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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

OH Leuven vs Union St. Gilloise

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Match Timeline

7'
Óscar Gil🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Noë Dussenne🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Youssef Maziz
Penalty cancelled
69'
Kamiel Van de Perre🟨
Yellow Card
71'
R. Florucz🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Fuseini
72'
S. Schrijvers🔄
Substitution 1 → W. George
72'
H. Teklab🔄
Substitution 2 → A. K. Traore
72'
A. Ait El Hadj🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Zeneli
78'
C. Ikwuemesi🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Kaba
78'
T. Verlinden🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Opoku
80'
Guilherme Smith🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Niang
85'
Christian Burgess🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Y. Maziz🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Maertens
90'
Mathieu Maertens
Penalty cancelled
90+5'
Sory Kaba🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal6
17Total Shots13
7Blocked Shots5
11Shots insidebox9
6Shots outsidebox4
16Fouls15
4Corner Kicks9
4Offsides3
44Ball Possession56
3Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
331Total passes428
252Passes accurate342
76Passes %80
0.98expected_goals1.38
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Value VinnyLost

Top vs Bottom: Value Lies With the League Leaders

The pickUnion St. Gilloise win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

The numbers don't lie, and they paint a brutally clear picture for this Jupiler Pro League clash. League leaders Union St. Gilloise, sitting pretty with a 25-point cushion over their hosts, travel to face an OH Leuven side mired in 14th place and showing no signs of a revival…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

OH Leuven

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Union St. Gilloise

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

OH Leuven at home vs Union St. Gilloise away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+313Union St. Gilloise
Venue edge
+210Union St. Gilloise
Rating period
Match snapshot
OH Leuven versus Union St. Gilloise: long term Elo, before the match
OH LeuvenHomeRatingUnion St. GilloiseAway
Strength
1,479Overall1,792
1,516Match venue1,725
1,516At home1,746
1,452Away1,725
Attack & defence
1,406Attack1,599
1,580Defence1,734
1,465Home attack1,621
1,383Away attack1,583
1,577Home defence1,685
1,550Away defence1,701
Match profile
1,897Goal environment1,690
1,648Home goals1,590
1,748Away goals1,600
1,487Possession1,507
Specialist ratings
1,473Set-piece attack1,542
1,474Set-piece defence1,541
1,503Close games1,651
1,476Winning margin1,837

Match venue compares OH Leuven at home with Union St. Gilloise away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

OH LeuvenOH Leuven1:1

Starting XI

1Tobe LeysenG
30Takahiro AkimotoD
7Thibaud VerlindenM
10Youssef MazizF
19Chukwubuikem IkwuemesiF
3Noë DussenneD
24Łukasz ŁakomyM
14Henok TeklabF
28Ewoud PletinckxD
8Siebe SchrijversM
27Óscar GilM

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1:1

Starting XI

37Kjell ScherpenG
48Fedde LeysenD
10Anouar Ait El HadjM
11Guilherme SmithF
16Christian BurgessD
17Rob SchoofsM
12Promise DavidF
6Kamiel Van de PerreD
8Adem ZorganeM
30Raul FloruczF
27Louis PatrisM