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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

Antwerp vs Charleroi

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

9'
A. Scheidler⚽
Normal Goal → M. Nzita
36'
R. Van Helden🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Tsunashima
37'
Thibo Somers🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Etienne Camara🟨
Yellow Card
51'
Yassine Titraoui🟨
Yellow Card
57'
P. Guiagon
Penalty
58'
M. Al Sahafi🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Valencia
58'
T. Somers🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Adekami
61'
K. Van Den Kerkhof🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Blum
72'
D. Foulon🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Scott
72'
X. Dierckx🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Vandeplas
73'
Vincent Janssen🟨
Yellow Card
81'
P. Pflucke🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Romsaas
88'
A. Bernier🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Colassin
88'
P. Guiagon🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Boukamir

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
12Total Shots12
1Blocked Shots3
5Shots insidebox10
7Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls15
4Corner Kicks6
3Offsides2
53Ball Possession47
2Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
388Total passes337
293Passes accurate255
76Passes %76
0.75expected_goals2.01
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Mid-Table Clash: Goals From Both, I Foresee

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

Much to consider, there is. Two teams, equal in points they stand. Twenty-seven points each, Antwerp and Charleroi. Eighth and ninth in the table, separated by goal difference alone. A mirror, this matchup is. Look at recent journeys, we must. Antwerp, five wins from ten, with…

Value VinnyLost

Antwerp vs Charleroi: Value Lies in Goals

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
2.08
Model EV
+24.8%

Two mid-table sides separated by goal difference alone clash in what promises to be a fascinating tactical battle. Antwerp (8th, 27 pts, GD +2) and Charleroi (9th, 27 pts, GD -1) are statistical twins in the standings, but their recent paths tell different stories. My job isn't…

The Big "O"Lost

Mid-Table Clash Primed for Goals at the Bosuil

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
59%
Odds
2.08
Model EV
+22.7%

Alright, let's talk about a game that has my pulse racing! Antwerp hosting Charleroi might look like a standard mid-table Jupiler Pro League affair on paper, but when you dig into the numbers, this one screams goals. And you know what that means? The Big O is getting excited…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Antwerp

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Charleroi

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Antwerp at home vs Charleroi away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+35Charleroi
Venue edge
+65Antwerp
Rating period
Match snapshot
Antwerp versus Charleroi: long term Elo, before the match
AntwerpHomeRatingCharleroiAway
Strength
1,580Overall1,615
1,595Match venue1,530
1,595At home1,604
1,566Away1,530
Attack & defence
1,510Attack1,526
1,616Defence1,599
1,584Home attack1,506
1,427Away attack1,487
1,564Home defence1,621
1,661Away defence1,554
Match profile
1,660Goal environment1,650
1,678Home goals1,475
1,482Away goals1,675
1,492Possession1,485
Specialist ratings
1,481Set-piece attack1,502
1,482Set-piece defence1,502
1,512Close games1,571
1,604Winning margin1,630

Match venue compares Antwerp at home with Charleroi away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AntwerpAntwerp1:1

Starting XI

41T. NozawaG
21A. VerstraetenD
5D. FoulonM
9M. Al SahafiF
20R. Van HeldenD
78X. DierckxM
18V. JanssenF
33Z. Van Den BoschD
8D. PraetM
7G. KerkF
24T. SomersM

CharleroiCharleroi1:1

Starting XI

55M. Delavallee1:1
24M. NzitaD
5E. CamaraM
10P. GuiagonM
21A. ScheidlerF
95C. KeitaD
22Y. TitraouiM
14P. PfluckeM
4A. OusouD
17A. BernierM
3K. Van Den KerkhofD