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Match analysis

SwitzerlandSuper League

FC Thun vs FC Lugano

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Super League fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

19'
Justin Roth🟨
Yellow Card
22'
Hicham Mahou🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Hicham Mahou🔄
Substitution 1 → Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud
66'
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Justin Roth🔄
Substitution 1 → Noah Rupp
70'
Christopher Ibayi🔄
Substitution 2 → Brighton Labeau
74'
Uran Bislimi🟥
Red Card
75'
Nils Reichmuth🔄
Substitution 3 → Franz-Ethan Meichtry
75'
Kastriot Imeri🔄
Substitution 4 → Valmir Matoshi
79'
Yanis Cimignani🔄
Substitution 2 → Zachary Brault Guillard
79'
Daniel Dos Santos Correia🔄
Substitution 3 → Claudio Cassano
79'
Kevin Behrens🔄
Substitution 4 → Georgios Koutsias
84'
Marco Bürki🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Claudio Cassano⚽
Normal Goal → Georgios Koutsias
88'
Lucien Dähler🔄
Substitution 5 → Layton Stewart
90'
Martim Marques🔄
Substitution 5 → Ayman El Wafi
90+4'
Amir Saipi🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal2
20Total Shots12
6Blocked Shots7
11Shots insidebox7
9Shots outsidebox5
8Fouls14
10Corner Kicks5
4Offsides1
40Ball Possession60
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves9
310Total passes457
243Passes accurate393
78Passes %86

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleLost

Thun Top Dogs vs Lugano's Travelling Troubles

The pickFC Thun win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+33.4%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Swiss Super League clash between the league leaders FC Thun and the mid-table FC Lugano. Thun are absolutely flying this season, sitting pretty at the top with 31 points from 13 games - that's proper title-challenging form, that is…

PajimonLost

Thun to Continue Dominant Home Form

The pickFC Thun win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+49.5%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai winner! FC Thun are absolutely smashing it this season, sitting pretty at the top of the table with 31 points from 13 games. They've been scoring goals for fun at home, netting 2 per game on their own patch. Meanwhile, Lugano are…

Mr CertaintyLost

Thun's Home Fortress Faces Lugano's Away Woes

The pickFC Thun win

Chance
68%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+56.4%

FC Thun enters this match as the league leaders with an impressive 31 points from 13 games, showcasing their dominance this season. Their recent form has been exceptional, with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, including notable victories against Servette FC (0-1 away), FC Sion…

Value VinnyLost

Thun vs Lugano: Value Found in Goals Market

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming value in this Super League clash between league leaders FC Thun and mid-table FC Lugano. Let me break down why the mathematics point toward a profitable opportunity. FC Thun have been absolutely dominant this season, sitting top with…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FC Thun

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

FC Lugano

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

FC Thun at home vs FC Lugano away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Super League

Overall edge
+51FC Thun
Venue edge
+9FC Thun
Rating period
Match snapshot
FC Thun versus FC Lugano: long term Elo, before the match
FC ThunHomeRatingFC LuganoAway
Strength
1,602Overall1,551
1,532Match venue1,523
1,532At home1,583
1,518Away1,523
Attack & defence
1,550Attack1,497
1,527Defence1,548
1,520Home attack1,531
1,515Away attack1,489
1,497Home defence1,554
1,495Away defence1,526
Match profile
1,882Goal environment1,827
1,668Home goals1,603
1,713Away goals1,723
1,485Possession1,511
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,485
1,493Set-piece defence1,485
1,600Close games1,524
1,611Winning margin1,554

Match venue compares FC Thun at home with FC Lugano away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FC ThunFC Thun1:1

Starting XI

24Niklas SteffenG
27Michael HeuleD
7Kastriot ImeriM
74Elmin RastoderF
23Marco BürkiD
16Justin RothM
18Christopher IbayiF
19Jan BamertD
6Leonardo BertoneM
37Lucien DählerD
70Nils ReichmuthM

FC LuganoFC Lugano1:1

Starting XI

1Amir SaipiG
26Martim MarquesD
25Uran BislimiM
18Hicham MahouM
91Kevin BehrensF
6Antonios PapadopoulosD
8Anto GrgićM
27Daniel Dos Santos CorreiaM
17Lars Lukas MaiD
21Yanis CimignaniM
46Mattia ZanottiD