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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

Antwerp vs Genk

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Full time3:0HT 2–0

Match Timeline

8'
Thibo Somers⚽
Normal Goal → Vincent Janssen
14'
Mauricio Benitez⚽
Normal Goal → Gyrano Kerk
17'
Boubakar Kouyaté🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Nikolas Sattlberger🔄
Substitution 1 → Yira Collins Sor
46'
Yaimar Medina🔄
Substitution 2 → Adrian Palacios
56'
Vincent Janssen⚽
Normal Goal
63'
Marwan Alsahafi🔄
Substitution 1 → Mahamadou Diawara
70'
Gyrano Kerk🔄
Substitution 2 → Farouck Adekami
71'
Bryan Heynen🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Daan Heymans🔄
Substitution 3 → Patrik Hrošovský
74'
Bryan Heynen🔄
Substitution 4 → Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
82'
Xander Dierickx🔄
Substitution 3 → Isaac Babadi
82'
Thibo Somers🔄
Substitution 4 → Semm Renders
83'
Vincent Janssen🔄
Substitution 5 → Gerard Vandeplas
85'
Hyun-gyu Oh🔄
Substitution 5 → Jusef Erabi

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal2
11Total Shots18
1Blocked Shots8
9Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox7
12Fouls11
3Corner Kicks10
3Offsides0
29Ball Possession71
1Yellow Cards1
8Goalkeeper Saves1
263Total passes679
196Passes accurate589
75Passes %87
1.34expected_goals0.65
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Genk's Form Illuminates Path to Victory

The pickGenk win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+15.5%

In the grand tapestry of football, form reveals the true nature of teams. Much like the Force, it flows through those who are in harmony with their purpose. This Sunday, we witness a clash between two sides traveling different paths in the Jupiler Pro League. Antwerp, sitting…

Mr CertaintyWon

Genk's Away Form Points to High-Scoring Encounter

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+25.8%

This Jupiler Pro League clash presents a clear mismatch in current form, with Genk sitting 6th with 23 points while Antwerp languishes in 12th on just 17 points. The visitors have been significantly more consistent, accumulating 1.90 points per game compared to Antwerp's meager…

Value VinnyWon

Value Found in Goals Market as Antwerp Host Genk

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
64%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+18.4%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're screaming value in the goals market. Antwerp sits 12th in the table with a paltry 17 points from 16 games, while Genk occupies 6th with 23 points. The gap in quality is evident when you dig into the recent form data. Genk has been…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Antwerp

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Genk

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

Per game

Antwerp at home vs Genk away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+118Genk
Venue edge
+59Genk
Rating period
Match snapshot
Antwerp versus Genk: long term Elo, before the match
AntwerpHomeRatingGenkAway
Strength
1,548Overall1,667
1,572Match venue1,631
1,572At home1,677
1,569Away1,631
Attack & defence
1,484Attack1,551
1,601Defence1,625
1,561Home attack1,572
1,427Away attack1,551
1,556Home defence1,626
1,654Away defence1,593
Match profile
1,658Goal environment2,210
1,670Home goals1,882
1,488Away goals1,828
1,500Possession1,529
Specialist ratings
1,490Set-piece attack1,524
1,490Set-piece defence1,523
1,511Close games1,606
1,559Winning margin1,689

Match venue compares Antwerp at home with Genk away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AntwerpAntwerp1:1

Starting XI

41Taishi Brandon NozawaG
26Rosen BozhinovD
30Christopher ScottM
9Marwan AlsahafiF
25Boubakar KouyatéD
78Xander DierickxM
18Vincent JanssenF
33Zeno Van Den BoschD
16Mauricio BenitezM
7Gyrano KerkF
24Thibo SomersM

GenkGenk1:1

Starting XI

26Tobias Okiki LawalG
19Yaimar MedinaD
8Bryan HeynenM
7Jarne SteuckersM
9Hyun-gyu OhF
6Matte SmetsD
24Nikolas SattlbergerM
38Daan HeymansM
3Mujaid SadickD
20Konstantinos KaretsasM
77Zakaria El OuahdiD