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Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

Full time1:4HT 0–2

Match Timeline

11'
Sil van der Wegen⚽
Normal Goal
19'
Emirhan Demircan🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Emirhan Demircan⚽
Normal Goal
46'
Jasper Hartog🔄
Substitution 1 → Anthony Smits
46'
Bogdan Budko🔄
Substitution 2 → Saviola Simons
46'
Jaygo van Ommeren🔄
Substitution 1 → Neal Viereck
47'
Neal Viereck🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Neal Viereck⚽
Normal Goal → Rafik El Arguioui
62'
Andrea Natali🔄
Substitution 3 → Hessel de Wit
65'
Emirhan Demircan⚽
Normal Goal → Rafik El Arguioui
68'
Jesse van de Haar🔄
Substitution 2 → Noa Dundas
68'
Emirhan Demircan🔄
Substitution 3 → Viggo Plantinga
70'
Noa Dundas🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Matěj Šín🔄
Substitution 4 → Yoël van den Ban
76'
Markus Jensen🔄
Substitution 4 → Bjorn Menzo
77'
Rafik El Arguioui🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Elijah Dijkstra🔄
Substitution 5 → Sem Dekkers
79'
Rafik El Arguioui🔄
Substitution 5 → Jessey Sneijder
81'
Yoël van den Ban⚽
Normal Goal → Anthony Smits

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal9
7Shots off Goal5
14Total Shots15
2Blocked Shots1
9Shots insidebox10
5Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls12
4Corner Kicks4
65Ball Possession35
0Yellow Cards4
5Goalkeeper Saves4
559Total passes300
481Passes accurate222
86Passes %74

Tipster previews (4)

Umery UnderdogWon

Can the Underdog Puppies Bite Back in Alkmaar?

The pickJong Utrecht win

Chance
37%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+3.6%

The Eerste Divisie serves up a fascinating clash between two reserve sides, but my eyes are firmly on the visitors. Jong Utrecht may sit just three points above their hosts, but the underlying story is one of a team showing more resilience on the road than Jong AZ does in their…

Value VinnyLost

BTTS No: The Statistical Anomaly the Market Missed

The pickBTTS No

Chance
58%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+52.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at what the numbers actually tell us about this Eerste Divisie clash between two reserve sides. On paper, Jong Utrecht appear to be the slightly better team this season—they sit 14th with 23 points, three places and three points ahead of…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Jong AZ

4W 0D 6L1.20 pts/game

Jong Utrecht

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Jong AZ at home vs Jong Utrecht away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+57Jong AZ
Venue edge
+138Jong AZ
Rating period
Match snapshot
Jong AZ versus Jong Utrecht: long term Elo, before the match
Jong AZHomeRatingJong UtrechtAway
Strength
1,418Overall1,361
1,428Match venue1,290
1,428At home1,380
1,472Away1,290
Attack & defence
1,495Attack1,398
1,441Defence1,408
1,476Home attack1,398
1,528Away attack1,347
1,467Home defence1,449
1,461Away defence1,366
Match profile
2,230Goal environment2,130
1,888Home goals1,695
1,842Away goals1,935
1,514Possession1,488
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,472
1,492Set-piece defence1,472
1,431Close games1,435
1,414Winning margin1,338

Match venue compares Jong AZ at home with Jong Utrecht away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Jong AZJong AZ1:1

Starting XI

1Daniel DeenG
5Bogdan BudkoD
8Kasper BoogaardM
11Kevin ToppenbergM
9Sem van DuijnF
4Billy van DuijlD
6Nick TwiskM
10Matěj ŠínM
3Andrea NataliD
7Jasper HartogM
2Elijah DijkstraD

Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1:1

Starting XI

1Mees EppinkG
5Per KloosterboerD
6Jaygo van OmmerenM
11Emirhan DemircanM
9Jesse van de HaarF
14Joshua MukehD
8Oualid AgougilM
10Rafik El ArguiouiM
3Wessel KooyD
7Markus JensenM
2Sil van der WegenD