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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

Genk vs KVC Westerlo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

13'
Griffin Yow⚽
Normal Goal → Arthur Piedfort
65'
Daan Heymans🔄
Substitution 1 → Hyun-gyu Oh
65'
Jarne Steuckers🔄
Substitution 2 → Konstantinos Karetsas
65'
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura🔄
Substitution 3 → Patrik Hrošovský
70'
Emin Bayram
Card upgrade
72'
Emin Bayram🟥
Red Card
73'
Isa Sakamoto🔄
Substitution 1 → Roman Neustädter
77'
Yaimar Medina🔄
Substitution 4 → Jusef Erabi
77'
Griffin Yow🔄
Substitution 2 → Lucas Mbamba
90'
Nacho Ferri🔄
Substitution 3 → Kyan Vaesen
90+4'
Hyun-gyu Oh⚽
Normal Goal
90+6'
Bryan Reynolds🟨
Yellow Card
90+11'
Lucas Mbamba🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal5
22Total Shots10
7Blocked Shots2
15Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls12
9Corner Kicks7
2Offsides2
68Ball Possession32
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
574Total passes273
499Passes accurate200
87Passes %73
3.14expected_goals0.85
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Genk to Braai Westerlo at Home? Sunday Football Feast!

The pickGenk win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+10.5%

Listen up, braai masters and football fans! We've got a proper Jupiler Pro League clash this Sunday as Genk hosts KVC Westerlo. Both teams are sitting mid-table with 23 and 20 points respectively, but the story in the stats tells a very different tale. Let's crack open a cold…

Mr CertaintyLost

Goals Expected as Genk Host Leaky Westerlo

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
72%
Odds
1.48
Model EV
+6.6%

Genk welcome KVC Westerlo to their home ground this Sunday, with both teams positioned in the lower half of the Jupiler Pro League table. The hosts sit in 8th place with 23 points, just three points and three places above their visitors, who have 20 points. On paper, this looks…

Value VinnyWon

Genk vs Westerlo: The Value Lies in the Draw

The pickDraw

Chance
30%
Odds
4.10
Model EV
+23.0%

On paper, this looks like a straightforward home win. Genk sits above Westerlo in the table, boasts a dominant head-to-head record (unbeaten in nine meetings), and is strong at home with a 60% win rate. But the numbers whisper a different story, and my job is to listen. The…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Genk

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

KVC Westerlo

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Genk at home vs KVC Westerlo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+102Genk
Venue edge
+189Genk
Rating period
Match snapshot
Genk versus KVC Westerlo: long term Elo, before the match
GenkHomeRatingKVC WesterloAway
Strength
1,645Overall1,543
1,677Match venue1,489
1,677At home1,520
1,617Away1,489
Attack & defence
1,538Attack1,549
1,605Defence1,533
1,572Home attack1,539
1,536Away attack1,548
1,626Home defence1,523
1,577Away defence1,469
Match profile
2,212Goal environment2,125
1,882Home goals1,787
1,830Away goals1,838
1,533Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,531Set-piece attack1,534
1,530Set-piece defence1,533
1,606Close games1,467
1,655Winning margin1,565

Match venue compares Genk at home with KVC Westerlo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GenkGenk1:1

Starting XI

1Hendrik Van CrombruggeG
19Yaimar MedinaD
8Bryan HeynenM
14Yira Collins SorM
29Robin MirisolaF
6Matte SmetsD
21Ibrahima Sory BangouraM
38Daan HeymansM
3Mujaid SadickD
7Jarne SteuckersM
77Zakaria El OuahdiD

KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1:1

Starting XI

99Andreas JungdalG
25Tuur RommensD
46Arthur PiedfortM
18Griffin YowM
90Nacho FerriF
4Amando LapageD
34Doğucan HaspolatM
13Isa SakamotoM
40Emin BayramD
7Allahyar SayyadmaneshM
22Bryan ReynoldsD