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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

Gent vs Cercle Brugge

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

14'
Flávio Nazinho🟨
Yellow Card
33'
M. Paskotsi🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Essaouabi
45'
D. Vanzeir⚽
Normal Goal → Nazinho
46'
D. Hashioka🔄
Substitution 2 → W. Kanga
52'
Hatim Essaouabi🟥
Red Card
54'
M. Sonko🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Van Der Heyden
54'
L. Agyekum🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Herrmann
58'
Emmanuel Kakou🟨
Yellow Card
77'
A. Ito🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Omgba
77'
A. Kadri🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Diop
82'
H. van der Bruggen🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Diaby
85'
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Edan Diop🟨
Yellow Card
88'
E. Diop🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Valy

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal10
5Total Shots23
2Blocked Shots9
2Shots insidebox20
3Shots outsidebox3
7Fouls10
4Corner Kicks10
3Offsides4
45Ball Possession55
0Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
336Total passes414
230Passes accurate324
68Passes %78
0.3expected_goals2.49
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Cercle's Away Day Braai - Too Big at 2.75?

The pickCercle Brugge win

Chance
38%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+4.5%

Howzit boet! Friday night in Belgium and I've got the coals glowing for this Jupiler Pro League clash. Gent hosting Cercle Brugge looks like a straightforward home win on paper - fifth vs fifteenth, 36 points vs 24 - but you know what they say about paper? It's only good for…

The Big "O"Lost

Goals Galore Expected as Gent Host Cercle

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
66%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+14.2%

When it comes to finding that sweet spot of value and excitement, this Belgian clash has me absolutely buzzing. We're looking at a fixture practically dripping with goal potential, and The Big O is here for every thrust of attacking action. Gent have been serving up absolute…

Mr SimpleLost

Goals Galore Expected as Gent Host Cercle Brugge

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+5.4%

Alright, listen up! We've got a right tasty one from Belgium this Friday as Gent welcome Cercle Brugge to town. Now, looking at the table, you'd think this is a done deal - Gent sitting pretty in 5th with 36 points, while Cercle are down in 15th scratching around with just 24…

Value VinnyWon

Cercle Brugge Away Win Offers Mathematical Value

The pickCercle Brugge win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+15.5%

The market has looked at the league table, seen Gent in 5th and Cercle Brugge in 15th, and priced accordingly. That's lazy bookmaking, and it's exactly where sharp bettors find their edge. Let's start with the venue-specific reality. Cercle Brugge have been a disaster at home—0%…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Gent

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Cercle Brugge

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Gent at home vs Cercle Brugge away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+88Gent
Venue edge
+48Gent
Rating period
Match snapshot
Gent versus Cercle Brugge: long term Elo, before the match
GentHomeRatingCercle BruggeAway
Strength
1,602Overall1,514
1,579Match venue1,530
1,579At home1,490
1,607Away1,530
Attack & defence
1,563Attack1,519
1,538Defence1,507
1,565Home attack1,512
1,522Away attack1,486
1,538Home defence1,497
1,579Away defence1,540
Match profile
2,025Goal environment1,898
1,813Home goals1,735
1,712Away goals1,663
1,500Possession1,486
Specialist ratings
1,483Set-piece attack1,469
1,484Set-piece defence1,470
1,571Close games1,490
1,604Winning margin1,525

Match venue compares Gent at home with Cercle Brugge away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GentGent1:1

Starting XI

33Davy RoefG
20Tiago AraújoD
22Leonardo LopesM
11Momodou SonkoM
21Max DeanF
57Matties VolckaertD
15Atsuki ItoM
37Abdelkahar KadriM
3Maksim PaskotsiD
8Michał SkóraśM
4Daiki HashiokaD

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1:1

Starting XI

1WarlesonG
20Flávio NazinhoD
37Edan DiopM
18Pieter GerkensM
17Oluwaseun AdewumiF
66Christiaan RavychD
28Hannes Van Der BruggenM
13Dante VanzeirF
5Emmanuel KakouD
6Lawrence AgyekumM
15Gary MagneeD