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Match analysis

BelgiumJupiler Pro League

RAAL La Louvière vs Antwerp

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Jupiler Pro League fixture.

Match Timeline

54'
Y. Hamdaoui🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Vandeplas
59'
Maxence Maisonneuve🟨
Yellow Card
63'
M. Ashimeru🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Ito
63'
D. Benavides🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Gillot
64'
S. Renders🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Schelfhout
65'
Christopher Scott🟨
Yellow Card
77'
S. Gueulette🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Maes
77'
J. Afriyie🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Nsingi
77'
G. Kerk🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Al Sahafi
77'
C. Scott🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Babadi
77'
D. Praet🔄
Substitution 5 → X. Dierckx
81'
Xander Dierckx🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Xander Dierckx🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Xander Dierckx🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

10Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal0
21Total Shots5
5Blocked Shots0
19Shots insidebox1
2Shots outsidebox4
9Fouls21
7Corner Kicks3
2Offsides0
60Ball Possession40
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
5Goalkeeper Saves9
440Total passes308
361Passes accurate231
82Passes %75
1.76expected_goals0.31
2goals_prevented2

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

Belgian Basement Battle Set for Low-Scoring Affair

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+10.2%

Lekker, it's Friday night in Belgium and while most of us would rather be firing up the braai with a cold Castle Lager in hand, we've got Jupiler Pro League action from the wrong end of the table. RAAL La Louvière are stuck down in 15th place like a wors that's fallen through…

Value VinnyWon

Goals Drought Expected in La Louvière

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Value Vinnie has crunched the numbers for this Jupiler Pro League basement battle, and the maths points firmly toward a low-scoring affair. When the market offers 1.62 on Under 2.5 goals but the Poisson distribution spits out 1.98 expected goals, that's a discrepancy worth…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

RAAL La Louvière

1W 5D 4L0.80 pts/game

Antwerp

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Per game

RAAL La Louvière at home vs Antwerp away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Jupiler Pro League

Overall edge
+73Antwerp
Venue edge
+87Antwerp
Rating period
Match snapshot
RAAL La Louvière versus Antwerp: long term Elo, before the match
RAAL La LouvièreHomeRatingAntwerpAway
Strength
1,487Overall1,560
1,469Match venue1,557
1,469At home1,576
1,511Away1,557
Attack & defence
1,453Attack1,490
1,544Defence1,608
1,448Home attack1,544
1,490Away attack1,440
1,521Home defence1,563
1,534Away defence1,653
Match profile
1,470Goal environment1,657
1,480Home goals1,670
1,490Away goals1,487
1,457Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,477Set-piece attack1,486
1,477Set-piece defence1,486
1,492Close games1,524
1,486Winning margin1,576

Match venue compares RAAL La Louvière at home with Antwerp away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1:1

Starting XI

21Marcos Hernán PeanoG
13Maxence MaisonneuveD
11Jordi LiongolaM
18Majeed AshimeruF
7Pape Moussa FallF
99Yllan OkouD
8Samuel GueuletteM
22Jerry AfriyieF
4Wagane FayeD
15Sami LahssainiM
19Darío BenavidesM

AntwerpAntwerp1:1

Starting XI

41Taishi Brandon NozawaG
23Glenn BijlD
5Daam FoulonM
43Youssef HamdaouiF
7Gyrano KerkF
25Boubakar KouyatéD
30Christopher ScottM
14Anthony ValenciaF
4Yuto TsunashimaD
8Dennis PraetM
17Semm RendersM