Fri, 5 Dec 2025, 19:00
Eerste Divisie
Netherlands
Netherlands
Full Time
2:1
HT: 2 - 1

Match Timeline

6'
Oscar Sjostrand
Normal Goal → Ichem Ferrah
10'
Tony Rölke
Normal Goal → Jamal Amofa
33'
Kévin Monzialo
Normal Goal → Emian-Johar Semedo
35'
Jeffrey Fortes🟨
Yellow Card
43'
Kévin Monzialo🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Rik Mulders🔄
Substitution 1 → Bram Marsman
63'
Ilias Boumassaoudi🔄
Substitution 1 → Sheddy Barglan
74'
Oscar Sjostrand🔄
Substitution 2 → Wiebe Kooistra
75'
Remco Balk🔄
Substitution 3 → Jort van der Sande
75'
Jochem Nap🔄
Substitution 4 → Nicky Souren
78'
Thijs van Leeuwen🔄
Substitution 2 → Bodo Djesi
78'
Luc van Koeverden🔄
Substitution 3 → Bohao Wang
78'
Mees Laros🔄
Substitution 4 → Zaid el Bakkali
84'
Ichem Ferrah🔄
Substitution 5 → Iwan Henstra
84'
Kévin Monzialo🔄
Substitution 5 → Sufyan van Daalen
90'
Mark Diemers🔄
Substitution 6 → Toni Jonker
90'
Sheddy Barglan🔄
Substitution 6 → Damian van Dijk

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots13
6Blocked Shots1
11Shots insidebox8
4Shots outsidebox5
10Fouls13
6Corner Kicks2
3Offsides2
51Ball Possession49
0Yellow Cards2
6Goalkeeper Saves3
424Total passes400
354Passes accurate329
83Passes %82

Starting Lineups

CambuurCambuur1:1

Starting XI

1Thijs JansenG
22Tomas GalvezD
11Oscar SjostrandM
18Tony RölkeF
6Jamal AmofaD
46Jochem NapM
10Mark DiemersF
4Ismaël BaoufD
7Remco BalkM
26Ichem FerrahF
16Rik MuldersD

Den BoschDen Bosch1:1

Starting XI

36Pepijn van de MerbelG
5Nick de GrootD
33Mees LarosM
40Ilias BoumassaoudiF
3Stan MaasD
6Kevin FelidaM
8Kévin MonzialoF
42Luc van KoeverdenD
10Thijs van LeeuwenM
17Emian-Johar SemedoF
22Jeffrey FortesD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Cambuur
Cambuur
Form: D-W-D-W-W
Den Bosch
Den Bosch
Form: W-L-W-W-L
Record
4 W
4 D
2 L
5 W
1 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.1
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
2.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:2.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1593
Average
1490
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1635
↑ Momentum (+42)
1514
↑ Momentum (+24)
Expected Outcome
46%
Home Win
29%
Draw
25%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1544
Attack
1496
1533
Defence
1445
Recent Form
1545
Attack
1530
1544
Defence
1412
Post-Match Changes
+6
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Value Found in BTTS Market as Cambuur Host Den Bosch
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.53
Expected Value:+10.2%

The numbers don't lie, and they're pointing toward value in the Both Teams to Score market for this Eerste Divisie clash. Cambuur sits second in the table with a solid 38 points, while Den Bosch occupies fourth with 29 points - a clear quality gap that should favor the home side. Digging into the recent form, both teams are averaging identical 1.60 points per game over their last 10 matches, but the defensive patterns tell a different story. Cambuur has been reasonably solid at the back, conceding just 1.40 goals per game with a 40% clean sheet rate. However, Den Bosch's away defensive record is concerning - they're shipping 2.60 goals per game on the road and have managed only one clean sheet in their last 10 matches. The recent results provide crucial context. Cambuur demonstrated their quality with a 2-0 victory over league leaders ADO Den Haag, while also putting four past both Vitesse and Jong Ajax. Den Bosch, meanwhile, suffered a humiliating 6-0 defeat at Roda and conceded three goals in their away loss to Jong Utrecht. Their defensive vulnerabilities are particularly pronounced on the road. Home advantage plays a significant role here. Cambuur has won 60% of their home games, conceding just 0.60 goals per game at their own ground. Den Bosch's away form shows they win only 40% of their travels while leaking goals freely. The head-to-head record favors Cambuur (5-4 overall), and both teams have scored in 6 of their 9 meetings. Statistically, this matchup screams goals. Cambuur averages 2.10 goals scored per game recently, while Den Bosch nets 2.00. With Den Bosch's porous away defense and Cambuur's attacking prowess, the probability of both teams finding the net appears significantly higher than the market suggests. The bookmakers have priced BTTS Yes at 1.53, implying a 65.36% probability. My statistical analysis puts the true probability closer to 72%, creating a healthy edge that meets my value criteria. This isn't about picking favorites - it's about finding mathematical mispricings, and this market offers exactly that.

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