Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 18:00
Eerste Divisie
Netherlands
Netherlands
Full Time

Match Timeline

25'
Sekou Sylla⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Nigel Thomas
46'
Mees LarosπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Zaid el Bakkali
46'
Nick de GrootπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Rafi Wolters
49'
Jalen Hawkins⚽
Normal Goal
50'
Nigel Thomas⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Mees Kreekels
59'
Jari VlakπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Finn de Bruin
59'
Nigel ThomasπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Bryan Fiabema
59'
Jalen HawkinsπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Daryl van Mieghem
63'
Rafi Wolters⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Emian-Johar Semedo
73'
Sebastian Karlsson GrachπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Billy Millis
73'
Mylian JimenezπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Joey Brandt
83'
Mees KreekelsπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Sanyika Bergtop
84'
Ilias BoumassaoudiπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Danny Verbeek

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal13
2Shots off Goal9
11Total Shots26
5Blocked Shots4
9Shots insidebox18
2Shots outsidebox8
8Fouls11
3Corner Kicks8
3Offsides1
40Ball Possession60
9Goalkeeper Saves3
345Total passes500
284Passes accurate435
82Passes %87

Starting Lineups

Den BoschDen Bosch1:1

Starting XI

36Pepijn van de MerbelG
5Nick de GrootD
46Amine BoushabaM
9Sebastian Karlsson GrachF
3Stan MaasD
33Mees LarosM
17Emian-Johar SemedoF
27Reda AkmumD
40Ilias BoumassaoudiM
22Jeffrey FortesD
15Jack De VriesD

ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1:1

Starting XI

24Antoine LejolyG
18Sekou SyllaD
77Jalen HawkinsM
26Illaijh de RuijterF
4Matteo WaemD
8Jari VlakM
19Luka ReischlF
15Milan HokkeD
14Mylian JimenezM
27Nigel ThomasF
5Mees KreekelsD

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Den Bosch
Den Bosch
Form: D-L-D-W-W
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
Form: W-L-W-W-W
Record
3 W
5 D
2 L
β€’
8 W
0 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
0.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
90%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:0.6

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1491
Average
1608
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1502
↑ Momentum (+10)
1649
↑ Momentum (+40)
Expected Outcome
24%
Home Win
29%
Draw
47%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1462
Attack
1571
1458
Defence
1589
Recent Form
1442
Attack
1590
1457
Defence
1612
Post-Match Changes
-8
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag - Eerste Divisie Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.78
Expected Value:+15.7%
Confidence:8

In the quiet study of the game, truth emerges. The Eerste Divisie reaches its conclusion, and in this final chapter, a clear disparity exists between the contenders. ADO Den Haag stands at the summit of the table, while Den Bosch lingers in the middle ranks. The numbers tell a story of dominance that cannot be ignored by the wise observer. The standings reveal a vast divide. ADO leads with 86 points from 37 games. Den Bosch trails with 51 points. That is a 35-point difference. Such a gap is rarely seen in a competitive league. Form reinforces this view. ADO has secured 8 victories in their last 10 matches, averaging 2.40 points per game. Den Bosch has won only 3 of their last 10, averaging 1.40 points. Defense is the cornerstone of victory. ADO concedes merely 0.60 goals per game on the road, keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Den Bosch, conversely, concedes 1.70 goals per game and keeps a clean sheet in only 10% of matches. The head-to-head record is equally telling. In ten prior encounters, ADO triumphed six times. Den Bosch managed only two victories. The market prices an Away Win at 1.78. This implies a 56% probability. Yet, the evidence points to a true probability closer to 65%. This discrepancy offers significant value for the discerning bettor. Goal expectancy suggests a total of 1.83 goals, indicating a tighter contest, but ADO's defensive solidity remains the stronger signal. The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.49, but with an expectancy of 1.83 goals, it is a poor value play compared to the Away Win. Key Points: - ADO Den Haag leads the table (86 pts) vs Den Bosch (51 pts). - ADO has an 80% win rate in last 10 games; Den Bosch has 30%. - H2H record heavily favors ADO (6 wins to 2). - ADO Away Win odds of 1.78 offer significant value based on form. The math is clear: the bookmakers have undervalued ADO Den Haag's dominance. I am confident in the Away Win selection.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.78
Expected Value:+15.7%
Confidence:8

Welcome to the Eerste Divisie showdown between Den Bosch and ADO Den Haag. As Value Vinny, I don't care about hype; I care about the numbers. The data tells a clear story of disparity. ADO Den Haag sits comfortably at the top of the table with 86 points from 37 games, while Den Bosch languishes in 9th place with just 51 points. That 35-point gap is the first signal of value. Looking at recent form, the gap widens. ADO Den Haag has won 80% of their last 10 games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Their defensive record is elite, conceding only 0.60 goals per game with a 50% clean sheet rate. In contrast, Den Bosch has a 30% win rate, averaging 1.40 points per game, and their defense is porous, conceding 1.70 goals per game. The head-to-head record cements this view: ADO has won 6 of the last 10 meetings, while Den Bosch has only managed 2 wins. The betting market reflects this dominance but may still offer value. The odds for an Away Win are 1.78, implying a 56.2% probability. Given ADO's 80% win rate in recent form and their historical dominance in H2H, the true probability is likely closer to 65%. This creates a significant edge of roughly 8.8%, comfortably exceeding the 6% threshold required for value. While the Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.49, the goal expectancy (Home 0.93, Away 0.90) suggests a total of 1.83 goals, making the Over a poor value play compared to the Away Win. Key Points: - ADO Den Haag leads the table (86 pts) vs Den Bosch (51 pts). - ADO has an 80% win rate in last 10 games; Den Bosch has 30%. - H2H record heavily favors ADO (6 wins to 2). - ADO Away Win odds of 1.78 offer significant value based on form. The math is clear: the bookmakers have undervalued ADO Den Haag's dominance. I am confident in the Away Win selection. **Recommended Bet: Away Win**

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.78
Expected Value:+15.7%
Confidence:7

Right, bra, listen up. It's the final day of the Eerste Divisie season, and the stakes are high. We've got Den Bosch hosting the league leaders, ADO Den Haag. Now, you know I love my meat, and ADO is the main course here. Looking at the table, ADO Den Haag is sitting pretty at the top with 86 points from 37 games. Den Bosch is way back in 9th place with just 51 points. That's a 35-point gap, bra. You don't see that often. It's like comparing a braai master to someone just starting the fire. Form is key. ADO has been on fire, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've only lost 2. Den Bosch is stuck in the middle, with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10. They draw a lot, but ADO doesn't draw at all in their last 10. That consistency is what you want when you're hunting for value. Head-to-head history favors ADO heavily. In the last 10 meetings, ADO has won 6 times. Den Bosch has only won 2. The last time they met, it was a 3-3 draw, but mostly ADO has the upper hand. They know how to handle Den Bosch. Stats tell the story too. ADO keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time. Den Bosch only keeps a clean sheet 10% of the time. ADO's away defense is solid, conceding just 0.60 goals per game. Den Bosch at home concedes 1.00 goals per game. The goal expectancy suggests a tight game, but ADO's defense is the stronger signal. The odds for an ADO win are 1.78. That implies a 56% chance. Given their form and the standings, I'd put the real chance closer to 65%. That gives us a nice edge. Don't worry about the politics, just the football. We want the win, not the drama. So, the pick is clear. ADO Den Haag to win. It's the meat on the bone, bra. Let's get that bag.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag - Eerste Divisie Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.78
Expected Value:+15.7%
Confidence:7

Listen closely to the data, you must. The Eerste Divisie reaches its final chapter, and in this chapter, a clear disparity exists. ADO Den Haag, sitting at the summit with 86 points, faces Den Bosch, resting at 51 points in ninth place. The gap is significant, a chasm in the standings that cannot be ignored. Form does not lie, as the Jedi say. In the last 10 games, ADO Den Haag has secured 8 victories, accumulating 2.40 points per game. Den Bosch, conversely, has managed only 3 wins, averaging 1.40 points per game. The difference in consistency is stark. ADO has kept 50% of their games clean, while Den Bosch has managed only 10%. At their home venue, Den Bosch has a 25% win rate, whereas ADO boasts a 60% win rate on the road. History also speaks of ADO's dominance. In 10 head-to-head meetings, ADO has won 6 times, while Den Bosch has won only 2. The last encounter ended in a 3-3 draw, but prior to that, ADO won 1-2, 2-0, and 3-0. The pattern is clear. Goals are another matter. The goal expectancy suggests 0.93 for the home side and 0.90 for the away side, totaling 1.83 goals. This points toward a tighter contest in terms of scoring, yet ADO's defense remains formidable, conceding only 0.60 goals per game on average. Odds for an ADO Den Haag victory stand at 1.78. The implied probability is roughly 56%, but the data suggests a higher likelihood of success, around 65%. This provides the necessary edge for a profitable wager. Do or do not bet, there is no try. The value is there, if you look with open eyes. ADO Den Haag to win is the path of the wise.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.78
Expected Value:+15.7%
Confidence:7

Right, let's get straight to it, mate. We've got a proper clash in the Eerste Divisie this Thursday. Den Bosch are hosting the league leaders, ADO Den Haag. Now, looking at the table, there's a massive gap here. ADO are sitting pretty at the top with 86 points, while Den Bosch are mid-table with 51 points. That's a 35-point difference, and that usually tells you who's got the edge. ADO Den Haag have been absolutely cracking it. In their last 10 games, they've won 8 of them. Their defense is rock solid, conceding just 0.6 goals per game on the road. That's the kind of graft that wins titles. Den Bosch, on the other hand, have been a bit all over the shop. They've won 3 of their last 10, drawn 5, and lost 2. At home, they've won 2 of their last 4, but they've also drawn 3. It's not the most exciting form, but they're not exactly leaking goals at home either. Now, the head-to-head history is where ADO really shine. In the last 10 meetings, ADO have won 6 times. Den Bosch have only won 2. The last time they met, it was a goal-fest, 3-3, but ADO have generally had the upper hand. Given ADO's clean sheet rate of 50% in their last 10 games, they're not the type to let goals in. The odds are giving ADO Den Haag at 1.78. That implies a 56% chance of them winning. If you look at the stats, I'd put their actual chance closer to 65%. That gives us a nice bit of value. The goal expectancy suggests a lower scoring game (around 1.83 total goals), so Over 2.5 at 1.49 might be a trap. ADO's away scoring is a bit low (0.80 per game), so they might grind out a 1-0 or 2-0 win. So, here's the plan. ADO Den Haag are the clear favorites, and the odds offer a decent edge. I'm backing the away team to take all three points. No jargon, just good value. Let's see if they can keep their title hopes alive with a win here.

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