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Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

De Graafschap vs Waalwijk

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

Full time2:4HT 0–1

Match Timeline

24'
Bouke Boersma🟨
Yellow Card
27'
Harrie Kuster🟨
Yellow Card
35'
Juan Familia-Castillo⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Daniel van Kaam
50'
Tim van der Leij🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Harrie Kuster⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Faissal Al Mazyani
57'
Jevon Simons⚽
Normal Goal
57'
Fedde de JongπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Milan Smits
57'
OthniΓ«l RaterinkπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Chahid El Allachi
66'
Jesper UnekenπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Yorem van der Veen
68'
Loek Postma🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Rein van HedelπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Nazjir Held
75'
Harrie KusterπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Godfried Roemeratoe
77'
Jevon SimonsπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Kyano Kwint
77'
Stijn BultmanπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Nathan Kaninda
78'
Yorem van der Veen⚽
Normal Goal
83'
Levi SchoppemaπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Kaya Symons
84'
Nazjir Held⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Juan Familia-Castillo
85'
Daniel van KaamπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Richard van der Venne
86'
Juan Familia-CastilloπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Melle Witteveen
90+3'
Bouke Boersma⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Kyano Kwint

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal5
7Total Shots12
0Blocked Shots2
4Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox7
9Fouls11
4Corner Kicks5
1Offsides3
69Ball Possession31
1Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
586Total passes252
500Passes accurate170
85Passes %67

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

De Graafschap to Continue Dominance Over Waalwijk

The pickDe Graafschap win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+32.0%

Listen up, braai masters and beer lovers! We've got a proper Eerste Divisie clash here, and the numbers tell a clear story. De Graafschap, sitting pretty in 3rd place with 37 points, host a Waalwijk side languishing in 9th with 30 points. That's a 7-point gap, and recent form…

Mr SimpleLost

De Graafschap to Continue Dominance Over Waalwijk?

The pickDe Graafschap win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+27.6%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Eerste Divisie clash. De Graafschap, sitting pretty in 3rd, welcome a Waalwijk side languishing in 9th. On paper, it's a home banker, but as we know, football isn't played on paper. Let's see what the numbers say. De Graafschap have…

Value VinnyLost

De Graafschap to Capitalise on Home H2H Dominance

The pickDe Graafschap win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+14.4%

The numbers don't lie, and they're singing a sweet song for the home side here. De Graafschap sit comfortably in 3rd, a full seven points and six places above a middling Waalwijk. Recent form is a stark contrast: the hosts have racked up seven wins from their last ten, while the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

De Graafschap

7W 0D 3L2.10 pts/game

Waalwijk

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

De Graafschap at home vs Waalwijk away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+72De Graafschap
Venue edge
+109De Graafschap
Rating period
Match snapshot
De Graafschap versus Waalwijk: long term Elo, before the match
De GraafschapHomeRatingWaalwijkAway
Strength
1,536Overall1,464
1,581Match venue1,472
1,581At home1,503
1,500Away1,472
Attack & defence
1,561Attack1,486
1,473Defence1,474
1,570Home attack1,499
1,527Away attack1,482
1,524Home defence1,481
1,468Away defence1,501
Match profile
2,110Goal environment1,750
1,768Home goals1,617
1,842Away goals1,633
1,512Possession1,508
Specialist ratings
1,509Set-piece attack1,506
1,509Set-piece defence1,505
1,523Close games1,470
1,544Winning margin1,465

Match venue compares De Graafschap at home with Waalwijk away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

De GraafschapDe Graafschap1:1

Starting XI

1Ties WieggersG
5Levi SchoppemaD
8Teun GijselhartM
22Fedde de JongF
15Thomas KokD
10Reuven NiemeijerM
28Bouke BoersmaF
18Stijn BultmanD
24Jason MeerstadtM
7Jevon SimonsF
4OthniΓ«l RaterinkD

WaalwijkWaalwijk1:1

Starting XI

16Mark SpenkelinkG
5Juan Familia-CastilloD
8Daniel van KaamM
11Tim van der LeijF
4Liam van GelderenD
20Harrie KusterM
9Jesper UnekenF
3Roshon van EijmaD
18Rein van HedelM
35Loek PostmaD
33Faissal Al MazyaniD