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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

RAAL La Louvière vs Anderlecht

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Match Timeline

19'
Maxime Pau🟨
Yellow Card
43'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba🟨
Yellow Card
51'
Djibril Lamego🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Thorgan Hazard🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Maxime Pau🔄
Substitution 1 → Alexis Beka Beka
64'
Ludwig Augustinsson🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Mihajlo Cvetković🔄
Substitution 1 → Mario Stroeykens
66'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba🔄
Substitution 2 → Yari Verschaeren
78'
Thierry Lutonda🔄
Substitution 2 → Darío Benavides
79'
Oucasse Mendy🔄
Substitution 3 → Mohamed Guindo
87'
Adriano Bertaccini🔄
Substitution 3 → Ibrahim Kanate
90'
Thorgan Hazard🔄
Substitution 4 → Tristan Degreef
90+2'
Ibrahim Kanate⚽
Normal Goal → Yari Verschaeren

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal8
10Total Shots20
1Blocked Shots5
8Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox9
14Fouls11
5Corner Kicks7
37Ball Possession63
2Yellow Cards3
5Goalkeeper Saves3
305Total passes530
230Passes accurate457
75Passes %86
0.66expected_goals1.84
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

Value VinnyWon

Anderlecht Away Win Offers Clear Value

The pickAnderlecht win

Chance
55%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+5.1%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The market has Anderlecht as favorites at 1.91, but my calculations suggest this price represents genuine value rather than just short odds on a superior team. The statistical gap between these sides is significant…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

RAAL La Louvière

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Anderlecht

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Per game

RAAL La Louvière at home vs Anderlecht away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+150Anderlecht
Venue edge
+97Anderlecht
Rating period
Match snapshot
RAAL La Louvière versus Anderlecht: long term Elo, before the match
RAAL La LouvièreHomeRatingAnderlechtAway
Strength
1,511Overall1,660
1,512Match venue1,609
1,512At home1,664
1,500Away1,609
Attack & defence
1,473Attack1,555
1,528Defence1,663
1,490Home attack1,587
1,483Away attack1,523
1,520Home defence1,637
1,516Away defence1,649
Match profile
1,485Goal environment1,977
1,493Home goals1,748
1,492Away goals1,728
1,472Possession1,503
Specialist ratings
1,461Set-piece attack1,527
1,463Set-piece defence1,526
1,523Close games1,548
1,506Winning margin1,696

Match venue compares RAAL La Louvière at home with Anderlecht away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1:1

Starting XI

21Marcos Hernán PeanoG
25Djibril LamegoD
5Thierry LutondaM
10Maxime PauF
22Jerry AfriyieF
99Yllan OkouD
15Sami LahssainiM
29Oucasse MendyF
4Wagane FayeD
23Joël ItoM
11Jordi LiongolaM

AnderlechtAnderlecht1:1

Starting XI

26Colin CoosemansG
6Ludwig AugustinssonD
19Nilson AnguloM
11Thorgan HazardF
9Mihajlo CvetkovićF
55Marco KanaD
74Nathan De CatM
91Adriano BertacciniF
54Killian SardellaD
13Nathan-Dylan SalibaM
7Ilay CamaraM