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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Full time3:1HT 2–1

Match Timeline

12'
Adriano Bertaccini⚽
Normal Goal
20'
Mathis Servais⚽
Normal Goal → Bill Antonio
25'
Mihajlo Cvetković⚽
Normal Goal → Nilson Angulo
42'
Mihajlo Cvetković🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba🔄
Substitution 1 → Yari Verschaeren
58'
Adriano Bertaccini🔄
Substitution 2 → Mario Stroeykens
58'
Bill Antonio🔄
Substitution 1 → Tommy St. Jago
58'
Fredrik Hammar🔄
Substitution 2 → Benito Raman
59'
Dikeni Salifou🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Nilson Angulo⚽
Normal Goal → Thorgan Hazard
71'
Mihajlo Cvetković🔄
Substitution 3 → Tristan Degreef
71'
Ilay Camara🔄
Substitution 4 → Killian Sardella
75'
Nilson Angulo🔄
Substitution 5 → Moussa N'Diaye
85'
Mathis Servais🔄
Substitution 3 → Bilal Bafdili
85'
Gora Diouf🔄
Substitution 4 → Ian Struyf

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
19Total Shots7
6Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox5
8Shots outsidebox2
14Fouls7
9Corner Kicks2
1Offsides3
44Ball Possession56
1Yellow Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
417Total passes531
334Passes accurate451
80Passes %85
1.62expected_goals1.11
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen: Battle of the Brutes

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+13.8%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and get stuck into this Belgian classic! Anderlecht and KV Mechelen are neck and neck in the table, separated by just one point, and we're in for a proper showdown. Anderlecht have been solid at home this season, winning their last three…

Value VinnyWon

Value Found in Goals Market

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.72
Model EV
+6.6%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookies have priced this up, but they've left a gap in the goals market that's too big to ignore. Anderlecht sits 5th with 19 points, while Mechelen occupies 4th with 20 - these teams are virtually identical in…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Anderlecht

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

KV Mechelen

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Anderlecht at home vs KV Mechelen away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+50Anderlecht
Venue edge
+117Anderlecht
Rating period
Match snapshot
Anderlecht versus KV Mechelen: long term Elo, before the match
AnderlechtHomeRatingKV MechelenAway
Strength
1,623Overall1,572
1,640Match venue1,524
1,640At home1,563
1,609Away1,524
Attack & defence
1,539Attack1,533
1,649Defence1,554
1,574Home attack1,567
1,523Away attack1,486
1,624Home defence1,534
1,649Away defence1,543
Match profile
1,977Goal environment2,140
1,748Home goals1,860
1,728Away goals1,780
1,506Possession1,498
Specialist ratings
1,516Set-piece attack1,500
1,516Set-piece defence1,500
1,527Close games1,525
1,655Winning margin1,588

Match venue compares Anderlecht at home with KV Mechelen away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AnderlechtAnderlecht1:1

Starting XI

26Colin CoosemansG
6Ludwig AugustinssonD
13Nathan-Dylan SalibaM
19Nilson AnguloM
91Adriano BertacciniF
55Marco KanaD
74Nathan De CatM
11Thorgan HazardM
3Lucas HeyD
9Mihajlo CvetkovićM
7Ilay CamaraD

KV MechelenKV Mechelen1:1

Starting XI

13Nacho MirasG
4Gora DioufD
3José MarsàM
9Myron Van BrederodeF
2Redouane HalhalD
29Dikeni SalifouM
20Lion LauberbachF
7Thérence KoudouD
6Fredrik HammarM
17Mathis ServaisF
38Bill AntonioM