and putting 4 past Cambuur twice shows they've got some serious firepower. Now, I know what you're thinking - the head-to-head shows Jong PSV dominating historically with 4 wins from 6 meetings and a perfect home record against Waalwijk. But hold your horses... those matches are from 2017-2019! That's ancient history in football terms, mate. Form over history, that's what I always say. Looking at the recent venue form, Jong PSV have won just 33% of their home games lately, while Waalwijk have been drawing machines on their travels - 75% of their away games have ended level. But given Waalwijk's current form and Jong PSV's defensive nightmares, I reckon that draw streak might be coming to an end. The stats back this up too - Waalwijk are more clinical with better shot accuracy and more shots on target. They just look the sharper side at the moment. Key Points: β€’ Waalwijk in much better recent form (5W, 3D, 2L vs Jong PSV's 2W, 4D, 4L) β€’ Jong PSV have kept 0 clean sheets in last 10 games - shocking! β€’ Historical H2H favours Jong PSV but matches are from 2017-2019 β€’ Waalwijk more clinical with better shooting stats β€’ Both teams score regularly - could be another goal fest Given all this, I'm backing Waalwijk to continue their good run. They're playing with more confidence, look more solid overall, and while Jong PSV will likely score (they always do), Waalwijk should have enough to edge this one. The odds of 1.95 seem about right and offer a bit of value for a side that's clearly in better nick right now.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force Guides Waalwijk's Path
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+7.2%

In the grand tapestry of football's destiny, two forces converge on December's first day. Jong PSV U21, though standing third in the league with 28 points, finds themselves in a period of turmoil. Their recent form reveals a team struggling to find balance - merely 1 point per game over their last ten encounters, with defensive frailties that would make even the most patient Jedi waver. Zero clean sheets in ten matches speaks volumes of their defensive vulnerability, conceding 2.2 goals per game. Yet the numbers tell only part of the story. Waalwijk arrives with the momentum of a true contender. Their recent form shines brightly with 1.8 points per game, nearly double that of their opponents. The visitors have demonstrated both defensive resolve (20% clean sheets) and attacking potency, scoring 1.9 goals per game while maintaining an impressive 80% both teams to score rate. The head-to-head records whisper tales of past glories for Jong PSV - a perfect home record against Waalwijk with three victories from three encounters. But wisdom teaches us that the past does not always illuminate the future. These historical battles were fought in different times, with different warriors. The most recent meeting dates back to 2019, ancient history in football's ever-changing landscape. Delving deeper into the statistical force, Waalwijk demonstrates superior attacking metrics. They average 18.2 shots per game with 44.1% accuracy, compared to Jong PSV's 15.25 shots at 37.8% accuracy. The visitors also dominate in corners won (7.2 vs 4.12), suggesting greater attacking pressure and territorial advantage. The venue analysis reveals interesting patterns. While Jong PSV maintains a modest 33.33% home win rate, Waalwijk's away form shows resilience - they've avoided defeat in three of their last four away matches. Their defensive record on the road is particularly noteworthy, conceding only 1.25 goals per game away from home. In the balance of probabilities, the current form weighs heavily. Waalwijk's recent victories against quality opposition like Cambuur (4-2) and their solid defensive displays suggest they carry the stronger force into this encounter. Jong PSV's inconsistency, highlighted by their recent 3-3 draw with Jong Utrecht and 3-1 loss to Vitesse, indicates a team still searching for harmony. Remember, young padawan: form is temporary, but class eternal. Yet in this moment, Waalwijk's class manifests more clearly through their results and performances.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Waalwijk To Continue Good Form Against Struggling Jong PSV
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+7.2%

Right then, let's get down to business with this Eerste Divisie clash! Looking at the table, you might think these two are closely matched - just 2 points separating them with Jong PSV in 3rd and Waalwijk in 5th. But when you dig into the recent form, it's a completely different story, my friend! Jong PSV U21 have been absolutely shocking lately - picking up just 0.90 points per game over their last 10 matches. They've managed only 2 wins in that period and haven't kept a single clean sheet! Zero, nada, nothing! Their defense is leaking like a sieve, conceding 2.1 goals per game. Recent results show the inconsistency - they beat Helmond Sport 3-2 and Willem II 2-1, but then got hammered 3-0 by ADO Den Haag and lost 3-1 to Vitesse. At home, they're winning just 33% of their recent matches. Now Waalwijk, on the other hand, are cooking with gas! They're averaging 1.80 points per game over their last 10, with 5 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 losses. They're scoring 1.9 goals per game and while they concede a few, they actually keep some clean sheets (20% of the time). They've beaten Cambuur twice recently (3-2 and 4-2), took down MVV 1-0, and have been solid on the road with 75% draws in their last 4 away games. The head-to-head does favor Jong PSV historically (4 wins out of 6), and they've never lost at home to Waalwijk. But form over history, every time! All 6 meetings have seen both teams score, and 5 out of 6 had over 2.5 goals, so we're likely in for a goal fest. Waalwijk are creating more chances too - averaging 7.7 shots on target per game compared to Jong PSV's 5.9, with better shot accuracy (44.1% vs 37.8%). With Jong PSV's defensive struggles and Waalwijk's attacking form, I'm backing the visitors here. Key Points: β€’ Jong PSV U21 have terrible recent form (0.90 PPG) and NO clean sheets in 10 games β€’ Waalwijk in much better form (1.80 PPG) with 5 wins in last 10 games β€’ Both teams score in 70-80% of their recent matches β€’ Waalwijk creating more chances (7.7 shots on target vs 5.9) β€’ Despite H2H favoring Jong PSV, current form suggests Waalwijk value The way I see it, Waalwijk's current form is too strong to ignore against a Jong PSV side that can't defend properly. The visitors should have enough to take all three points here.

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