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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

Genk vs OH Leuven

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Full time2:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

14'
Henok Teklab🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Noë Dussenne🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Henok Teklab🔄
Substitution 1 → Óscar Gil
50'
Mujaid Sadick⚽
Normal Goal → Konstantinos Karetsas
67'
Thibaud Verlinden🔄
Substitution 2 → Sory Kaba
67'
Łukasz Łakomy🔄
Substitution 3 → Youssef Maziz
68'
Birger Verstraete🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Patrik Hrošovský🔄
Substitution 1 → Nikolas Sattlberger
75'
Jusef Erabi🔄
Substitution 2 → Hyun-gyu Oh
78'
Sory Kaba⚽
Normal Goal → Davis Opoku
79'
Davis Opoku🔄
Substitution 4 → Casper Terho
81'
Daan Heymans⚽
Normal Goal → Konstantinos Karetsas
84'
Konstantinos Karetsas🔄
Substitution 3 → Jarne Steuckers
85'
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg🔄
Substitution 4 → Yira Collins Sor
87'
Noë Dussenne🔄
Substitution 5 → Abdoul Karim Traoré
90'
Yaimar Medina🔄
Substitution 5 → Adrian Palacios

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal6
11Shots off Goal2
23Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots3
13Shots insidebox5
10Shots outsidebox6
13Fouls16
10Corner Kicks2
4Offsides1
66Ball Possession34
0Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves6
541Total passes272
477Passes accurate206
88Passes %76
2.23expected_goals0.99
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Genk's Home Fortress vs Leuven's Away Challenge

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.08
Model EV
+14.4%

Alright boets, let's break down this Jupiler Pro League clash between Genk and OH Leuven! Genk's sitting in 8th spot with 20 points, while OH Leuven is lingering in 13th with 15 points - both teams needing a good result here. Looking at recent form, Genk's been tough to beat but…

Value VinnyLost

Genk's Home Fortress vs Leuven's Away Woes

The pickBTTS No

Chance
56%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+9.2%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Genk sits 8th with 20 points, while OH Leuven languishes in 13th with just 15 points - that's a meaningful 5-point gap in the standings. But more importantly, we need to examine where the value lies in this matchup…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Genk

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

OH Leuven

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Genk at home vs OH Leuven away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+158Genk
Venue edge
+225Genk
Rating period
Match snapshot
Genk versus OH Leuven: long term Elo, before the match
GenkHomeRatingOH LeuvenAway
Strength
1,657Overall1,499
1,672Match venue1,447
1,672At home1,533
1,631Away1,447
Attack & defence
1,544Attack1,438
1,628Defence1,570
1,568Home attack1,485
1,551Away attack1,393
1,630Home defence1,586
1,593Away defence1,528
Match profile
2,208Goal environment1,917
1,880Home goals1,652
1,828Away goals1,765
1,527Possession1,487
Specialist ratings
1,516Set-piece attack1,481
1,515Set-piece defence1,482
1,594Close games1,512
1,681Winning margin1,499

Match venue compares Genk at home with OH Leuven away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GenkGenkUnknown

Starting XI

1Hendrik Van CrombruggeG
77Zakaria El OuahdiD
3Mujaid SadickD
6Matte SmetsD
19Yaimar MedinaD
17Patrik HrošovskýM
8Bryan HeynenM
20Konstantinos KaretsasM
38Daan HeymansM
32Noah Adedeji-SternbergM
99Jusef ErabiF

OH LeuvenOH LeuvenUnknown

Starting XI

1Tobe LeysenG
99Davis OpokuD
28Ewoud PletinckxD
3Noë DussenneD
34Roggerio NyakossiD
14Henok TeklabD
33Mathieu MaertensM
4Birger VerstraeteM
24Łukasz ŁakomyM
7Thibaud VerlindenM
19Chukwubuikem IkwuemesiF